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Article
Cross-Cultural Food Fusion: Black Tacos Delight Your Taste Buds
Caroline Wu
Mar 1, 2024

In the U.S., one can find many different dishes that incorporate a range of culinary traditions: Kogi truck introduced us to the joy of putting short ribs and vinaigrette slaw in a corn tortilla, topped off with a distinctly Korean salsa made of Korean chiles, rice wine vinegar, and scallions; Banh mi po’ boys combine the best of Vietnamese and Louisianan tradition; Lime and jalapeno-topped yellowtail sashimi hearkens to both Japanese and Peruvian lineages.

In Los Angeles, the LA Times takes readers on a culinary journey to the world of Black Tacos, where lines can reach 3 hours at Worldwide Tacos as one chooses from unique protein options like lamb, salmon, crab, and duck and mouthwatering flavor combinations like jerk, curry, pina colada, blueberry with blue cheese and raspberry chipotle.

While often anchored with a traditional corn tortilla, Black tacos also incorporate flavors and techniques from soul food, such as versions that use barbeque sauce, yams with wild rice, ground turkey, pulled pork, or hot honey catfish.  

Alta Adams has its own take on Black tacos with a jerk-spiced sweet plantain taco.  Nestled within a homemade corn tortilla, one will find caramelized plantain, mango-habanero salsa and chopped onion and cilantro. In 2022, the Hollywood Reporter named this spot “Black Hollywood’s Top Restaurant for Power Dining.” This restaurant is a popular evening destination, as patrons sip their inventive cocktails well into the night and see if they might catch a glimpse of Jay-Z or John Legend.

Article
Black History Month Museum Focus: Celebrating African Americans and the Arts
Caroline Wu
Mar 1, 2024

At the Smithsonian’s National Museum of African American History and Culture, the entire month of February was dedicated to “African Americans and the Arts” and the impact of African Americans on visual arts, music, cultural movements, and more. From the BLM Movement to Harlem Hellfighters, Hip Hop and Rap to Musical Life at HBCUs, a rich cornucopia awaits.  Per Spatial.ai PersonaLive, among those who visited in the past 6 months, when we look at those comprising 70% of visits, nearly 3 in 10 are Educated Urbanites, as well as a healthy dose of  Young Professionals, Near-Urban Diverse Families, and Ultra Wealthy Families.

The museum also attracted a broad cross-section of different ethnicities.

Article
Checking in With Discount & Dollar Stores
Discount & Dollar stores thrived in 2022 and 2023, as inflation drove many shoppers to trade down and seek out cheaper retail alternatives. How is the category faring into the new year? We dove into the data to find out.
Lila Margalit
Feb 29, 2024
3 minutes

Discount & Dollar stores thrived in 2022 and 2023, as inflation drove many shoppers to trade down and seek out cheaper retail alternatives. But how has the category continued to fare in the new year? Have stabilizing prices led shoppers away from discount chains? Or have dollar stores cemented their position as go-to retailers even when money isn’t quite as tight? 

We dove into the data to find out.

January 2024: Holding Onto Gains 

Over the past two years, Discount & Dollar Stores have emerged as major disruptors, diversifying both their offerings and their price points  – and the category leaders’ continued visit growth suggests that this strategy is helping the chains build significant strength. By investing in private label food items and stocking fresh produce at thousands of locations, Dollar General has established itself as a prime low-cost grocery destination. Family Dollar, owned by Dollar Tree, has also made strong inroads into the supermarket scene, with everything from fruits and veggies to cage-free eggs. Dollar Tree has also broadened its grocery selection to include an array of chilled and frozen foods.

bar chart: yearly visits 2022 and 2023 to discount and dollar chains continue to grow YoY

In January 2024, Discount & Dollar Stores saw a further increase in year-over-year (YoY) visits, building upon the category’s impressive post-COVID gains. Most of the analyzed category leaders also saw YoY visit jumps – no small feat given these retailers’ strong 2022 and 2023 performance.

bar chart: dollar tree and dollar general started new year (jan. 2024) with YoY visit increases

Sustained Seasonal Growth in the Bargain

Zooming out on the longer-term visitation trajectories of leading discount chains shows just how well positioned the category remains for continued success. Compared to a January 2020 pre-COVID baseline, visits to Dollar General and Dollar Tree were up 24.3% and 14.0%, respectively, in January 2024. While these foot traffic increases were undoubtedly fueled in part by the continued expansion of the chains’ footprints, they highlight strong and growing demand for the category’s bargain fare. 

The chains’ visit patterns also reveal clear seasonality in visitation patterns to leading Discount & Dollar Stores, with the chains emerging as holiday shopping destinations. Dollar Tree, which continues to price most items at $1.25, experiences more pronounced seasonal peaks, with visits spiking during the holiday season. And though Dollar General has firmly positioned itself as a year-round destination for essential goods, it too sees foot traffic spikes in December. 

line chart: dollar general and dollar tree sustained foot traffic growth in past four years

The Secret to Discount Chains’ Success

The emergence of Discount & Dollar chains as affordable venues for much-needed necessities has been a major factor in the segment’s success. But the category’s strong positioning as a key holiday shopping player has also helped solidify its place in the nation’s retail landscape. 

