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Article
The Advertising and Retail Opportunities of the 2026 Final Four in Indianapolis
Ezra Carmel
Apr 2, 2026
4 minutes

The Men’s Final Four tips off this week in Indianapolis, IN, with UConn, Illinois, Arizona, and Michigan all vying for the title. While much of the attention will center on the action inside Lucas Oil Stadium, the experience extends far beyond the court, with a series of events unfolding across downtown. To better understand the impact of this multi-day spectacle, we looked back at last year’s Final Four in San Antonio, TX – examining the moments that drove meaningful consumer engagement and what they could signal for this year’s conclusion to March Madness.

Much like this year’s Final Four in Indianapolis, IN, the 2025 event in San Antonio, TX was spread over several days and multiple downtown locations. The Alamodome hosted the semifinals and national championship, while Fan Fest – a hub for sponsor activations, presentations, and interactive experiences – took place at the nearby Henry B. González Convention Center. Just outside, in Hemisfair’s Tower Park and Civic Park, free concerts, watch parties, giveaways, and games captured fan engagement beyond the arena.

Layered Experiences Broaden Reach and Accessibility

AI-powered analysis of the 2025 Final Four revealed that fans attending a semifinal or national championship game were likely to have a higher household income (HHI) than visitors to other Final Four events – a trend consistent with the premium ticket prices associated with a national tournament. The free or low-cost admission to Fan Fest, Tip-Off Tailgate, and the Music Festival, on the other hand, meant that visitors to the convention center and Hemisfair were more likely to have a household income aligned with state and nationwide benchmarks.

This underscores the importance of layered engagement during a high-profile sporting event. Not every fan will splurge on game tickets, but a diverse mix of accessible experiences allows a broader audience to participate. By investing in these touchpoints, organizers expand the event’s reach and amplify its overall impact.

Travel Patterns Shape Event Audiences

A deeper dive into the 2025 Final Four highlights how each venue attracted a distinct audience segment – working together to create a more complete, destination-worthy experience for a wide range of fans.

Trade area analysis underscores the differences between the events at each venue. The games at the Alamodome drew a significant share of out-of-town visitors, with more than half traveling over 250 miles. Fan Fest at the convention center skewed far more local, with nearly 70% of visitors coming from within 100 miles. 

Meanwhile, music and tailgate events at Hemisfair struck a balance between the two. The venue’s proximity to the stadium, combined with a lineup of high-profile artists, likely made it a natural stop for traveling fans already in town for the games. At the same time, the open-air activities appear to have resonated with local audiences, many of whom may have paired their visit with the nearby Fan Fest at the convention center.

What does last year's analysis tell us about this year's Final Four events? 

First, this year's Fan Fest and Tip-Off Tailgate in Indianapolis may possess an even stronger local skew than last year's. The addition of the Division II and Division III championships alongside the National Invitational Tournament (NIT) at nearby Gainbridge Fieldhouse introduces more budget-friendly viewing options – a factor that may attract even more local fans. This shift may benefit certain sponsor activations while limiting the reach of others, depending on their target audience.

Second, headline concerts can serve as a powerful draw for out-of-town visitors. And when scheduled before the games, these performances may encourage longer stays –  as visitors who travel from afar are likely to remain through the championship game – providing a more sustained hotel and tourism lift across the full event window.

Taken together, these findings reinforce the importance of a multi-layered event strategy. By offering varied experiences that appeal to different audiences, organizers can maximize engagement and elevate the overall impact of a high-profile sporting showcase like the Final Four.

Pedestrian-Friendly Programming Extends Impact

A closer look at the Hemisfair district – home to the Final Four’s Music Festival and Tip-Off Tailgate in 2025 – further highlights the potential of these events to drive local consumer engagement.

Relative to the 2025 daily visit average, traffic during the 2025 Final Four weekend (most notably, April 4th to 6th) ranked as the second-busiest stretch of the year for Hemisfair –  surpassed only by the Saturday of Muertos Fest on October 25th.

This visit spike underscores the outsized role of ancillary programming in driving visitation – an effect that can be expected from the 2026 Final Four events as well. But unlike 2025’s closely clustered setup, the 2026 event hubs are set a short distance apart in Indianapolis’s downtown core. This could encourage pedestrian movement along connecting corridors – increasing retail and dining exposure and broadening the tournament’s economic impact.

Impact Beyond the Court

All eyes will be on this week’s matchups between the final four teams, as the nation awaits the crowning of a new college basketball champion.

But if last year’s Final Four is any indication, the impact will extend well beyond the court. The broader ecosystem of multi-day programming is poised to drive local consumer engagement, reinforcing the tournament’s role as a catalyst for foot traffic and economic activity.

For more in-depth event insights, visit Placer.ai/anchor.

Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.

Article
Target's Turnaround Plan Begins to Bear Fruit
Shira Petrack
Apr 1, 2026
2 minutes

Traffic to Target on the Rise 

Following a difficult 2025, Target appears to be on a recovery path. Weekly visits from February 2 to March 22, 2026 rose 6.6% to 10.3% year over year, suggesting that the company's turnaround strategy – which includes improving its product assortment and in-store experience – is beginning to deliver results.

