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Article
Detroit’s Domestic Migration Resurgence 
Detroit is making a comeback – and location intelligence data can help explain some of the city’s growth. 
Bracha Arnold & Noam Maman
Dec 23, 2024
2 minutes

A decade after declaring bankruptcy, Detroit is coming back to life. The city is experiencing a resurgence that is bringing new energy to its streets – and an increase in the population of the wider CBSA. 

We took a look at some of the data points highlighting the return of the Motor City to better understand what is driving the city’s growth. 

Detroit's Comeback Gains Momentum

Detroit is making a comeback – undergoing a transformation from a depressed city to a viable and exciting place to live and work. Between July 2022 and July 2023, the city’s population grew for the first time in 66 years, likely thanks to economic revitalization efforts, a thriving tech scene, and a newfound “cool factor” driving inbound migration. And looking at more recent numbers for the wider CBSA indicates that the trend is continuing – net migration to the Detroit-Warren-Dearborne CBSA was either neutral or positive every month between January and August 2024. 

This sustained net migration suggests that this growth is not a one-off – Detroit is increasingly becoming a place recognized for the opportunities it offers, economic and otherwise.

graph showing an increase in the monthly net migrated percent of population to the Detroit CBSA

New Residents Coming From Nearby

Diving into the CBSAs feeding Detroit’s domestic migration boom reveals that many of the Motor City’s newest residents are coming from other areas in Michigan. Between May 2023 and May 2024, the top five feeder CBSAs for migration to Detroit were located in the Wolverine State, accounting for over a third (35.4%) of new Detroit residents. The influx of Michiganders into Detroit may mean that Detroit’s new residents come with an already strong regional identity and are invested in continuing to revitalize Detroit. 

The data also reveals that many of Detroit’s new residents came from areas with higher median household incomes (HHI) than the city’s: Around 33.8% of incoming residents came from areas where the median HHI was $100K and up, compared to just 31.6% of Detroit residents in that HHI bracket. The influx of higher-income residents to the area highlights just how well Detroit has reinvented itself, becoming an increasingly desirable destination for wealthier individuals – a positive feedback loop that could continue driving its economic growth. 

Graph describing origins and demographics of inbound domestic migration to Detroit

The Continuous Comeback City

Detroit has been known by many names over the years – Motown, Detroit Rock City, The Paris of the West – and today, it’s earning a new title: the Comeback City. With a positive economic outlook, steady population growth, and a thriving cultural scene, the future looks bright for Detroit.

Stay up to date with the latest data-driven civic insights at Placer.ai.

Article
Chicken Chains Charge Ahead in 2025 
Fried chicken chains like Dave's Hot Chicken and Raising Cane's are some of the most exciting dining segments around. We dove into the visit numbers to see how the segment is faring and highlighted some of the chains making the biggest splash. 
Bracha Arnold
Dec 18, 2024
3 minutes

Chicken restaurants have seen a huge surge in popularity over the past few years, from the epic Chicken Wars of 2021 to the impressive stateside success of international chains. And analyzing recent data indicates that fried chicken concepts are likely to continue as a top growth segment in 2025 as well. 

We dove into the visit numbers to see how the segment is faring and highlighted some of the chains making the biggest splash. 

Fried, Battered, and Crispy

In a dining segment that’s faced its fair share of challenges of late, chicken restaurant chains are standing out. Visits to QSR and fast-casual chicken chains consistently outperformed the wider fast-casual and QSR segments in terms of YoY visits, with the chicken category seeing a 4.3% YoY traffic boost in Q3 2024. 

As diners continue to prioritize convenient and affordable meals in the face of continued economic uncertainty, chicken-centric restaurants – which offer both value and speed – seem well-positioned to continue thriving. 

Q3 and monthly 2024 YoY chicken chain visits compared to quick service and fast casual chains

A Clucking Success

Diving into the visitation data for some of the category’s chicken leaders reveals that many of the bigger names in the game are not only growing their storefleet – they’re also continuing to drive more visits to each location. 