And looking at monthly fluctuations in the median household income (HHI) of Discount & Dollar Stores’ captured markets shows a subtle but distinct HHI spike during the peak holiday season – meaning that the category draws its audiences from slightly more affluent areas during this all-important time of the year. This trend may be a further indication of the mainstreaming of dollar stores – with higher-HHI consumers especially likely to seek out their bargain-priced quality merchandise in the runup to Christmas. 

line chart: discount and dollar chains draw visitors from more affluent areas during the holiday season. based on STI: PopStats dataset and placer.ai captured trade area data

Key Takeaways

Since COVID, Discount & Dollar Stores have solidified their position as mainstream shopping destinations for everything from basic food items to home goods and party supplies. And if January 2024 is any indication, you can bet your bottom dollar on the category’s continued strength heading into the new year. 

Follow Placer.ai for more data-driven retail analyses.

This blog includes data from Placer.ai Data Version 2.0, which implements improvements to our extrapolation capabilities, adds short visit monitoring, and enhances visit detection.

Article
Peeking Behind The Curtain: Movie Theaters in 2023 and Beyond
Barbenheimer may have been the word out of everyone's mouth over the summer, but other films helped boost sales and visits to theater chains. We look at the location intelligence for the three major theaters – AMC, Regal Cinemas, and Cinemark – to find out.
Bracha Arnold
Feb 28, 2024
4 minutes

The U.S. box office had a particularly strong 2023. Barbenheimer was the word out of everyone’s mouths over the summer, but other films like Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3, and The Super Mario Bros. helped boost both sales and visits. 

How was the overall theater performance compared to 2022 and 2019? Who’s visiting these chains? And what can cinemas do to boost visits during lulls? We take a closer look at location intelligence for the three major theaters – AMC, Regal Cinemas, and Cinemark – to find out.

Lights, Camera, Action

Last year started on a high note, likely related to the strong box office performance of “Avatar: The Way of Water” (which may have also caused January 2024’s visit lag in comparison).  

The “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” release in April helped spike visits further, with foot traffic to AMC, Regal Cinemas, and Cinemark increasing by 43.2%, 36.2%, and 40.8%, respectively. And July brought with it two of the most successful movie releases of all time –  “Barbie” and “Oppenheimer” – which topped box office charts for weeks. 

Both films were released in late July, with the massive August visit spikes showing the full power of the two movies. “The Taylor Swift: Eras Tour” movie release in October also boosted visits, though AMC and Cinemark appear to have been the primary beneficiaries of the Swifty-driven foot traffic increase. 

bar graph: movie thaters see strong boost from blockbusters, visits slowing YoY in the new year

The Show Must Go On

Year-over-four-year (Yo4Y) foot traffic trends offer a broader picture of how out-of-home entertainment is faring. The pandemic forced many movie theaters to shut their doors as social distancing guidelines made going to the movies impossible. In tandem, streaming services like Netflix and Amazon Prime became major movie studios in their own right. 

The increase in at-home entertainment may have something to do with the overall Yo4Y decline in movie theater visits. Despite last year’s success, foot traffic data shows that fewer people are visiting theaters in 2023 than in 2019. Some of the dip is likely due to the chains’ rightsizing, with both AMC and Regal downsizing their fleet in recent years. But the success of this past summer’s blockbusters still brought visits to the two chains close to pre-pandemic numbers – and drove a positive Yo4Y visit surge to Cinemark – indicating that the right feature film can still draw crowds to cinemas nationwide.

bar chart: Yo4Y visits still below pre-pandemic levels

Family Film Fans

A closer look at the psychographic characteristics of visitors to the three movie theater chains reveals that families are overrepresented in the chains’ trade areas, while young professionals are underrepresented: Consumer segments identified by the Spatial.ai: PersonaLive dataset as “Ultra Wealthy Families” and “Wealthy Suburban Families” were more prevalent in the theaters’ captured* markets than in their potential markets, while “Young Professionals” were less prevalent. With some analysts lamenting the death of superhero movies, movie studios looking for the next big idea may want to invest in more family-friendly films to cater to these theater-going family segments.

bar chart: theaters see more wealthy families, fewer young professionals, in captured market than in potential market. based on Spatial.ai: PersonaLive dataset and placer.ai captured trade area data

*A chain’s captured market weighs each CBG according to the actual number of visits originating to the chain from that CBG. A chain’s potential market refers to the population residing in a given trade area, weighted to reflect the number of households in each Census Block Group (CBG) comprising the trade area. A chain’s captured market weighs each CBG according to the actual number of visits originating to the chain from that CBG. 