Visits on Circle Days Exceed 2024 & YTD Traffic Levels

In-store traffic volume during the company's recent Circle Days also suggest that a turnaround is on the horizon. Average daily visits during this year's Circle Days (March 25th to 27th 2026) were 2.9% and 5.9% higher than the comparable spring events in 2024 and 2025, respectively – despite those prior events benefiting from weekend days. (In 2024 and 2025, Target's spring Circle Day promotion ran for seven days.) Traffic was also higher compared to the YTD same-weekday average – that shoppers are returning to Target, with Circle Days further boosting already elevated traffic levels.

Will Target Make a Comeback in 2026? 

Target’s early-2026 performance suggests its turnaround efforts are beginning to resonate, supported by investments in stores, staffing, and merchandising aimed at improving the in-store experience. Encouraging traffic trends – including stronger performance during Circle Days despite already elevated baseline visits – point to renewed shopper engagement. If Target can sustain this momentum beyond promotional periods, it appears well positioned for stabilization and modest growth in 2026.

For more data-driven retail insights, visit placer.ai/anchor 

Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.

Article
IKEA’s Bet on Tulsa, OK Reveals an Overlooked Growth Market
Lila Margalit
Mar 31, 2026
4 minutes

IKEA’s recent decision to open a store in Tulsa, OK may seem surprising at first glance. But a closer look at the location analytics reveals a market with a compelling mix of inbound migration, rising incomes, and retail momentum – a combination that is putting the state of Oklahoma on the map as a next-tier retail destination.

So what do location analytics reveal about the trends shaping Oklahoma’s largest markets – and why did IKEA choose Tulsa, the state’s second-largest CBSA, over its biggest, Oklahoma City? We dug into the data to find out.

Migration Momentum Puts Oklahoma on the Map

Population growth is often one of the first signals retailers look for. And while states like California, New York, and Illinois have continued to see domestic outflows in recent years, Oklahoma has been quietly gaining ground. Between January 2023 and January 2026, the state saw an influx of relocators equal to 0.3% of its 2023 population.

Both Oklahoma City and Tulsa have benefited from this trend – but Tulsa holds a slight edge, one factor that may be contributing to IKEA’s decision. The gap may seem modest, but in a mid-sized metro context, even small differences in migration can translate into meaningful increases in demand.

Income Tailwinds Strengthen the Case

Another factor likely shaping IKEA’s decision is the quality of inbound migration. Data shows that newcomers across Oklahoma bring significantly higher median household incomes (HHIs) than existing residents.

And while Oklahoma City’s overall median HHI remains slightly higher than Tulsa’s, the income lift from new residents is more pronounced in Tulsa. Incoming households there earn about 7.1% more than local residents, compared to a 4.8% premium in Oklahoma City.

This stronger income differential points to a greater influx of higher-earning households – consumers who are more likely to drive discretionary spending. As they settle into new homes, these households often trigger immediate, high-value purchasing cycles, particularly in categories like home furnishings.

Retail Traffic Clinches It

And these demographic tailwinds appear to be translating into real-world retail performance. Since 2024, year-over-year retail visits across Oklahoma have outpaced the national average.

At the metro level, both Tulsa and Oklahoma City have seen retail activity grow since 2023 – but only Tulsa has consistently outperformed the U.S. benchmark, and in 2025, it also surpassed the state as a whole.

The convergence of these factors – stronger migration, a more pronounced income uplift, and sustained retail outperformance – may help explain IKEA’s strategic choice.

Oklahoma!

IKEA stores are long-term investments, often serving as regional anchors for decades. Choosing Tulsa signals confidence not just in current demand, but in the market’s future trajectory.

And the data supports that bet. With stronger inbound migration, a greater concentration of higher-income newcomers, and above-average retail momentum, Tulsa is emerging as a quietly attractive growth market – one that may be flying under the radar, but increasingly checks all the right boxes.

For more data-driven retail analysis, follow Placer.ai/anchor.

Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.

Article
Chick-fil-A’s Traffic Momentum Holds as Expansion Continues
Lila Margalit
Mar 30, 2026
3 minutes

Chick-fil-A continues to carve out a distinctive growth story in the quick-service restaurant (QSR) space, pairing steady physical expansion with consistent gains in foot traffic. The latest data highlights a brand strengthening its position through operational efficiency, disciplined growth, and a loyal customer base that values quality and experience over aggressive promotions.

Growing Footprint, Growing Throughput

Supported by industry-leading average unit volumes, Chick-fil-A has successfully expanded its physical footprint without sacrificing store-level performance. 

Recent traffic data from September 2025 through February 2026 illustrates this efficient scaling, as total visits rose consistently year-over-year throughout the entire six-month period while average visits per location remained elevated in four of those six months.

Standing Out in a Competitive Set

In addition, since September 2025, Chick-fil-A has largely outpaced other limited-service restaurants in per-location traffic growth, lagging behind QSR and fast-casual competitors only in October and November. 

Notably, November’s sharp decline can be attributed to calendar dynamics rather than a drop in consumer interest – Chick-fil-A is famously closed on Sundays, and November 2025 had one more Sunday than November 2024, which could have placed the chain at a disadvantage relative to other restaurants. 

A Customer Base That Supports Consistency

Chick-fil-A’s resilience may be rooted in part in the strong alignment between its operating model and its customer base. Positioned as a premium QSR brand straddling the line between fast food and fast casual, the chain emphasizes consistency, menu simplicity, and high-touch service rather than heavy discounting. 

