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Bracing for Impact: July's Manufacturing Surge Reveals Tariff Anxiety

A pre-tariff production rush fueled a sharp rise in U.S. manufacturing in July 2025. This analysis explores how companies raced to beat new tariffs.

By 
R.J. Hottovy
August 4, 2025
Bracing for Impact: July's Manufacturing Surge Reveals Tariff Anxiety
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Key Takeaways
  • U.S. industrial manufacturing activity surged dramatically in July 2025 as companies rushed to maximize production and shipments ahead of a widespread tariff implementation on August 1st.
  • This flurry of activity was evidenced by a sharp rise in visits from both employees and logistics partners, indicating that production lines were at high capacity and a massive push to move goods was underway.
  • Interconnected sectors like auto manufacturing, industrial machinery, and metals processing were most affected, as they accelerated operations to stockpile tariff-vulnerable raw materials and components.

July's Pre-Tariff Production Rush

Following a period of caution in May and June, U.S. industrial manufacturing facilities saw a significant surge of activity in July 2025. As we've noted previously, many manufacturers experienced an increase in visits during March and April to build inventory ahead of initial tariff implementation dates, followed by a normalization period in May and June as businesses adopted a "wait-and-see" approach. However, with the hard deadline of August 1st for new, widespread tariffs, July was marked by a dramatic uptick in visits from both employees and logistics partners as companies made a last-ditch effort to maximize output and shipments.

Supply Chains Race Against the Clock

This flurry of activity was particularly intense in highly interconnected sectors like auto manufacturing, industrial machinery, and metals processing, all of which are vulnerable to tariffs on imported raw materials and components. Metals processing plants, for example, ramped up operations to convert as much raw steel and aluminum as possible before their costs increased. In turn, auto and industrial machinery manufacturers accelerated their own production lines, pulling in vast quantities of both processed metals and specialized foreign parts to build up inventory before the new duties could disrupt their supply chains. 

This final pre-tariff rush was evident in our data: the increase in employee visits to factories signaled that production lines were running at high capacity, while a sharp rise in visits from logistics partners – like truckers and other carriers – indicated a massive push to move finished goods and components through the supply chain before the August 1st implementation date.

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