The Power of Discounts 

Unsurprisingly, movie theaters were busiest on the weekends – Saturday and Sunday received the lion's share of visits across all analyzed cinema chains, followed by Fridays. But the busiest non-Friday or weekend day was Tuesday – likely thanks to the theater chains’ "Discount Tuesday" special. 

Cinemark experienced the largest Tuesday surge – with 12.6% of its weekly visits occurring on its discount day – perhaps due to the company’s decision to extend its discount to non-club members. AMC and Regal also received more visits on Tuesdays than they did during every other weekday (except for Friday).  

As theaters continue to find creative ways to remain competitive in the evolving world of entertainment, “Discount Tuesdays” underscore the significance of a good deal when looking to drive visits to theaters.

stacked bar chart: most movie-goers visit theaters on weekends, cinemark sees a Tuesday visit spike. visit share to major theater chains by day of week, 2023

That’s A Wrap

Movie theater visits exceeded all expectations in 2023 as film enthusiasts flocked to watch any number of major box-office releases. Will this momentum continue into 2024? 

Follow placer.ai for more data-driven entertainment insights. 

This blog includes data from Placer.ai Data Version 2.0, which implements improvements to our extrapolation capabilities, adds short visit monitoring, and enhances visit detection.

Article
Diving Into Brick-and-Mortar Eyewear
Warby Parker and America's Best Contacts & Eyeglasses expanded their brick-and-mortar footprints recently. How did they fare in the final months of 2023? And what does their performance bode for the future of offline eyewear sales this year?
Lila Margalit
Feb 27, 2024
3 minutes

With Q4 2023 under our belts, we dove into the data to check in with leading eyewear brands Warby Parker and America's Best Contacts & Eyeglasses – both of which have expanded their brick-and-mortar footprints in recent years. How did they fare in the final months of 2023? And what does their performance bode for the future of offline eyewear sales this year?

Plenty to See Here

Warby Parker, the digitally-native darling that burst onto the scene in 2010 as an online-only retailer, opened its first physical store in 2013 and now operates some 250 venues across 38 states and the District of Columbia. And the trendy eyewear brand’s visits continue to grow alongside its expanding store fleet, with chain-wide year-over-year (YoY) foot traffic increases ranging from 16.6% to 37.0%. Warby Parker’s continued offline flourishing – despite the chain’s online origins – highlights the continued importance of physical stores for the glasses-buying experience.

National Vision’s America’s Best Contacts & Eyeglasses – the discount eyewear chain that features more than 900 locations nationwide – has also been on a growth trajectory. Over the past several months, the chain saw consistent YoY visit increases, partly driven by its expanding physical presence. And in Q3 2023, the brand also reported a rise in comparable store sales – showcasing healthy demand for its offerings.

bar graph: Warby Parker and America's Best Contacts & Eyeglasses see YoY visit growth Sept '23-Jan '24

What is the secret to the success of these very different chains? To explore some of the factors driving traffic to Warby Parker and America’s Best, we segmented the audiences of their trade areas with demographic data from STI’s PopStats and psychographics from Spatial.ai’s PersonaLive – and the results were striking. 

Warby Parker Broadens its Lens

Over the past four years, the median household income (HHI) of Warby Parker’s potential market – i.e. the census block groups (CBGs) from which the chain draws its customers, weighted to reflect each one’s population size – has decreased. This indicates that as Warby Parker has expanded its fleet, it has opened stores in areas that are slightly less affluent than Warby Parker’s legacy markets – although the median HHI in these newer markets also stands significantly above the nationwide median of $69.5K. 

But over the same period, the median HHI of the brand’s captured market continued to climb. (A chain’s captured market is derived by weighting the CBGs in its trade area according to the share of visitors from each CBG – thus mirroring the characteristics of the chain’s actual visitor base). The increase in captured market median HHI over time indicates that Warby Parker has been successful at reaching well-to-do audiences even within its newer, more economically diverse markets. 

bar chart: Warby Parker's trade area has expanded to include more diverse audiences but it's actual visitor base has become more affluent. Median HHI based on STI: PopStats dataset combined with placer.ai captured and potential trade area data

America’s Best Sets its Sights on Price-Conscious Consumers

Unlike Warby Parker, America’s Best Contacts & Eyeglasses serves a lower-HHI demographic. The median household income of the chain’s captured market in Q4 2023 was $66.2K –  4.7% below the nationwide median of $69.5K. And looking at America’s Best’s three largest regional markets – Texas, Florida, and California – shows that the chain’s captured market median HHI in each of these states is also lower than the relevant statewide baseline.