This approach has helped Chick-fil-A maintain a top ranking for QSR customer satisfaction for over a decade. At the same time, its trade areas skew more affluent than those of traditional QSR competitors, providing a degree of insulation from macroeconomic pressures and supporting a willingness to pay for a reliable, higher-quality dining experience.

Steady Climb, Strong Positioning

Chick-fil-A’s recent performance highlights a brand executing with discipline – expanding its footprint while maintaining strong unit-level productivity and outperforming key competitors. With a stable operating model and a customer base that supports its offerings, the chain appears well positioned to sustain its upward trajectory.

For more data-driven dining insights, follow Placer.ai/anchor

Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.

Article
Loss of Aspirational Luxury Consumers Disproportionately Impacting Mono-Brand Stores
Shira Petrack
Mar 27, 2026
3 minutes

Luxury Department Stores Have Pulled Ahead of Mono-Brand Boutiques

Traffic trends highlight a growing divergence between mono-brand boutiques and luxury department stores. While both formats have faced headwinds, department stores have consistently outperformed mono-brand boutiques on a year-over-year basis, maintaining relatively stable visitation compared to the sharper and more sustained declines seen across mono-brand locations. This gap has been especially pronounced since the second half of 2025, where mono-brand traffic trends weakened significantly while department stores showed greater resilience.

Part of this gap may be explained by structural differences between the formats. Department stores offer broader assortments, multiple price points, and the ability to support a range of shopping missions in a single visit, allowing them to capture demand across a wider spectrum of consumers. Mono-brand boutiques, by contrast, are more tightly tied to full-price luxury positioning, making them inherently more exposed to fluctuations in discretionary spending.

Mono-Brand Stores' Greater Dependence on Aspirational Shoppers May Be Driving the Divergence 

But even as luxury department stores offer a broader range of products that can appeal to a wider audience, trade area demographics suggest that mono-brand boutiques rely more heavily on aspirational shoppers. While both formats drew from affluent areas in 2025, mono-brand stores captured a higher share of households below the $100K income threshold – indicating greater exposure to more price-sensitive consumers. Department stores, by contrast, skewed toward higher-income households, providing a more stable demand base.

This distinction also helps explain the widening traffic gap between the two formats. As discretionary spending tightens, aspirational shoppers are often the first to pull back. And because mono-brand boutiques seem to depend more on this segment – and lack the pricing flexibility and assortment breadth to retain them – they are experiencing sharper declines. Meanwhile, department stores, supported by a more affluent customer base and greater assortment diversity, are better positioned to sustain traffic and overall performance.

Not All Luxury Retail Is Built the Same

The divergence between the two luxury formats suggests that both who shops and how they shop matter as much as brand strength. Mono-brand boutiques’ greater exposure to aspirational consumers leaves them more vulnerable in periods of constrained spending, while department stores benefit from both structural flexibility and a more resilient customer base. As the environment remains uneven, performance will likely hinge on a retailer’s ability to align format, pricing strategy, and audience with today’s shifting demand dynamics.

For more data-driven retail insights, visit placer.ai/anchor.

Article
Thrift’s Next Chapter: From Trade-Down Trend to Retail Mainstay
Ezra Carmel
Mar 26, 2026
4 minutes

As economic pressure continues to reshape consumer behavior, one retail segment is accelerating through the storm. Thrift stores, long viewed as a niche segment, are emerging as a core apparel channel – attracting more affluent value-seekers and a younger generation of shoppers. An AI-powered analysis of the thrift category and one of its leading players – Goodwill – highlights the segment’s rise to prominence and the takeaways for other apparel players in an uncertain retail environment. 

Thrift Traffic Outpaces Traditional and Luxury Apparel

Thrift stores have seen sustained visit growth in recent years. The chart below compares visits across thrift, traditional apparel, and luxury apparel chains relative to Q4 2022. Thrift has maintained a clear upward trajectory, outperforming both traditional and luxury apparel since Q1 2025, as visits to those segments wane.

This trend likely reflects several dynamics at work. Economic pressure has encouraged consumers to seek out lower-cost alternatives, while the opportunity to score stylish, high-quality, and even luxury items at a fraction of their original price introduces a “treasure hunt” dynamic that traditional retail often struggles to replicate.

In this sense, thrifting has redefined value-seeking behavior – not out of necessity, but because it enhances the thrill of the hunt: a wholly discretionary shopping mentality.

Visitor Frequency Fueled By Resale and Social Media

Thrift’s visit growth is also being driven by increasing visitor frequency. 

At Goodwill, for example, customer loyalty has been on the rise. Between early 2022 and early 2026, the share of visitors making an average of two or more visits per month, rose from roughly 28% to around 30%. 

This trend aligns with the very nature of the thrift experience. Constantly changing inventory combined with meaningful variation across locations encourages shoppers to visit more often and explore multiple stores within short timeframes. 

At the same time, online resale activity is increasing, particularly among younger, digitally savvy consumers. As economic uncertainty persists, many are turning thrifting into a side hustle, leveraging low-cost sourcing and online platforms to generate income – providing additional financial incentive to make repeat trips.

Social creators are further accelerating this behavior. “Thrift flip” videos, haul content, and store walkthroughs are reshaping discovery and growing in popularity among Gen Z audiences. And operators are adapting accordingly – partnering with influencers and refreshing store environments to better align with younger consumers’ expectations. 