Dave’s Hot Chicken, Raising Cane’s Chicken Fingers, and Church’s Texas Chicken each attract millions of visits to their brick-and-mortar location every month – and traffic is steadily growing thanks to the three chains' expanding footprint. And location analytics reveal that these brands are also seeing strong growth in monthly visits per location – highlighting the impressive demand for fried chicken and showcasing these companies’ ability to grow their consumer base through fleet expansions.  

July - November monthly visits per location compared to 2023 for Dave's Hot Chicken, Raising Cane's and Church's Texas chains all see positive growth

Size Isn’t Everything: Smaller Chains Seeing Fried Chicken Success

Another indication of the fried chicken market’s continued growth potential comes from the success of smaller brands flourishing alongside the category leaders. Chains like Pollo Campero, Urban Bird Hot Chicken, Layne’s Chicken Fingers, and Super Chix may not be competing with industry leaders yet – but their impressive YoY visit growth highlights consumers’ current appetite for fried chicken franchises. 

The four analyzed chains enjoyed strong monthly visits in 2024 relative to 2023, with November 2024 visits elevated between 13.1% and 29.1% YoY.

Whether these smaller chains are fueling their growth by offering an innovative twist on the traditional fried bird or benefiting from homegrown loyalty, the bottom line remains clear. Despite operating in a market that's getting more crowded by the day, there's ample opportunity for new players to throw their feathered caps in the ring.

Smaller fried chicken chains are seeing even larger growth

The Top Of The Pecking Order

The fried chicken segment remains a high-demand category, evidenced by the segment’s strong visit performance over the past year. With fried chicken chains continuing to expand across the country, will they maintain their visit dominance? Or will the cluck stop somewhere?

Visit Placer.ai to stay up-to-date with the latest data-driven dining insights. 

Article
Darden Restaurants: Holiday Growth Ahead
Darden Restaurants Inc. is the largest full-service restaurant group in the country. We took a look at the location analytics to see how the company's recent performance, and examined what the holiday season might bring for its wide array of brands.
Bracha Arnold
Dec 16, 2024
3 minutes

Darden Restaurants Inc. is the largest full-service restaurant group in the country, operating ten dining chains that range from fine dining to casual bars.

How has the company fared in recent months? We examined the location analytics to evaluate Darden’s recent performance and took a closer look at what the holiday season might bring for its wide array of brands.

Darden Outpaces the Full-Service Restaurant Segment in Q3 2024

The full-service restaurant category has faced significant challenges in recent years as rising food prices, labor shortages, and inflation pushed costs up and some customers away. But since the beginning of 2024, Darden has managed to stay ahead and outpace the wider full-service restaurant segment in terms of year-over-year (YoY) quarterly visits. Q3 2024 visits were 0.9% higher than in Q3 2023. In contrast, the broader full-service segment experienced a 1.9% decline in the same period. 

As restaurant inflation finally begins to cool and the dining segment tiptoes cautiously toward recovery, Darden’s ability to stay ahead of the competition suggests that its brands are resonating with customers even during periods of economic uncertainty.

YoY growth of Darden Restaurants vs. Full-Service shows Darden outperforms FSR in 2024

November’s Momentum Across Chains

Darden’s portfolio runs the gamut from household names like Olive Garden (with over 900 locations) and LongHorn Steakhouse (over 500 locations) to smaller chains like Yard House and Bahama Breeze. And zooming in on the recent November data reveals that most chains are still enjoying year-over-year (YoY) visit growth. Yard House led the pack with 11.0% more visits than in November 2023, followed by LongHorn Steakhouse (9.0% YoY growth), and Bahama Breeze (8.8% YoY growth). 

This steady November momentum bodes well for Darden as the typically busy holiday season approaches. 

YoY visits for Darden chains in November 2024 shows almost all are elevated

Darden’s December Spike

Indeed, diving into previous years’ visitation patterns reveals that Darden’s brands generally receive sizable visit bumps over the holiday season. 