But while the chain’s visitor median HHI trends seem consistent across regions, diving deeper into the data suggests that the chain does attract different types of shoppers in different areas.  Nationwide, the share of singles and individuals from large households in America’s Best’s captured market is just slightly above nationwide baselines. But in California, the share of large households in America’s Best’s captured market is 21.0% – significantly higher than the statewide baseline of 16.5%, while the share of singles falls below the Golden State’s baseline of 23.2%.

bar charts: America's best contacts & eyeglasses draws visitors from lower-HHI areas with varying household sizes. based on STI:PopStats dataset and placer.ai captured trade area data

Key Takeaways

Digital try-on and easy returns have made online glasses shopping a viable option for many consumers. But the continued offline success of Warby Parker and America’s Best shows that there’s still plenty of demand for brick-and-mortar eyewear stores – discount and higher-end alike. What lies in store for the offline eyewear space in 2024?

Follow Placer.ai to find out.

This blog includes data from Placer.ai Data Version 2.0, which implements improvements to our extrapolation capabilities, adds short visit monitoring, and enhances visit detection.

Article
Getting Into Gear: Exploring The Auto Part Industry
We checked in with AutoZone and O’Reilly – two pandemic winners from the auto parts industry – to understand what location intelligence reveals about the retailers in 2024. 
Bracha Arnold
Feb 26, 2024
3 minutes

We checked in with AutoZone and O’Reilly – two pandemic winners from the auto parts industry – to understand what location intelligence reveals about the retailers in 2024. 

AutoZone & O’Reilly Auto Parts Maintaining Their Gains

AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts are both major players in the multi-billion dollar automotive aftermarket industry with thousands of locations across the country. As car prices skyrocketed over the pandemic, visits to these retailers increased – and analyzing foot traffic patterns to these retailers reveals that although growth in the sector may be slowing down, leading auto parts chains are holding on to their pandemic gains. 

On a year-over-year (YoY) basis, visits to AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts continued growing in the first half of 2023 before stalling in Q3 2023 and dipping in Q4. But looking at year-over-four-year (Yo4Y) visits suggests that the drop may be due to the challenging comparison to an unusually strong period rather than to any drop in demand for auto parts. Last year’s visits to both AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts were significantly higher than the chains’ 2019 baseline, with Q4 2023 visits exceeding Q4 2019 levels by 11.9% and 22.6% for AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts, respectively.

bar graphs: AutoZone and O'Reilly auto parts maintaining pandemic gains – elevated quarterly visits compared to 2019

A Promising Start to 2024 

The pattern continued in January 2024, with visits to AutoZone and O’Reilly significantly higher than they were pre-pandemic, but slightly lower on a YoY basis. But the Q4 2023 YoY visit gaps narrowed for both chains, and used cars are still outselling new vehicle and fueling demand for car parts – so visits to the space are likely to remain strong in 2024. 

bar chart: January 2024 Visits were up 13.3% Yo4Y for AutoZone and 24.3% for O'Reilly. Jan. 2024 visits were also up 0.1% and 1.8% YoY for AutoZone and O'Reilly, respectively.

What’s Under The Hood? 

Analyzing the demographic data of visitors to O’Reilly Auto Parts and AutoZone reveals that both companies succeeded in staying far ahead of their pre-pandemic visit baseline despite attracting a large number of visitors from lower-income households. In 2023, the median household income (HHI) within the two chains’ potential market* trade area was lower than the nationwide median of $69.5K/year, while the median HHI in the captured market trade area was even lower. 

The income level of AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts’ visitor base may help explain the chains’ Yo4Y strength and the YoY lags. With prices for used cars still significantly higher than they were in 2019, budget-conscious consumers are likely looking to patch up their existing rides instead of trading them in for newer vehicles – which could explain the sustained Yo4Y growth. At the same time, the ongoing inflation is likely straining this segment’s available funds, which may account for the YoY dips towards the end of 2023.

*A chain’s potential market refers to the population residing in a given trade area, weighted to reflect the number of households in each Census Block Group (CBG) comprising the trade area. A chain’s captured market weighs each CBG according to the actual number of visits originating to the chain from that CBG.  

bar chart: AutoZone and O'Reilly attract visitors from lower-income households. BAsed on STI: PopStats dataset combined with Placer.ai captured and potential trade area datat

Country Roads vs. City Highways 

When focusing on the trade area median HHI, the visitor base of AutoZone and O’Reilly Auto Parts looks nearly identical. But looking at the psychographic makeup of the two brands’ trade areas highlights differences between the companies. Using the Experian: Mosaic dataset to analyze the audience segments in the chains’ trade areas revealed that AutoZone tended to attract more city-based visitors, while O’Reilly seems to draw more small-town and rural households. Data from the Spatial.ai: PersonaLive’s dataset supports this pattern – and the success of both chains indicates that there is plenty of demand for car parts across a variety of audience types.

bar charts: AutoZone attracts more city-dwellers, O'Reilly Attracts more Rural and Small-Town segments. 2023

Cruise Control: Car Part Customer Chronicles

As both companies continue to expand, location intelligence indicates that there is plenty of demand for car parts to go around. 

