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Teaming Up For Success: Sports Stadium Sponsorships
Professional sports rank among the most profitable industries for sponsorships and brand partnerships. Today, we took a look at two sponsorships – between DICK’s Sporting Goods and the Boston Celtics and Red Sox, between BIGGBY COFFEE and the Detroit Tigers – to explore the impact of these deals. 
Bracha Arnold & Samuel Roche
Jul 15, 2024
3 minutes

Professional sports rank among the most profitable industries for sponsorships and brand partnerships. These partnerships, such as Nike's collaboration with the NFL or Coca-Cola's long-standing relationship with the Olympics, offer immense value through enhanced brand visibility and increased consumer engagement.

Today, we took a look at two sports partnership agreements – one between DICK’s Sporting Goods and the Boston Celtics and Red Sox, and another between BIGGBY COFFEE and the Detroit Tigers – to explore the impact of these deals. 

Key Takeaways:

  • In May and June 2024, the share of Fenway Park and TD Garden visitors that also visited DICK’s Sporting Goods rose against the backdrop of a major partnership between the retailer and the Boston Celtics and Red Sox. 
  • Some 35.4% and 23.9%, respectively, of visitors to Boston’s new DICK’s House of Sport visited Fenway Park and TD Garden between May and June 2024 – further highlighting the partnership’s potential.
  • Following BIGGBY COFFEE’s deal with the Detroit Tigers, the average number of visits to each local BIGGBY COFFEE location grew significantly (6.3% YoY) – while visits per location remained flat nationwide.
  • In the wake of the BIGGBY COFFEE / Tigers partnership, the share of Comerica Park visitors that frequented BIGGBY COFFEE also increased substantially.

DICK’s House of Sport and the Boston Celtics and Red Sox

DICK’s Sporting Goods recently announced a major partnership with Boston’s beloved Celtics (NBA) and Red Sox (MLB) teams. The partnership was announced shortly after the grand opening of Boston’s new DICK’s House of Sport venue at 760 Boylston Street – which was attended by Red Sox and Celtics legends like David Ortiz and Larry Bird. In addition to signage and logo placement at TD Garden and Fenway Park, the deal grants DICK’s IP rights to be used locally, both in the House of Sport and online. 

A look at cross-visitation patterns between DICK’s Sporting Goods and TD Garden and Fenway Park shows that this partnership is likely to be beneficial to both sides. The share of stadium visitors that also visited DICK’s Sporting Goods (nationwide) rose in May and June 2024, outpacing last year’s levels. And a respective 35.4% and 23.9% of visitors to DICK’s new local House of Sport in May and June 2024 also visited Fenway Park and TD Garden – more than the share that visited other major Boston landmarks like Faneuil Hall.

Dicks' sporting goods Celtics and Red Sox Partnerships Posed to be Mutually Beneficial

Detroit Tigers & BIGGBY COFFEE

Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan, which hosts the Detroit Tigers baseball team, launched a partnership with Michigan-based BIGGBY COFFEE in 2023.

Since the partnership began, there has been a noticeable rise in visits to local BIGGBY COFFEE locations. During the 2023 baseball season, visits per location to BIGGBY COFFEE in the Detroit area were 6.3% higher than during the 2022 season – while nationwide visits per location to the chain dropped slightly compared to the previous year, with 0.3% fewer visits than in 2022%.

Similarly, the share of Comerica Park visitors frequenting a BIGGY COFFEE location at least once during the baseball season increased after the sponsorship deal. In 2022, 21.7% of visitors to Comerica Park also visited a BIGGBY; by 2023, this share increased to 25.8%.

BIGGBY COFFEE's Detroit Locations Accelerated Visit Growth Following Detroit Tigers Partnership

Looking Ahead

The marriage of sports and sponsorships is a long-standing one – and harnessing location analytics can help sports leagues and teams find partnerships that resonate with sports fans.

For more data-driven marketing insights, visit Placer.ai.

Article
Warehouse Clubs: Younger Visitors Support Growth
Elizabeth Lafontaine
Jul 12, 2024

We’ve discussed the meteoric rise of warehouse clubs, particularly in relation to their mass merchant counterparts so far in 2024. Clubs continue to provide all three components of what makes retail successful today; unique products, value and a positive in-store experience. And as we previously highlighted, each club has its unique value proposition that drives engagement with its members.

A few weeks ago, at the Bank of America London Investor Conference, Walmart CFO John David Rainey, spoke about the growth of Sam’s Club and the relationship between that growth and Millennials and Gen Z cohorts. He mentioned that those two groups represent the highest level of growth to the Sam’s Club business, and logically, against the backdrop of changes across the retail industry, this makes sense. As this group ages into the family formation life stage, their retail needs change, and coupled with migration patterns since the pandemic, most likely more space means more bulk.