Analyzing December visits in 2019, 2022, and 2023 relative to each year’s January to November monthly visit average highlighted significant visit boosts across almost all Darden brands. The Capital Grille led the charge in December 2023, with visits 42.3% higher than the January to November average, followed closely by Ruth’s Chris Steak House (34.4%) and Season’s 52 (31.1%). 

These consistent December traffic spikes coupled with November’s strong showing suggests that the company is well-positioned to sustain its current momentum into the holiday season and beyond. 

Darden brands visits spike each december

Final Thoughts

Darden Restaurants continues to be a leader in the full-service segment, enjoying visit growth and capturing holiday foot traffic.

Will this year’s holiday season bring increased foot traffic to the company’s brands?

Visit Placer.ai to keep up with the latest data-driven dining insights. 

Article
Placer 100 Retail & Dining Index: Strong Kickoff to the Holiday Season
Overall visits to the Placer 100 Retail & Dining Index were up 0.9% year-over-year (YoY) in November – a strong start to the holiday season. We looked at some of the retailers benefitting most from the holiday shopping surge to see who is coming out ahead.
Shira Petrack
Dec 12, 2024
3 minutes

About the Placer 100 Index for Retail & Dining: The Placer 100 Index for Retail and Dining is a curated, dynamic list of leading chains that often serve as prime tenants for shopping centers and malls. The index includes chains from various industries, such as superstores, grocery, dollar stores, dining, apparel, and more. Among the notable chains featured are Walmart, Target, Costco, Kroger, Ulta Beauty, The Home Depot, McDonald’s, Chipotle, Crunch Fitness, and Trader Joe's. The goal of the list is to provide insight into the wider trends impacting the retail, dining and shopping center segments.

November Visit Growth 

October’s positive visitation trends continued in November, with overall visits to the Placer 100 Retail & Dining Index up 0.9% year-over-year (YoY) – a strong start to the holiday season. 

YoY growth of Placer 100 index shows small growth in October and November 2024

Black Friday Performance

Some of the November uptick was likely driven by Black Friday – visits to the Placer 100 Index were up 2.2% YoY overall for Black Friday Weekend 2024, with Sunday seeing a particularly pronounced visit spike of 5.3%. 

And zooming out to the week before Black Friday reveals that the visit boost started even earlier – YoY visits increased as early as the Saturday before Thanksgiving, with traffic remaining positive throughout the week leading up to the retail milestone. The early growth in visits highlights the success of early promotions in driving visits this year.

Daily visits to Placer 100 chains before Black Friday show positive growth

Placer 100 November 2024 Winners

Once again, Chili’s Grill & Bar topped the Placer 100 Index, likely thanks to the ongoing popularity of the chain’s Big Smash Burger, 3 For Me value meal, and Triple Dipper offering. The chain’s even more remarkable visit growth in November was likely also due to Chili’s free Veteran’s Day meals to veterans and active duty personnel, which generated a 135.4% increase in visits on Monday, November 11th relative to the previous three Mondays’ average. 

November’s Placer 100 Index winners also included several value-driven chains – such as Aldi’s, HomeGoods, and Crunch Fitness – as well luxury brands such as Nordstrom and Jared Jewelers – perhaps a testament to the still bifurcated consumer market.

Placer 100 top chains by visits and visits per location

Placer 100 November 2024 Spotlight: Barnes & Noble 

Barnes & Noble also made the November 2024 top 10 list, with 13.0% overall visit growth and 9.8% more visits per location, on average, than in November 2023. The legacy book retailer, on an upward trajectory since 2021, has gained significant momentum this year – and the strong November numbers indicate that the company is headed into a promising holiday season. 

The chain is seeing more than just impressive visit growth – since November 2023, the share of visitors coming to Barnes & Noble from their home location or headed straight home after a trip to the book retailer has also grown. This visitation pattern suggests that Barnes & Noble is becoming a primary destination for consumers rather than an incidental stop on the way to or from another errand – underscoring the chain’s restored relevance in the wider retail landscape. 