A Higher-Income Shopper Enters the Fold

In addition to attracting younger audiences and frequent visitors, the profile of thrift store shoppers is evolving in another way. Operators such as Goodwill have increasingly expanded into higher-income areas, improving both the quality of donated inventory and access to more affluent customer segments. Likely as a result, the median household income (HHI) of the segment’s overall trade area – its potential market – has risen steadily.

At the same time, the median HHI of the category’s captured market – the areas within its trade area generating the most visits – has also increased, evidence that thrifting is gaining traction among more affluent consumers driven by value-seeking and treasure-hunting. 

And crucially, while thrift stores still attract a somewhat less affluent audience than their overall trade area, this gap is narrowing: The income differential between potential and captured markets declined from 5.3% in 2022 to 4.8% in 2025, with the customer base increasingly reflecting the demographics of the communities where stores operate.

A Sector Redefined

Taken together, these trends point to a broader repositioning of thrift retail. What began as a value-driven alternative is evolving into a hybrid model – one that blends affordability and discovery. 

And in a time of economic uncertainty, a channel that resonates across income levels, engages younger shoppers, and thrives at the intersection of physical retail and digital culture is well positioned to not only remain resilient, but continue to build momentum. 

Will the thrift space build on its successes in 2026? Visit Placer.ai/anchor to find out.

Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.

Reports
INSIDER
Q4 2023 Quarterly Index
Find out how the Fitness, Beauty & Self Care, Discount & Dollar Stores, Superstores, Grocery Stores, and Dining categories fared during last year’s all-important holiday shopping season.
February 15, 2024
6 minutes

Overview of Categories: Q4 2023 and Yearly Review

Last year ended on a high note for many retailers, with cooling inflation and rebounding consumer confidence contributing to a robust holiday season. Still, 2023 was a year of headwinds for the sector, as consumers traded down and cut back on unnecessary indulgences. 

In the midst of these challenges, some segments thrived. Continued prioritization of health and wellness by consumers drove strong visit growth for the Fitness and Beauty & Self Care segments – which emerged as 2023 winners and enjoyed positive foot traffic growth in Q4. At the same time, price consciousness drove foot traffic to Discount & Dollar Stores and Superstores, both of which made inroads into the affordable grocery space during the year. 

The Grocery category, too, saw a 4.3% jump in visits last year compared to 2022, as well as a slight uptick in Q4 visits. And even the discretionary Dining sector held its own, with a 2.1% year-over-year (YoY) annual increase in foot traffic, and a Q4 quarterly visit gap of just 1.8%.

Fitness: Not Just for New Year’s Resolutions Anymore

Fitness had a particularly strong 2023, buoyed by consumers’ sustained interest in self-care and wellness. Since the pandemic, gym memberships have graduated from a discretionary expense to something of a necessity – an important investment in health and wellbeing. The category has also likely continued to benefit from the post-COVID craving for experiences

And quarterly data shows that the Fitness segment is positively flourishing. Throughout most of Q4 2023, Fitness venues experienced YoY weekly visit growth ranging from 8.8% to 12.2%. (The unusual visit spike and dip during the last two weeks of the quarter are due to calendar discrepancies: The week of December 18th, 2023 is being compared to the week of December 19th, 2022, which included Christmas Day – while the week of December 25th, 2023 is being compared to the week of December 26th, 2022, which did not). 

Budget and Premium Fitness on the Rise

Drilling down into the data for several leading fitness chains shows that there’s plenty of success to go around. Crunch Fitness – ranked by Entrepreneur as 2024’s top fitness franchise – led the pack with a remarkable 28.2% YoY annual increase in visits, partly fueled by the steady expansion of its fleet. And while other value gyms like Planet Fitness also saw robust visit growth, the boost wasn’t limited to budget options. Given the Fitness sector’s already-impressive 2022 performance, the category’s strong YoY showing is especially noteworthy.

Beauty & Self Care: Wellness-Driven Success

Beauty & Self Care was another category to benefit from 2023’s obsession with wellness – as well as the “lipstick effect”, which sees consumers treating themselves to fun, affordable luxuries when money’s tight. Driven in part by the evolving preferences of Gen Z consumers, cosmetics leaders have embraced wellness-focused approaches to cosmetics that prioritize self-care and self-expression. This strategy continues to prove successful: Throughout Q4 2023, Beauty & Self Care chains saw steady YoY weekly visit growth, especially in November and early December – perhaps highlighting Beauty’s growing role in the holiday shopping frenzy. 

Ulta Beauty Stays Ahead of the Pack

One brand leading the cosmetics pack in 2023 was Ulta Beauty – which drew growing crowds with its diverse product selection. Everybody loves makeup, and Ulta makes sure to have something for everyone – from discount fare to more upscale products. Buff City Soap, which now pairs its signature offerings with experiential vibes at some 270 locations across 33 states, also experienced YoY annual visit growth of 14.7%. And Bath & Body Works, which made the Wall Street Journal’s list of best-managed companies for 2023, also saw visit strength, with an overall increase in annual foot traffic, even as Q4 visits saw a slight decline. 

