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Placer.ai Overall Retail, E-Commerce Distribution, Industrial Manufacturing Index, December 2025

Brick-and-mortar retail closed 2025 strong, with rising foot traffic across stores, logistics hubs, and a stabilizing manufacturing sector.

By 
Lila Margalit
January 15, 2026
Placer.ai Overall Retail, E-Commerce Distribution, Industrial Manufacturing Index, December 2025
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Placer.ai's Industrial Manufacturing Index represents a composite of manufacturing facilities across more than 80 companies, covering a diverse set of sectors including aerospace and defense, automakers, auto parts, building materials, containers and packaging, machinery, and specialty chemicals. It can be used in tandem with numbers like durable goods orders. Companies such as General Motors, Ford Motors, Ferguson, International Paper, United States Steel, and 3M are included in the composite. The dataset includes traffic metrics for both employees (estimated using dwell time) and visitors, who often represent logistics partners delivering raw materials, transporting work-in-progress goods, or picking up finished products.

The Placer.ai E-commerce Distribution Index measures foot traffic across more than 400 distribution centers nationwide, including facilities operated by leading retailers such as Amazon, Walmart, and Target. Designed as a barometer for U.S. e-commerce activity, the index captures two key audiences: employees, estimated through dwell-time patterns, and visitors, who often represent logistics partners delivering raw materials, moving in-process goods, or collecting finished products.

Placer.ai's Overall Retail traffic numbers represent foot traffic across more than 1500+ retail chains nationwide, including leading retailers such as Walmart, Costco, Dollar General, Home Depot, Aldi, CVS, Macy's, T.J. Maxx, and Ulta.

Key Takeaways
  • Manufacturing foot traffic volatility reflects leaner, more flexible operations, with a December uptick signaling stabilization rather than retreat.
  • Consistently positive YoY traffic at e-commerce distribution centers highlights durable, structural demand for logistics infrastructure driven by omnichannel and fulfillment needs.
  • Brick-and-mortar retail closed 2025 with its strongest YoY gains in Q4, reinforcing that physical and digital retail growth are complementary — not zero sum — as the industry looks to 2026.

Brick-and-Mortar Retail Ends 2025 On a High Note

Brick-and-mortar retail ended 2025 on a high note, with offline retailers posting a 2.4% increase in traffic in Q4 2025 relative to Q4 2024. This growth underscores the sector’s continued relevance even amid ongoing e-commerce growth and reinforces that retail growth is not a zero-sum dynamic, but one in which physical and digital channels increasingly coexist and complement one another.

The traffic gains during the holiday season also highlights the particular appeal of physical retail  during the holiday season, when demand for in-person shopping experiences is particularly high. And as retailers refine store formats, right-size footprints, and better integrate physical locations into omnichannel strategies, brick-and-mortar retail is well positioned to remain a critical growth and engagement channel heading into 2026.

Foot Traffic Strength Signals Durable Demand for Logistics Space

Foot traffic to e-commerce distribution centers remained consistently positive YoY throughout 2025, underscoring the strength of the logistics segment and signaling durable demand for logistics space rather than short-term fluctuations. This pattern aligns with the broader trajectory of e-commerce in the U.S., where online retail sales are projected to continue expanding, and reflects a broader structural shift in how goods move through the economy, with fulfillment infrastructure playing an increasingly central role.

This consistency is driven by long-term forces shaping retail and supply chains, including omnichannel fulfillment, faster delivery expectations, and inventory decentralization. As retailers rely more heavily on regional distribution nodes to support ship-from-store, curbside pickup, and next-day delivery, logistics facilities have become essential infrastructure rather than optional back-end operations. Even as growth moderated slightly later in the year, the persistence of positive YoY traffic points to sustained operational intensity and long-term relevance.

December Uptick Points to Stabilizing Manufacturing Activity

Year-over-year (YoY) foot traffic to U.S. manufacturing facilities points to volatility rather than sustained growth, reflecting a sector that is actively managing uncertainty. Visits declined during much of the year, suggesting restrained hiring as manufacturers appear to be operating lean – adjusting labor and on-site activity quickly in response to demand changes. Productivity gains and automation are likely also playing a role, allowing facilities to maintain output with less consistent physical presence. As a result, the foot traffic volatility may be reflecting operational flexibility rather than simple expansion or contraction.

Against this backdrop, December stands out with a clear uptick in manufacturing visits, signaling increased end-of-year activity. This rise likely reflects a mix of year-end production runs, inventory adjustments, maintenance work, and preparation for early-year demand. The December traffic increase reinforces that U.S. manufacturing – still one of the largest and most economically significant sectors globally – is adapting, not retreating, maintaining operational relevance even as it recalibrates for efficiency, automation, and selective growth.

For more data-driven retail & CRE insights, visit placer.ai/anchor.

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Overall Retail, E-Commerce Distribution, Industrial Manufacturing
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