Increased share of shoppers making a dedicated trip to Barnes and Noble compared to November 2023

Who will dominate the holiday season and top the Placer.ai 100 Retail & Dining Index in December 2024?

Visit placer.ai to find out. 

Article
Placer.ai Office Index: November 2024 Recap
Office foot traffic in November 2024 saw a temporary decline due to record Thanksgiving travel, but diving into various metro markets revealed significant regional variation.
Lila Margalit
Dec 11, 2024
4 minutes

After reaching new heights in October 2024, how did the office recovery fare in November? We dove into the data to find out. 

Two Steps Forward, One Step Back…

In November 2024, visits to office buildings nationwide were 62.4% of what they were in November 2019, down from 66.7% in November 2023. This marks the most substantial drop in office foot traffic since January 2024 – and a sharp decline from October 2024. 

But though significant, November’s downturn is likely a reflection of this year’s record-breaking Thanksgiving travel rather than of any real office recovery slowdown. Millions of Americans took to the skies and roads to spend the holiday with loved ones. And with remote work making it easier than ever before for professionals to plug in from virtually anywhere, many likely extended their trips without taking extra days off – leading to fewer office visits in the days leading up to the holiday.

Office visit levels for November 2024 show slow recovery from pre-pandemic levels with a slight drop in november

Miami and New York Continue to Lead in Post-Pandemic Recovery

Taking a look at regional trends, Miami continued to outshine other cities in November 2024, with visits at 84.0% of pre-pandemic levels – perhaps due in part to strict return-to-office (RTO) policies  implemented by major players within the city’s growing tech and finance sector. New York came in second with recovery at 81.9%, while San Francisco continued to lag behind other major cities. But with major projects like the September 2024 grand opening of the revamped Transamerica Pyramid set to revitalize the city’s Financial District, more accelerated recovery may be ahead for this West Coast hub.

Office recovery in select cities for November 2024 compared to 2019 show Miami and New York leading the way

Miami and San Francisco Buck the (YoY) Trend

Indeed, San Francisco was among November 2024’s regional leaders for year over year (YoY) office visit growth. Nationwide, office building foot traffic was down 6.5% YoY. But in San Francisco, visits increased 1.6% – likely bolstered by recent RTO mandates from major local employers like Salesforce. The city’s temperate climate may also have played a role in encouraging residents to stay local for the holidays. Miami, too – a popular holiday destination in its own right – saw visits increase 1.7% YoY. 

Denver, meanwhile, experienced its fourth snowiest November on record, which may have  contributed to a larger portion of its workforce embracing remote work during the month – and an 11.3% YoY visit decline. And in New York, extended “workcations” by remote-capable finance employees, as well as potential disruptions in public transit and increased congestion during the holiday season, may have fueled a larger-than-average drop. Given the Big Apple’s strong overall recovery trajectory, we will likely see a rebound to more robust YoY growth by January, when the holiday season winds down.

Miami and San Francisco Lead in YoY Office Visit Growth, With New York and Denver Taking Up the Rear

Looking Ahead

While Thanksgiving travel created a temporary headwind for office recovery, cities like Miami and San Francisco demonstrate that the story is far from uniform. And looking ahead to the coming months, the office recovery still appears poised to continue apace. 

For more data-driven office recovery analyses, follow Placer.ai.

Article
Placer.ai November 2024 Mall Index: Black Friday Boosts Mall Visits
The Placer.ai Mall Index for November 2024 shows a strong start to the holiday season thanks to the YoY visit growth during the month of November in general and over Black Friday in particular.
Shira Petrack
Dec 10, 2024
2 minutes

Malls Bounce Back 

Following weaker foot traffic performances in September and October, mall visits swung positive in November: Indoor malls, open-air shopping centers, and outlet malls received year-over-year (YoY) visit boosts of 6.4%, 4.8%, and 3.8%, respectively. The strong YoY growth across all mall types underscores the continued attraction of brick-and-mortar retail – particularly during the holiday season.