Discount & Dollar Stores: Entering the Mainstream

If wellness was a key retail buzzword in 2023, value was an equally discussed topic. And Discount & Dollar Stores – ideal destinations for cash-strapped consumers seeking bargain merchandise – made the most of this opportunity. Shoppers frequented these chains year-round for everything from groceries to home goods, propelling the category firmly into the mainstream

And in Q4 2023, shoppers flocked to discount chains in droves to snag food items, stocking stuffers, and other holiday fare – fueling near-uniform positive YoY foot traffic growth throughout the quarter. The week of October 30th seems to have kicked off the Discount & Dollar holiday shopping season, perhaps showcasing the segment’s growing role as a Halloween candy and costume hotspot.

Five Below Above the Rest

Every discount chain is somewhat different – and the success of the various Discount & Dollar chains can be attributed to a range of factors. Dollar Tree and Dollar General likely benefited from the broadening and diversification of their grocery selections – while Ollie’s (“Get Good Stuff Cheap!”) solidified its position as a place to find relatively upscale items at a bargain. All three chains – and particularly Dollar General and Ollie’s – also grew their footprints over the past year. Family Dollar (also owned by Dollar Tree) also came out ahead on an annual basis – despite the comparison to a strong 2022. 

Of all the Discount & Dollar chains, Five Below saw the biggest surge in foot traffic, partly as a result of its increasing store count. But the retailer’s offerings – affordable toys, party supplies, and other fun splurges – also appear to have been tailor-made for 2023’s retail vibe. 

Superstores: Capturing the Crowds

During the fourth quarter of the year, Superstores saw a slight YoY increase in visits – including during the all-important week of Black Friday, beginning on November 20th. (This week was compared with the week of November 21st, 2022, which also included Black Friday). Like Discount & Dollar chains, Superstores saw an appreciable YoY visit uptick during the week of Halloween. 

Members Only, Please

On an annual basis, Superstore mainstays Walmart and Target experienced visit increases of 2.8% and 4.7%, respectively. But while all the major category players enjoyed a successful year, membership warehouse chains’ YoY visit numbers were especially strong. As perfect venues for mission-driven shopping expeditions, Costco, Sam’s Club, and BJ’s likely drew shoppers eager to load up on both inexpensive gifts and essentials. 

Grocery Stores: Holding Onto Gains

The traditional Grocery sector also held its own during Q4 2023. Notably, grocery stores saw positive visit growth for most weeks of November and December, a period encompassing the critical Turkey Wednesday milestone – no small feat given the disruptions experienced by the category. 

Value Grocers Lead the Way

Unsurprisingly, it was discount grocery chains that saw some of the greatest YoY visit growth, as shoppers – including higher-income segments – sought to counter inflation with lower-priced food-at-home alternatives. Whether through opportunistic buying models, private label merchandising, or no-frills customer experiences, value supermarkets proved once again that even quality specialty items don’t have to carry high price tags.

Dining: Staying the Course

Eating out can be expensive – and when money’s tight, restaurants and other discretionary categories are often first to feel the crunch. But the Dining category seems to have emerged from 2023 relatively unscathed, with overall yearly visits up 2.1% compared to 2022 despite the modest YoY weekly visit gaps in Q4 2023. And given the myriad challenges out-of-home eateries had to contend with in 2023 – from inflation to labor shortages – even the minor weekly gaps are quite an attainment. (As noted, the last two weeks of the quarter reflect calendar discrepancies).  

Success Across Dining Sub-Categories

Foot traffic data shows that dining success could be found across sub-categories. Wingstop, Shake Shack, and Jersey Mike’s Subs rocked Fast Casual and QSR, with annual YoY visit growth ranging from 11.8% to 20.3%, partly fueled by the chains’ growing footprints. Full-Service Restaurants also had their bright spots, including all-you-can-eat buffet star Golden Corral and two steak venues: Texas Roadhouse and LongHorn Steakhouse. 

And in the Coffee, Breakfast, and Bakeries space, Playa Bowls led the charge. The superfruit bowl chain’s affordable, wellness-oriented treats seem to have been created with 2023 in mind – and during the year Playa Bowls expanded its fleet while also seeing double-digit increases in comparable store sales. Steadily expanding Biggby Coffee and Dutch Bros. Coffee also saw significant YoY foot traffic growth. 

INSIDER
10 Top Brands to Watch in 2024
This report analyzes the latest location intelligence data to identify ten brands poised to succeed in 2024.
February 8, 2024

The State Of Retail 

New year, new retail opportunities. And though 2023 is firmly in the rearview mirror, the economic headwinds that characterized much of the year have yet to fully dissipate. But every challenge also brings with it new opportunities, and many retailers are adapting to meet their customers' changing wants and needs. 

This white paper analyzes location intelligence for 10 brands poised to succeed in 2024. Some, like low-cost apparel and home furnishing stores, are benefitting from consumer trade-down. Others are expanding into rural or suburban areas to meet customers where they are. Read on for some of 2024’s retail winners. 

1. New Balance: From Dad To Dapper

Until around four years ago, New Balance sneakers were commonly seen on the feet of suburban dads – not exactly a recipe for high fashion. But all that began to change in 2019 when the company began collaborating with Teddy Santis, who eventually became New Balance’s creative director. Since then, the brand’s popularity has surged among Gen Z and X and is now one of the fastest-growing sneaker companies in the industry, despite the increasing competition in sneaker space. In 2023, foot traffic to New Balance stores grew 3.3% year-over-year (YoY) and the brand has firmly established itself as ultimate retro cool. 