For more data-driven retail analysis, visit placer.ai/blog.

This blog includes data from Placer.ai Data Version 2.0, which implements improvements to our extrapolation capabilities, adds short visit monitoring, and enhances visit detection.

Reports
INSIDER
How Local Events Promote Economic Growth: The Civic Impact of Summer Events
Dive into the data to find out how major summer events – including Lollapalooza in Chicago and Governors Ball in New York – drive community engagement and boost the local economy.
August 22, 2024
5 minutes

Lollapalooza: Energizing Chicago

The first Lollapalooza – a four-day music festival – took place in 1991. Chicago’s Grant Park became the event’s permanent home (at least in the United States) in 2005, drawing thousands of revelers and music fans to the park each year. 

This year, the festival once again demonstrated its powerful impact on the city. On August 1st, 2024, visits to Grant Park surged by 1,313.2% relative to the YTD daily average, as crowds converged on the park to see Chappell Roan’s much-anticipated performance. And during the first three days of the event, the event drew significantly more foot traffic than in 2023 – with visits up 18.9% to 35.9% compared to the first three days of last year’s festival (August 3rd to 5th, 2023).  

Change In Visitor Profile

Lollapalooza led to a dramatic spike in visits to Grant Park – and it also attracted a different type of visitor compared to the rest of the year. 

Analyzing Grant Park’s captured market with Spatial.ai’s PersonaLive dataset reveals that  Lollapalooza attendees are more likely to belong to the “Young Professionals” and “Ultra Wealthy Families” segment groups than the typical Grant Park visitor.

By contrast, the “Near-Urban Diverse Families” segment group, comprising middle-class diverse families living in or near cities, made up only 6.5% of visitors during the festival, compared to 12.0% during the rest of the year.

Additionally, visitors during Lollapalooza came from areas with higher HHIs than both the nationwide baseline of $76.1K and the average for park visitors throughout the year. Understanding the demographic profile of visitors to the park during Lollapalooza can help planners and city officials tailor future events to these segment groups – or look for ways to make the festival accessible to a wider range of music lovers.

Businesses Get Boosts

Lollapalooza’s impact on Chicago extended beyond the boundaries of Grant Park, with nearby hotels seeing remarkable surges in foot traffic. The Congress Plaza Hotel on South Michigan Avenue witnessed a staggering 249.1% rise in visits during the week of July 29, 2024, compared to the YTD visit average. And Travelodge on East Harrison Street saw an impressive 181.8% increase. These spikes reflect the festival’s draw not just for locals but for out-of-town visitors who fill hotels across the city.

The North Michigan Avenue retail corridor also enjoyed a significant increase in foot traffic during the festival, with visits on Thursday, August 1st 56.0% higher than the YTD Thursday visit average. On Friday, August 2nd, visits to the corridor were 55.7% higher than the Friday visit average. These numbers highlight Lollapalooza’s role in driving economic activity across Chicago, as festival-goers venture beyond the park to explore the city’s vibrant retail and hospitality offerings.

Queens Keeps it Cool

City parks often serve as community hubs, and Flushing Meadows Corona Park in Queens, NY, has been a major gathering point for New Yorkers. The park hosted one of New York’s most beloved summer concerts – Governors Ball – which moved from Governors Island to Flushing Meadows in 2023. 

During the festival (June 9th -11th, 2024), musicians like Post Malone and The Killers drew massive crowds to the park, with visits soaring to the highest levels seen all year. On June 9th, the opening day of the festival, foot traffic in the park was up 214.8% compared to the YTD daily average, and at its height, on June 8th, the festival drew 392.7% more visits than the YTD average. 

The park also hosted other big events this summer – a July 21st set by DMC helped boost visits to 185.1% above the YTD average. And the Hong Kong Dragon Boat Festival on August 3rd and 4th led to major visit boosts of 221.4% and 51.6%, respectively. 

These events not only draw large crowds, but also highlight the park’s role as a space where cultural and civic life can find expression, flourish, and contribute to the health of local communities.

The Reach and Resonance of Events

Analyzing changes in Flushing Meadows Corona Park’s trade area size offers insight into how far people are willing to travel for these events. During Governors Ball, for example, the park’s trade area ballooned to 254.5 square miles, showing the festival's wide appeal. On July 20th, by contrast, when the park hosted several local bands and DJs, the trade area was a much more modest 57.0 square miles.

Ready, Set, Summer

Summer events drive community engagement, economic activity, and civic pride. Cities that invest in their parks and event hubs, fostering lively and inclusive spaces, can create lasting value for both residents and visitors, enriching the cultural and social life of urban areas.