YoY visits by mall types for June - November 2024

Malls Drive Early Holiday Visits

While much of the November boost is likely due to the malls’ strong Black Friday performance, foot traffic data indicates that early deals also drove visits before the big day: Comparing daily visits during the week before Black Friday (from Friday November 22nd to Wednesday November 27th) to visits during the equivalent days in 2023 (November 17th to 22nd 2023) reveals that malls received more pre-Black Friday mall visits this year than in 2023.

This willingness to shop ahead of Black Friday instead of waiting for the best deals on the day itself may highlight the effectiveness of retailers’ early promotions– or it could signal the readiness of some consumers to spend more freely this holiday season.

YoY visits for different mall types in the week leading up to black friday

Strong Black Friday Performance 

Still, despite the positive pre-Black Friday showing, the majority of the November visit boost can likely be attributed to malls’ impressive Black Friday Performance. All three formats saw YoY visit growth over Black Friday weekend, with open-air shopping centers seeing the largest visit increases – foot traffic for this sub-category was up 6.0% compared to Black Friday weekend 2023. In fact, this year’s Black Friday numbers were so strong that visits to indoor malls and open-air shopping centers even exceeded pre-pandemic Black Friday weekend. 

visits compared to a 2019 baseline for black friday weekend shw open air and indoor malls exceed pre-pandemic visits

These numbers reveal that, despite the rise in early Black Friday deals and online shopping, many consumers still want to experience the excitement of Black Friday bargain hunting in person. And this powerful kickoff to the 2024 holiday season indicates that the unique experiential offering of malls – combining shopping, dining, and entertainment all under one roof –  continue to play a central role in the wider retail landscape.

For more data-driven retail insights, visit placer.ai

Reports
INSIDER
Exploring the Car Dealership Space
Dive into the foot traffic and audience segmentation data to find out where the new and used auto dealership space stands in 2023.

Overview 

This report leverages location intelligence data to analyze the auto dealership market in the United States. By looking at visit trends to branded showrooms, used car lots, and mixed inventory dealerships – and analyzing the types of visitors that visit each category – this white paper sheds light on the state of car dealership space in 2023. 

Shifts in Auto Dealerships Visit Trends

Prior to the pandemic and throughout most of 2020, visits to both car brand and used-only dealerships followed relatively similar trends. But the two categories began to diverge in early 2021. 

Visits to car brand dealerships briefly returned to pre-pandemic levels in mid-2021, but traffic fell consistently in the second half of the year as supply-chain issues drove consistent price increases. So despite the brief mid-year bump, 2021 ended with overall new car sales – as well as overall foot traffic to car brand dealerships – below 2019 levels. Visits continued falling in 2022 as low inventory and high prices hampered growth.  

Meanwhile, although the price for used cars rose even more (the average price for a new and used car was up 12.1% and 27.1% YoY, respectively, in September 2021), used cars still remained, on average, more affordable than new ones. So with rising demand for alternatives to public transportation – and with new cars now beyond the reach of many consumers – the used car market took off and visits to used car dealerships skyrocketed for much of 2021 and into 2022. But in the second half of last year, as gas prices remained elevated – tacking an additional cost onto operating a vehicle – visits to used car dealerships began falling dramatically. 

Now, the price of both used and new cars has finally begun falling slightly. Foot traffic data indicates that the price drops appear to be impacting the two markets differently. So far this year, sales and visits to dealerships of pre-owned vehicles have slowed, while new car sales grew – perhaps due to the more significant pent-up demand in the new car market. The ongoing inflation, which has had a stronger impact on lower-income households, may also be somewhat inhibiting used-car dealership visit growth. At the same time, foot traffic to used car dealerships did remain close to or slightly above 2019 levels for most of 2023, while visits to branded dealerships were significantly lower year-over-four-years. 

The situation remains dynamic – with some reports of prices creeping back up – so the auto dealership landscape may well continue to shift going into 2024.