Diving into the demographics of New Balance stores’ captured market trade area reveals the success of the chain’s rebranding. In 2023, New Balance’s trade area included larger shares of “Ultra Wealthy Families,” “Young Professionals,” and “Educated Urbanites” than the average shoe store’s trade area – highlighting New Balance’s successful reinvention as a brand for the young and hip.  

2. Harbor Freight Tools: A Wide Reach 

The home improvement space is dominated by Lowe’s and Home Depot – but Harbor Freight Tools is quickly making a name for itself as a go-to destination for affordable tools and supplies. 

Over the past few years, Harbor Freight Tools has expanded rapidly, with many of its new stores opening in smaller towns and cities. And the expansion appears to be paying off, with visits up YoY during every month of 2023. And although the chain is now operating with a significantly larger store fleet, the average number of visits per venue has generally increased – indicating that the company is expanding into markets where it is meeting a ready demand.    

3. Winmark: Poppin’ Tags

Over a decade after Mackelmore dropped his smash hit “Thrift Shop” in 2012, second-hand stores are still enjoying their time in the limelight. Shoppers, driven by a desire to reduce waste, find unique styles, and to save a few dollars at the till, continue to flock to thrift stores. And Winmark Corporation, which operates five secondhand goods chains – including apparel brands Plato’s Closet (young adult clothes), Once Upon a Child (children's clothes and toys), and Style Encore (women's clothing) – has benefited from the strong demand. Visits to the three Winmark clothing banners increased an average of 5.3% YoY in 2023. 

The median household income (HHI) in the trade areas of Winmark’s apparel chains tends to be lower than the median HHI in the wider apparel category – so budget-conscious consumers are driving at least some of the company’s growth. With more consumers looking for ways to cut back on spending in 2024, the demand for second-hand clothes is expected to grow even further – and Winmark is likely to continue reaping the benefits. 

4. HomeGoods: Hunting For Deals

HomeGoods, a treasure hunter's dream, is the discount home furnishing retailer owned by off-price retail giant TJX Companies. The chain, which operates over 900 brick-and-mortar stores, recently closed its e-commerce platform to focus on its physical locations – where foot traffic grew 6.0% between 2023 and 2022.

HomeGoods carries kitchen and home decor items along with furniture, and may be benefiting from the relative strength of the houseware segment, driven in part by an increase in at-home entertainment. And in a surprising twist, this low-cost retailer attracts more affluent visitors than visitors to the home furnishing segment overall. The median household income (HHI) in HomeGoods’ trade area stood at $84.7K/year compared to a $78.5K median HHI in the trade area of the average home furnishing chain. As economic uncertainty and the resumption of student loan payments impact consumers, wealthier shoppers seeking a budget-friendly home refresh are likely to continue choosing HomeGoods over pricier alternatives.

5. Bealls: Rural Expansion

Florida-based Bealls, Inc., which got its start as a small town five-and-dime in 1915 in Bradenton, Florida, now operates over 600 stores across the country. The company, which saw an impressive 9.0% YoY increase in visits in 2023, recently consolidated its two largest banners – Burkes Outlet and Bealls Outlet – under the Bealls name. 

One reason for Bealls’ success could be its appeal to rural consumers. Over the past five years, the share of households falling into Spatial.ai: PersonaLive’s “Rural Average Income” segment has steadily increased, growing from 12.6% in 2019 to 15.1% in 2023. With rural shoppers continuing to command ever-more attention from retailers, the increase in visits from this segment bodes well for Bealls in 2024.

6. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: Built To Last

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet was built for this economy. The chain saw a 13.0% YoY increase in visits in 2023, thanks in part to its popularity among a wide array of budget-conscious consumers. Ollie’s has found success with rural shoppers while maintaining its appeal among value-oriented suburban segments – and the chain’s diverse audience base seems to be setting it apart from other discount retailers. 

A closer look at the chain’s captured market data, layered with the Spatial.ai: Personalive dataset, reveals that Ollie’s trade area includes larger shares of the “Blue Collar Suburbs” and “Suburban Boomer” segments when compared to the wider Discount & Dollar Stores category. As the chain plots its expansion, focusing on suburban and rural areas may help Ollie’s meet its customers where they are. 

7. Trader Joe’s: Young And Hungry

Trader Joe’s has managed to do what few stores can. The company does not invest in marketing, has no online shopping options, and loyalty programs? Forget about it. But despite this unusual approach to running a business, the California native has enjoyed consistent success over the years, with a 12.4% YoY increase in visits in 2023. 

Trader Joe’s is particularly popular among younger shoppers, perhaps thanks to the company’s focus on sustainability and social responsibility – as well as its famously low prices. Analyzing the chain’s trade area using the AGS: Panorama dataset reveals that Trader Joe’s attracts more “Emerging Leaders” and “Young Coastal Technocrats” (segments that describe highly educated young professionals) than the average grocery chain. With Gen Z particularly concerned about putting their money where their mouth is, Trader Joe’s is likely to sustain its momentum in 2024 and beyond.

8. Foxtrot Market: The C-Store Connoisseur

Convenience stores are growing up and evolving into bona-fide dining destinations. And Foxtrot, a Chicago-based chain with 29 stores across Texas, Illinois, Washington, Maryland, and Virginia, is one c-store redefining what a convenience store can be. The chain, which announced a merger with Dom’s Kitchen in November 2023, offers an upscale convenience store experience and is particularly known for including local brands in its product assortment as well as its excellent wine curation and dining options.