Using Placer’s foot traffic estimates and Experian Mosaic lifestyle cohorts, we compared the first six months of 2019 to the first six months of this year to determine if this trend also was reflected in consumer visits. Costco showed a 50-basis-point increase in visits from trade areas with a higher percentage of Singles and Starters and Promising Families, both groups that align with Millennial and Gen Z life stages. Those cohorts also represented the highest levels of change over the five years of any group of Costco trade area constituents.

Sam’s Club tells a similar story, if not one that is even more compelling. Singles & Starters, as of 2024, represented the highest percentage of visitors, and increased 80 basis points from 2019. Promising Families also increased by 20 basis points over the same period, while many segments of more mature consumers declined in percentage over the five year period. Both Sam’s Club and Costco have grown visits so far in 2024, and it’s likely that the growth is being fueled by younger shoppers.

Migration from urban environments to more suburban and rural areas as well as aging into larger spaces both could play a role in the growth in popularity of warehouse clubs by younger consumers. This sector of retail relies on, and greatly benefits from loyalty, and getting buy-in from elusive younger consumers can provide some more long-term stability for Sam’s Club and Costco. With Costco’s announcement this week that it will be raising prices on memberships for the first time since 2017, focusing on those newer, younger members with higher earning potential may help to alleviate some of the pressure. Younger visitors may be enticed by the food court, stocking up on essentials or impulsive items, and warehouse clubs are welcoming this next wave of consumers through their doors.

Article
McDonald’s Joins the Restaurant Value Wars of 2024
R.J. Hottovy
Jul 12, 2024

Food retail’s “Battle Royale” officially moved on to its next round with the introduction of McDonald’s $5 Meal Deal on June 25. We’ve previously discussed how value-oriented grocers have disrupted McDonald’s and the broader QSR category and how casual dining chains shot the first shots in this summer’s value wars with extreme value offerings, but given McDonald’s reach, we wanted to take a closer look at this promotion and its ripple effect across the food retail landscape.


The Placer Blog looked at the impact of several recent limited time offers across the restaurant industry this week, but we thought we’d specifically look at McDonald’s and its direct competitors. After slower year-over-year visitation trends during April and the first half of May, we saw much stronger trends across the QSR category in June, especially those with bundled meal promotions like Jack in the Box, Wendy’s, Arby’s, and Burger King. McDonald’s visits actually declined year-over-year during the first week of the $5 Meal Deal promotion, but that was more of a function of lapping last year’s viral Grimace Shake promotion (the strength of the year-over-two-year visit trends below also supports this). Last week’s visitation trends accelerated on both a one- and two-year basis, reinforcing how important value is for driving visits for QSR consumers.

While consumers have responded positively to McDonald’s and other QSR chains’ bundled value promotions, we’ve yet to see a material impact on grocery visits over the same time period (both value and conventional grocers continue to see positive year-over-year growth). To us, there are probably a few reasons for this: (1) grocery stores have also been promotional over the corresponding period, something we’ve called out a few times the past few months; (2) consumers are still shopping  a wider number of total food retail locations as they seek out deals and have incorporated QSR bundled value meals into their current shopping behavior; and (3) distortion in year-over-year numbers due to last week’s 4th of July holiday (which saw strong year-over-year visit trends).

Article
Limited Time Offers: Price Wars Boost Visits
Restaurants are increasingly turning to limited-time offers (LTOs) to attract cost-conscious consumers. We take a closer look at several dining chains – Buffalo Wild Wings, Starbucks, Chili’s, and McDonald’s – to see how their recent LTOs were received by diners. 
Bracha Arnold
Jul 11, 2024
4 minutes

As inflation continues to squeeze household budgets, restaurants are turning to limited-time offers (LTOs) to attract cost-conscious consumers. These promotions help create buzz among patrons and drive foot traffic. 

We take a closer look at several dining chains – Buffalo Wild Wings, Starbucks, Chili’s, and McDonald’s – to see how their recent LTOs were received by diners. 

Buffalo Wild Wings: Unlimited Boneless Wings

Buffalo Wild Wings is no stranger to limited-time offers – the chicken-centric restaurant gave away free chicken wings after this year’s Superbowl went into overtime, marked National Beer Day with $5 beers, and offered a whole slew of March Madness deals. 

The chain’s recently introduced LTO – unlimited boneless wings every Monday and Wednesday for just $19.99 – launched on May 13th, and is slated to run through July 10th, 2024. And comparing visitation patterns during the seven-week period immediately following the launch  (May 12th - June 29th, 2024) to those during the seven-week period preceding the launch (March 24th - May 11th, 2024), shows just how well-received this LTO has been.  