Used Cars Appeal to a Range of Consumers

With car prices soaring, the demand for pre-owned vehicles has grown substantially. Analyzing the trade area composition of leading dealerships that sell used cars reveals the wide spectrum of consumers in this market. 

Dealerships carrying a mixed inventory of both new and used vehicles seem to attract relatively high-income consumers. Using the STI: Popstats 2022 data set to analyze the trade areas of Penske Automotive, AutoNation, and Lithia Auto Stores – which all sell used and new cars – reveals that the HHI in the three dealerships’ trade areas is higher than the nationwide median. Differences did emerge within the trade areas of the mixed inventory car dealerships, but the range was relatively narrow – between $77.5K to $84.5K trade area median HHI. 

Meanwhile, the dealerships selling exclusively used cars – DriveTime, Carvana, and CarMax – exhibited a much wider range of trade area median HHIs. CarMax, the largest used-only car dealership in the United States, had a yearly median HHI of $75.9K in its trade area – just slightly below the median HHI for mixed inventory dealerships Lithia Auto Stores and AutoNation and above the nationwide median of $69.5K. Carvana, a used car dealership that operates according to a Buy Online, Pick Up in Store (BOPIS) model, served an audience with a median HHI of $69.1K – more or less in-line with the nationwide median. And DriveTime’s trade areas have a median HHI of $57.6K – significantly below the nationwide median. 

The variance in HHI among the audiences of the different used-only car dealerships may reflect the wide variety of offerings within the used-car market – from virtually new luxury vehicles to basic sedans with 150k+ miles on the odometer. 

Tesla Leads the Car Brand Dealership Pack

Visits to car brands nationwide between January and September 2023 dipped 0.9% YoY, although several outliers reveal the potential for success in the space even during times of economic headwinds. 

Visits to Tesla’s dealerships have skyrocketed recently, perhaps thanks to the company’s frequent price cuts over the past year – between September 2022 and 2023, the average price for a new Tesla fell by 24.7%. And with the company’s network of Superchargers gearing up to serve non-Tesla Electric Vehicles (EVs), Tesla is finding room for growth beyond its already successful core EV manufacturing business and positioning itself for a strong 2024. 

Japan-based Mazda used the pandemic as an opportunity to strengthen its standing among U.S. consumers, and the company is now reaping the fruits of its labor as visits rise YoY. Porsche, the winner of U.S New & World Report Best Luxury Car Brand for 2023, also outperformed the wider car dealership sector. Kia – owned in part by Hyundai –  and Hyundai both saw their foot traffic increase YoY as well, thanks in part to the popularity of their SUV models.

Diving into Local Markets 

Analyzing dealerships on a national level can help car manufacturers make macro-level decisions on marketing, product design, and brick-and-mortar fleet configurations. But diving deeper into the unique characteristics of each dealership’s trade area on a state level reveals differences that can serve brands looking to optimize their offerings for their local audience. 

For example, analyzing the share of households with children in the trade areas of four car brand dealership chains in four different states reveals significant variation across the regional markets. 

Nationwide, Tesla served a larger share of households with children than Kia, Ford, or Land Rover. But focusing on California shows that in the Golden State, Kia’s trade area population included the largest share of this segment than the other three brands, while Land Rover led this segment in Illinois. Meanwhile, Ford served the smallest share of households with children on a nationwide basis – but although the trend held in Illinois and Pennsylvania, California Ford dealerships served more households with children than either Tesla or Land Rover.  

Leveraging Location Intelligence for Car Dealerships

Leveraging location intelligence to analyze car dealerships adds a layer of consumer insights to industry provided sales numbers. Visit patterns and audience demographics reveal how foot traffic to used-car lots, mixed inventory dealerships, and manufacturers’ showrooms change over time and who visits these businesses on a national or regional level. These insights allow auto industry stakeholders to assess current demand, predict future trends, and keep a finger on the pulse of car-purchasing habits in the United States. 

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