Visitors to the chain were significantly more likely to fall into AGS: Behavior & Attitudes dataset’s  “Wine Drinker” or “Nutritionally Aware” segments than visitors to nearby convenience stores. The company plans to ramp up store openings, particularly in the suburbs, where convenience and a good bottle of wine might just find the perfect home as a welcome distraction from the daily grind.

9. Jersey Mike’s: Suburban Style

Jersey Mike’s is one of the fastest-growing franchise dining chains in the country, operating over 2,500 locations in all 50 states. The sandwich chain has seen its popularity take off over the past few years, with 2023 visits up 14.1% YoY and plans to open 350 new stores in 2024. 

The company has long prioritized affluent class suburban customers – and visitation data layered with the Experian: Mosaic dataset reveals that Jersey Mike’s has indeed succeeded in attracting this audience. The percentage of “Booming with Confidence” and “Flourishing Families” (both affluent segments) in Jersey Mike’s trade area was larger than in the trade areas of the average sub sandwich chain. As Jersey Mike’s continues its expansion, focusing on suburban areas may continue to serve the chain well. 

10. Playa Bowl: Surf’s Up

The East Coast may not be the first region that pops to mind when thinking about tropical smoothies – but New Jersey-based Playa Bowls is making it work. The company was founded by avid surf enthusiasts determined to bring the flavors of their favorite surfing towns stateside. 

Playa Bowls has enjoyed strong visit numbers in 2023, with overall visits up 23.0% and average visits per venue up 17.1% YoY – and part of the chain’s success may be driven by its ability to draw wealthier customers to its stores. The Experian: Mosaic dataset reveals that the “Power Elite” segment is overrepresented in the company’s trade areas: The share of households falling into that segment from Playa Bowl’s captured market exceeded their share in the company’s potential market. As the chain continues expanding its domestic footprint, it seems to have found its niche among a wealthy customer base.

Starting The New Year Strong

The past year saw a wide range of challenges facing brick-and-mortar retailers as economic fears continued to shake consumer confidence. But there are plenty of bright spots as the new year gets underway. These ten brands prove that the retail world never stands still, and that the next opportunity is just around the corner.

INSIDER
The Retail Opportunity of Stadiums
Dive into the location intelligence to understand the significant retail and dining opportunities in and around major stadiums – both during games and in the off-season.
January 11, 2024
7 minutes

Play Ball

Sports leagues like the NBA, NFL, and MLB boast billion-dollar revenues – and the venues where these games unfold hold significant commercial potential in their own rights. Many stadiums host concerts and other shows in addition to regularly held sporting matches and can accommodate tens of thousands of spectators at once – creating massive retail, dining, and advertisement opportunities.

This white paper analyzes location intelligence metrics for some of the biggest stadiums across the country to reveal the commercial potential of these venues beyond simple ticketing revenue. Where do visitors of various stadiums like to shop? Do specific sporting and cultural events impact the nearby restaurant scene differently? How can stadium operators, local businesses, and advertisers tailor their offerings to a stadium’s particular audience and make the most of the stadium and the space throughout the year?  

We take a closer look below. 

Major League Visits

The three major sports leagues – the National Basketball League (NBA), Major League Baseball (MLB), and the National Football League (NFL) – play at different points of the year, and the number of games each league holds during the season also varies. 

MLB leads in game frequency, with each team playing 162 games during the regular season, which runs approximately from April through September. Basketball season is also around six months – roughly from mid-October to mid-April – but each NBA team plays only 82 games a season. And the NFL has both the shortest season – 18 weeks running from early September to early January (with the pre-season starting in August) – and the fewest number of matches per team. Understanding the monthly visitation patterns for the various types of stadiums can help advertisers, stadium operators, and other stakeholders ensure that they are leveraging the full potential of the venue throughout the year.

Different Visitation Patterns During the On- and Off-Season

Unsurprisingly, the sports arenas serving the different leagues see visit spikes during their leagues’ respective season. But comparing visit numbers throughout the year to the average monthly visit numbers for each category in 2023 reveals that the relative visit increases and decreases during the on- and off-season vary for each type of stadium. 

MLB stadiums display the steadiest visit strength during the on-season – perhaps due to MLB’s packed game schedule. MLB tickets also tend to be relatively affordable compared to tickets to pro football or basketball matches, which may also contribute to MLB’s consistently strong visit numbers throughout the season. During the MLB off-season, baseball fields – which tend to be uncovered – are relatively empty. 

The seasonal visit spike to NBA arenas is less steady. The beginning and end of the season see strong peaks, and visits slow down slightly during the mid-season months of January and February. Visits then drop during the off-season spring and summer, but the off-season visit dip is not as low as it is for MLB fields – perhaps because the NBA arenas’ indoor nature make them suitable locations for concerts and other non-basketball events. 

Meanwhile, NFL stadiums see the least dramatic drop in visits during the NFL off-season, as these venues’ enormous size also make them the ideal location for concerts and other cultural events that draw large crowds. These arenas’ strong almost year-round visitation numbers mean that sponsors and advertisers looking to expand beyond sports fans to reach a diverse audience may have the most success with these venues. 

