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Article

Does CAVA Still Have Growth Potential?

Can CAVA's aggressive growth strategy continue to deliver traffic and revenue increase in 2026?

By 
Bracha Arnold
November 4, 2025
Does CAVA Still Have Growth Potential?
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Key Takeaways
  • CAVA has democratized over the past few years: median household income (HHI) in CAVA’s trade areas fell from $122.7K in 2019 to $95.0K in 2025. Similarly, the share of “Power Elite” visitors dropped from 25.9% in 2019 to 16.4% in 2025.
  • The share of visitors coming from “Urban Periphery” audience segments climbed from 10.1% in 2019 to 16.8% in 2025, signaling opportunity in neighborhoods that bridge city and suburb.
  • Average dwell time declined from 42.3 minutes in 2019 to 28.0 minutes in 2025, underscoring CAVA’s operational efficiency and alignment with consumer demand for speed and convenience.

CAVA’s Suburban Expansion Is Redefining the Guest Experience

CAVA’s expansion in recent years has been largely focused on suburban markets. And analyzing the shift in its visitor base highlights that it is growing in ways that signal continued room for growth.

The median household income in CAVA’s trade area has dropped steadily over the years, from $122.7K in 2019 to $95.0K in 2025, reflecting its growing reach among middle-income, suburban households. At the same time, visits from the ultra-wealthy “Power Elite”, defined by Experian: Mosaic as “the wealthiest households in the U.S.”, have given way to growth among “Singles & Starters” – though a slight drop-off in 2025 may reflect pull-back from these households amidst economic uncertainty. Still, the data suggests that CAVA’s appeal is resonating with a much larger, more diverse group of consumers, positioning the chain for continued growth in the years ahead.

Peripheral Gains

Looking deeper into the geographic segments that make up CAVA’s visitor base reveals another often-overlooked source of opportunity. As the company has expanded beyond its urban core, its share of visits from the “Urban Periphery” segment (defined by the Esri Analytics Bundle as residential communities just beyond major city centers) has climbed steadily. These neighborhoods present a significant opportunity for continued expansion in markets that bridge city and suburb – offering the chain further room for growth.

Suburban Speed Adds Value

In expanding into suburban markets, CAVA has also evolved its operating model to emphasize speed and convenience. Visits have become noticeably faster as the brand expands its drive-thru lanes and digital ordering options, with average dwell time dropping from 42.3 minutes in Q3 2019 to 28 minutes in Q3 2025. This shift suggests that the chain’s approach is resonating with time-pressed consumers. At the same time, a still relatively leisurely dwell time (28 minutes in Q3 2025) indicates that many guests still choose to dine in-house – underscoring CAVA’s ability to serve both convenience-driven and sit-down customers.

Where Does CAVA Go From Here?

Location analytics for CAVA reflects a brand that is maturing while still defining its core audience. The chain has democratized over the years, as seen by its widening customer base, while continuing to make operational changes that benefit its brand.

Will CAVA continue to thrive into Q4 2025 and beyond?

For the most up-to-date dining data, check out Placer.ai’s free tools.

Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.

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