For more data-driven civic stories, visit Placer.ai

INSIDER
2024 Hotel Visit Trends
Despite inflation and other headwinds, the hotel industry presents significant growth opportunities across tiers, regions, and audience segments.
August 1, 2024


Hospitality Report Card

The pandemic and economic headwinds that marked the past few years presented the multi-billion dollar hotel industry with significant challenges. But five years later, the industry is rallying – and some hotel segments are showing significant growth.

This white paper delves into location analytics across six major hotel categories – Luxury Hotels, Upper Upscale Hotels, Upscale Hotels, Upper Midscale Hotels, Midscale Hotels, and Economy Hotels – to explore the current state of the American hospitality market. The report examines changes in guest behavior, personas, and characteristics and looks at factors driving current visitation trends. 

An Upper Midscale Sweet Spot

Overall, visits to hotels were 4.3% lower in Q2 2024 than in Q2 2019 (pre-pandemic). But this metric only tells part of the story. A deeper dive into the data shows that each hotel tier has been on a more nuanced recovery trajectory. 

Economy chains – those offering the most basic accommodations at the lowest prices – saw visits down 24.6% in Q2 2024 compared to pre-pandemic – likely due in part to hotel closures that have plagued the tier in recent years. Though these chains were initially less impacted by the pandemic, they were dealt a significant blow by inflation – and have seen visits decline over the past three years. As hotels that cater to the most price-sensitive guests, these chains are particularly vulnerable to rising costs, and the first to suffer when consumer confidence takes a hit.

Luxury Hotels, on the other hand, have seen accelerated visit growth over the past year – and have succeeded in closing their pre-pandemic visit gap. Upscale chains, too, saw Q2 2024 visits on par with Q2 2019 levels. As tiers that serve wealthier guests with more disposable income, Luxury and Upscale Hotels are continuing to thrive in the face of headwinds. 

But it is the Upper Midscale level – a tier that includes brands like Trademark Collection by Wyndham, Fairfield by Marriott, Holiday Inn Express by IHG Hotels & Resorts, and Hampton by Hilton – that has experienced the most robust visit growth compared to pre-pandemic. In Q2 2024, Upper Midscale Hotels drew 3.5% more visits than in Q2 2019. And during last year’s peak season (Q3 2023), Upper Midscale hotels saw the biggest visit boost of any analyzed tier. 

As mid-range hotels that still offer a broad range of amenities, Upper Midscale chains strike a balance between indulgence and affordability. And perhaps unsurprisingly, hotel operators have been investing in this tier: In Q4 2023, Upper Midscale Hotels had the highest project count of any tier in the U.S. hotel construction and renovation pipeline. 

Upper Midscale Hotels Gain Visit Share

The shift in favor of Upper Midscale Hotels and away from Economy chains is also evident when analyzing changes in relative visit share among the six hotel categories. 

Upper Midscale hotels have always been major players: In H1 2019 they drew 28.7% of overall hotel visits – the most of any tier. But by H1 2024, their share of visits increased to 31.2%. Upscale Hotels – the second-largest tier – also saw their visit share increase, from 24.8% to 26.1%. 

Meanwhile, Economy, Midscale, and Upper Upscale Hotels saw drops in visit share – with Economy chains, unsurprisingly, seeing the biggest decline. Luxury Hotels, for their parts, held firmly onto their piece of the pie, drawing 2.8% of visits in H1 2024.

The Guests Driving Upper Midscale Chain Growth

Who are the visitors fueling the Upper Midscale visit revival? This next section explores shifts in visitor demographics to four Upper Midscale chains that are outperforming pre-pandemic visit levels: Trademark Collection by Wyndham, Holiday Inn Express by IHG Hotels & Resorts, Fairfield by Marriott, and Hampton by Hilton

A Variety of (Rising) Income Levels

Analyzing the captured markets* of the four chains with demographics from STI: Popstats (2023) shows variance in the relative affluence of their visitor bases. 

Fairfield by Marriott drew visitors from areas with a median household income (HHI) of $84.0K in H1 2024, well above the nationwide average of $76.1K. Hampton by Hilton and Trademark Collection by Wyndham, for their parts, drew guests from areas with respective HHIs of $79.6K and $78.5K – just above the nationwide average. Meanwhile, Holiday Inn Express by IHG Hotels & Resorts drew visitors from areas below the nationwide average. 

But all four brands saw increases in the median HHIs of their captured markets over the past five years. This provides a further indication that it is wealthier consumers – those who have had to cut back less in the face of inflation – who are driving hotel recovery in 2024.

(*A chain’s captured market is obtained by weighting each Census Block Group (CBG) in its trade area according to the CBG’s share of visits to the chain – and so reflects the population that actually visits the chain in practice.) 

Identifying Regional Growth Opportunities

Much of the Upper Midscale visit growth is being driven by chain expansion. But in some areas of the country, the average number of visits to individual hotel locations is also on the rise – highlighting especially robust growth potential. 