Stealing Bases, Winning Retail 

A Higher-Income Visitor Base 

Although MLB offers the most budget-friendly outing, combining STI: Popstats demographic metrics with trade area data reveals that MLB stadium visitors reside in higher-income areas when compared with visitors to NBA or NFL stadiums. 

Baseball fans tend to be older than fans of the other sports, which could partially explain MLB stadium visitors’ higher household income (HHI). The combination of lower ticket prices, higher median HHI among fans, and many games per season offers baseball stadiums significant opportunities to engage effectively with their fan bases. 

But while NBA and NFL stadium attendees may not come from as high-income areas as do MLB stadium visitors, fans of live basketball and football still reside in trade areas with a higher HHI compared to the nationwide median. So by leveraging stadium space, advertisers and other stakeholders can reach tens of thousands of relatively high-income consumers easily and effectively.

An Advertising Slam Dunk

Sports fans are known to be passionate, engaged, and willing to spend money on their team – but stadium visitors also shop for non-sports related goods and services. Retailers and advertisers can draw on location analytics to uncover the consumer preferences of stadium visitors and tailor campaigns, sponsorships, and collaborations accordingly. 

Distinct Retail Choices by Team

Visitation data to the top five most visited MLB stadiums during 2023 showed differences between the apparel and sporting goods shopping preferences of the various stadiums’ attendees. While 39.4% of visitors to Truist Park also visited DICK’s in 2023, only 30.8% of Yankee Stadium visitors stopped by the sporting goods retailer in the same period. Similarly, while 29.9% of visitors to Yankee Stadium frequented Kohl’s, that percentage jumped to 47.3% for Busch Stadium visitors.  

Harnessing location intelligence to see the consumer preferences of a stadium’s visitor base can help retailers, stadium operators, and even team managers choose partnerships and merchandising agreements that will yield the most effective results. 

Fan Tastes: Beyond the Bleachers

Sports and snacks go hand in hand – what would a baseball game be without a hot dog or peanuts? But while every stadium likely provides a similar core of traditional game day eats, each venue also offers a unique set of dining options, both on- and off-premise. And by leveraging location analytics to gain visibility into stadium-goers dining habits, stadium operators and local food businesses can understand how to best serve each arena’s audience.  

End Zone Eats

Mapping where stadium visitors dine before and after games can help stakeholders in the stadium industry reach more fans. 

The chart below shows the share of visitors coming to a stadium from a dining venue (on the x-axis) or going to a dining venue after visiting the stadium (on the y-axis). The data reveals a correlation between pre-stadium dining and post-stadium dining – stadiums where many guests visit dining venues before the stadium also tend to have a large share of guests going to dining venues after the event. For example, the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, saw large shares of visitors grabbing a bite to eat on their journey to or from the stadium, while the M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland saw low rates of pre- and post stadium dining engagement. 

These trends present opportunities for both local businesses and stadium stakeholders. For example, venues with high dining engagement can explore partnerships with local restaurants, while those with lower rates can build out their in-house dining options for hungry sports fans.

Different Events Drive Different Dining Patterns

Stadiums looking to enhance their food offerings – or local entrepreneurs thinking of opening a restaurant near a stadium – can also get inspired by stadium visitors’ dining preferences. For example, psychographic data taken from the Spatial.ai: FollowGraph dataset reveals that visitors to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey have a much stronger preference for Asian cuisine compared to New Jersey residents overall. With that knowledge, the stadium can enhance the visitor experience by expanding its Asian food offerings. 

On the other hand, MetLife Stadium goers seem much less partial to Brewery fare than average New Jerseyans, so the stadium operators and restaurateurs may want to avoid offering too many Brewery-themed dining options. Stadium stakeholders can reserve the craft beers for Caesars Stadium, M&T Bank Stadium, and Soldier Field Stadiums, where visitors seem to enjoy artisanal brews more than the average resident in Louisiana, Maryland, and Illinois, respectively. 

All of the stadiums analyzed exhibited unique visitor dining tastes, a reminder that no customer or fan base is alike. Aligning on- or off-site dining options with offerings that align with a given customer base’s preferences can improve overall visitor satisfaction and boost revenues.

Pitches to Plates

Zooming in to look at consumer behavior around individual events reveals further variability in dining preferences even among visitors to the same stadium, with different types of events driving distinct dining behaviors.

State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, is home to the Arizona Cardinals. The stadium hosted the 2023 Super Bowl, but the NFL stadium also acts as a concert venue for acts ranging from Taylor Swift to Metallica. And location intelligence reveals that the dining preferences of stadium visitors vary based on the events held at the venue. 

During the Super Bowl, sports bars such as Yard House and Buffalo Wild Wings saw the largest increase in visits compared to the chains’ daily average. A month later, attendees at Taylor Swift's concert gave fried-chicken leader Raising Cane’s a significant boost. 

Local restaurants can leverage location analytics to see what types of events are popular with their visitor base and craft collaborations and advertising campaigns that resonate effectively with their patrons.

Final Buzzer

Sports stadiums and arenas are not just spaces for sports and music enthusiasts to gather; they also offer significant commercial opportunities for the surrounding communities. Stadium operators and local businesses can fine-tune their offerings by utilizing location analytics to better connect with their visitor bases and uncover new retail opportunities. 

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