Tourism Booms Bolster Visits Per Location

Analyzing visits to existing Upper Midscale chains in four metropolitan areas with booming tourism industries – Salt Lake City, UT, Palm Bay, FL, San Diego, CA, and Richmond, VA – shows that these markets feature robust untapped demand.

Utah, for example, has emerged as a tourist hotspot in recent years – with millions of visitors flocking each year to local destinations like Salt Lake City to see the sights and take in the great outdoors. And Upper Midscale hotels in the region are reaping the benefits. In H1 2024, the overall number of visits to Upper Midscale chains in Salt Lake City was 69.4% higher than in H1 2019. Though some of this increase can be attributed to local chain expansion, the average number of visits to each individual Upper Midscale location in the area also rose by 12.5% over the same period.  

Palm Bay, FL (the Space Coast) – another tourist favorite – is experiencing a similar trend. Between H1 2019 and H1 2024, overall visits to local Upper Midscale hotel chains grew by 36.4% – while the average number of visits per location increased a substantial 16.9%. Given this strong demand, it may come as no surprise that the area is undergoing a hotel construction boom. Upper Midscale hotels in other areas with flourishing tourism sectors, like San Diego, CA and Richmond, VA, are seeing similar trends, with increases in both overall visits and and in the average number of visits per location. 

Extended Stay: An Economy Bright Spot 

Though Economy chains have underperformed versus other categories in recent years, the tier does feature some bright spots. Some extended-stay brands in the Economy tier – hotels with perks and amenities that cater to the needs of longer-stay travelers – are succeeding despite category headwinds. 

Young Professionals Fuel Extended-Stay Success

Choice Hotels’ portfolio, for example, includes WoodSpring Suites, an Economy chain offering affordable extended-stay accommodations in 35 states. In H1 2024, the chain drew 7.7% more visits than in the first half of 2019 – even as the wider Economy sector continued to languish. InTown Suites, another Economy extended stay chain, saw visits increase by 8.9% over the same period.

And location intelligence shows that the success of these two chains is likely being driven, in part, by their growing appeal to young, well-educated professionals. In H1 2019, households belonging to Spatial.ai: PersonaLive’s “Young Professionals” segment made up 9.6% of WoodSpring Suites’ captured market. But by H1 2024, the share of this group jumped dramatically to 13.3%. At the same time, InTown Suites saw its share of Young Professionals increase from 12.0% to 13.4%.

Whether due to an affinity for prolonged “workcations” (so-called “bleisure” excursions) or an embrace of super-commuting, younger guests have emerged as key drivers of growth for the extended stay segment. And by offering low–cost accommodations that meet the needs of these travelers, Economy chains can continue to grow their share of the pie.

Market Recovery Led by Affordable, Quality Experiences

The hospitality industry recovery continues – led by Upper Midscale Hotels, which offer elevated experiences that don’t break the bank. But today’s market has room for other tiers as well. By keeping abreast of local visitation patterns and changing consumer profiles, hotels across chain scales can personalize the visitor experience and drive customer satisfaction.

INSIDER
Domestic Tourism Trends in NYC and LA
Dive into the data to explore evolving domestic tourism trends in New York City and Los Angeles – two of the nation's prime travel destinations.
July 25, 2024
6 minutes

Shifting Tourism Patterns  

The past few years have provided the tourism sector with a multitude of headwinds, from pandemic-induced lockdowns to persistent inflation and a rise in extreme weather events. But despite these challenges, people are more excited than ever to travel – more than half of respondents to a recent survey are planning on increasing their travel budgets in the coming months.

And while revenge travel to overseas destinations is still very much alive and well, the often high costs associated with traveling abroad are shaping the way people choose to travel. Domestic travel and tourism are seeing significant growth as more affordable alternatives.

This white paper takes a closer look at two of the most popular domestic tourism destinations in the country – New York City and Los Angeles. Over the past year, both cities have continued to be leading tourism hotspots, offering a wealth of attractions for visitors. What does tourism to these two cities look like in 2024, and what has changed since before the pandemic? How have inflation and rising airfare prices affected the demographics and psychographics of visitors to these major hubs?

Major Metropolitan Magnets For Domestic Tourism

Analyzing the distribution of domestic tourists across CBSAs nationwide from May 2023 to April 2024 reveals New York and Los Angeles to be two of the nation’s most popular destinations. (Tourists include overnight visitors staying in a given CBSA for up to 31 days). 

The New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA metro area drew the largest share of domestic tourists of any CBSA during the analyzed period (2.7%), followed closely by the Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA CBSA (2.5%). Other domestic tourism hotspots included Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL (tied for second place with 2.5% of visitors), Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX (1.9%), Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV (1.8%), Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL (1.8%), and Chicago-Naperville, Elgin, IL-IN-WI (1.6%). 

New York City - An East Coast Destination 

The Big Apple. The City That Never Sleeps. Empire City. Whatever it’s called, New York City remains one of the most well-known tourist destinations in the world. And for many Americans, New York is the perfect place for an extended weekend getaway – or for a multi-day excursion to see the sights. 

Flocking to the Big Apple From Nearby Metro Areas

But where do these NYC-bound vacationers come from? Diving into the data on the origin of visitors making medium-length trips to New York City (three to seven nights) reveals that increasingly, these domestic tourists are coming from nearby metro areas. 

Between 2018-2019 and 2023-2024, for example, the number of tourists visiting New York City from the Philadelphia metro area increased by 19.2%. 

The number of tourists coming from the Boston and Washington, D.C metro areas, and from the New York CBSA itself (New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA) also increased over the same period. 

Meanwhile, further-away CBSAs like San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA, Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA, and Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL fed fewer tourists to NYC in 2023-2024 than they did pre-pandemic. It seems that residents of these more distant metro areas are opting for vacation destinations closer to home to avoid the high costs of air travel.

Younger Travelers Visit NYC

Diving even deeper into the characteristics of visitors taking medium-length trips to New York City reveals another demographic shift: Tourists staying between three and seven nights in the Big Apple are skewing younger.

Between 2018-2019 and 2023-2024, the share of visitors to New York City from areas with median ages under 30 grew from 2.1% to 4.5%. Meanwhile, the share of visitors from areas with median ages between 31 and 40 increased from 34.3% to 37.7%.

The impact of this trend is already being felt in the Big Apple, with The Broadway League reporting that the average age of audiences to its shows during the 2022- 2023 season was the youngest it had been in 20 seasons.

New York City Attractions Draw Younger Visitors

The shift towards younger tourists can also be seen when examining the psychographic makeup of visitors to popular attractions in New York City. Analyzing the captured markets of major NYC landmarks with data from Spatial.ai’s PersonaLive dataset reveals an increase in households belonging to the “Educated Urbanites” segment between 2018-2019 and 2023-2024. 

These well-educated, young singles are increasingly visiting iconic NYC venues such as the Whitney Museum of American Art, The Metropolitan Museum of Art, The American Museum of Natural History, and the Statue of Liberty. This shift highlights the growing popularity of these attractions among young, educated singles, reflecting a broader trend of increased domestic tourism among this demographic.

New York City’s tourism sector is adapting to meet the changing needs of travelers, fueled increasingly by younger visitors who may be unable to take a costly international vacation. How have travel patterns to Los Angeles changed in response to increasing travel costs? 

Los Angeles -  A West Coast Favorite

Tourism to Los Angeles Fed By Households of Modest Means

While New York City is the East Coast’s tourism hotspot, Los Angeles takes center stage on the West Coast. And as overseas travel has become increasingly out of reach for Americans with less discretionary income,  the share of domestic tourists originating from areas with lower HHIs has risen. 

Before the pandemic, 57.6% of visitors to LA came from affluent areas with median household incomes (HHIs) of over $90K/year. But by 2023-2024, this share decreased to 50.7%. Over the same period, the share of visitors from areas with median HHIs between $41K and $60K increased from 9.7% to 12.5%, while the share of visitors from areas with HHIs between $61K and $90K rose from 32.1% to 35.8%.

Higher Shares of Middle-Income Families Visit Los Angeles

Diving into the psychographic makeup of visitors to popular Los Angeles attractions – Universal Studios Hollywood, Disneyland California, the Santa Monica Pier, and Griffith Observatory – also reflects the above-mentioned shift in HHI. The captured markets of these attractions had higher shares of middle-income households belonging to the “Family Union” psychographic segment in 2023-2024 than in 2018-2019. 

Experian: Mosaic defines this segment as “middle income, middle-aged families living in homes supported by solid blue-collar occupations.” Pre-pandemic, 16.0% of visitors to Universal Studios Hollywood came from trade areas with high shares of “Family Union” households. This number jumped to 18.8% over the past year. A similar trend occurred at Disneyland, Santa Monica Pier, and Griffith Observatory.

Californians Love Los Angeles 

And like in New York City, growing numbers of visitors to Los Angeles appear to be coming from nearby areas. Between 2018-2019 and 2023-2024, the share of in-state visitors to major Los Angeles attractions increased substantially – as people likely sought to cut costs by keeping things local. 

Pre-pandemic, for example, 68.9% of visitors to Universal Studios Hollywood came from within California –  a share that increased to 72.0% over the past year. Similarly, 59.7% of Griffith Observatory visitors in 2018-2019  came from within the state – and by 2023-2024, that number grew to 64.7%.

Final Tourist Destination

Even when times are tight, people love to travel – and New York and Los Angeles are two of their favorite destinations. With prices for airfare, hotels, and dining out increasing across the board, younger and more price-conscious households are adapting, choosing to visit nearby cities and enjoy attractions closer to home. And as the tourism industry continues its recovery, understanding emerging visitation trends can help stakeholders meet travelers where they are.

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