Foot traffic to Buffalo Wild Wings rose 8.1% immediately after the launch, largely due to outsized Monday and Wednesday visit increases of 45.6% and 49.3%, respectively. And during the seven-week period following the introduction of the LTO, the chain’s share of Monday visits shot up from 9.1% to 12.3%, while its share of Wednesday visits increased from 10.2% to 14.1%.

Buffalo Wild Wings Limited Time Offers Boosts Monday & Wednesday Visits

Starbucks: Discount Fridays Boost Foot Traffic

Starbucks has been leaning into value offerings – and in addition to its new “pairings” menu, the coffee giant also rolled out a limited-time 50% Friday discount exclusively for app users, which began on May 10th, 2024 and lasted through the month. Analyzing Starbucks’ visitation patterns shows that the promotion led to a significant increase in Friday foot traffic at Starbucks locations nationwide. 

Compared to the year-to-date average, visits to Starbucks on Fridays following the launch experienced a noticeable increase in visits. Where the visits to Starbucks on Friday May 3rd, before the promotion launched, were 1.1% lower than the year-to-date (YtD) Friday visit average, visits on May 10th – when the promotion launched – jumped by 20.0% above the YTD visit average.

This special, which excluded hot brewed coffee and tea, seems to have met people’s desires for a refreshing afternoon or pre-weekend pick-me-up. 

Visits to Starbucks Jump Following Launch of Friday 50% Off Special

Chili’s Chicken Sandwich Captivates Customers

On April 29th, 2024, Chili's Grill & Bar revamped its "3 for Me" menu, which offers customers a customizable three-course meal at a value price – and weekly YoY visits to Chili’s have been strongly elevated ever since. Even before the updated menu roll out, YoY foot traffic to Chili’s was largely positive, reaching 8.6% in the week of April 1st, 2024. But since the kickoff, YoY visits have remained consistently higher – and have yet to taper off. 

In addition to Chili’s new Big Smasher Burger, another menu item that seems to be driving excitement is its chicken sandwich – an offering that tends to increase foot traffic wherever it shows up. 

Chili's YoY Visits Jump Following its Revamped "3 For Me" Menu

McDonald’s Meal Deals Bring In The Visits

McDonald’s has also been a leader at boosting visits by offering limited edition sauces, drinks, and deals. And the chain’s most recent LTO leans hard on consumers’ recent affinity for value. On June 25th, 2024, the chain announced a $5 Meal Deal, which includes a McDouble or McChicken, 4-piece Chicken McNuggets, small fries, and a small soft drink.

These deeply discounted prices are likely to be particularly appealing to customers against the backdrop of McDonald’s rising menu prices, which have been significantly impacted by inflation. Indeed, foot traffic to the chain jumped following the $5 special launch, with visits to McDonald’s exceeding year-to-date daily visit averages.

The Tuesday of the launch – June 25th – was McDonald’s busiest Tuesday of the year thus far (outpaced since by July 2nd), drawing 8.0% more visits than the year-to-date Tuesday average. And similar patterns repeated across all days following the launch, signifying how well-received this special has been among McDonald’s fans. 

Visits to McDonald's Jump Following $5 Meal Deal Launch

Limited Time Deals & Steals

The foot traffic boosts provided by these limited-time-offers prove that, in times of inflationary pressure, a good deal can continue to bring visitors into a fast-food spot. 

How will the dining value wars continue to play out in the months ahead?

Visit Placer.ai to find out. 

Article
Placer 100 Index for Retail & Dining: June 2024 Recap
How did the Placer 100 Index for Retail & Dining fare in June 2024? We dove into the data to find out.
Addison Southerland & Bracha Arnold
Jul 10, 2024
4 minutes

How did the Placer 100 Index for Retail & Dining fare in June 2024? We dove into the data to find out.

Retail and Dining: A Positive Start to Summer

As the first half of the year comes to a close, retail and dining visits continue to demonstrate resilience. Analyzing the YoY foot traffic performance of the Placer 100 Index for Retail and Dining highlights this positive trend, with June visits increasing 6.8% relative to June 2023. This growth follows May 2024's YoY visit growth of 5.3%.

This upward visitation pattern shows that despite continued concerns, consumers are feeling cautiously optimistic about the current economic climate. With back-to-school shopping set to ramp up over the next two months, retail visits may well continue on their upward trajectory.

Placer 100 Index for Retail & Dining Sees Strong Visit Growth Over the Past 12 Months

June’s Grocery Dominance

Drilling down deeper into the data highlights the priority shoppers continue to place on value – with bargain retailers claiming many of the top spots for YoY visit growth. Grocery stores were also major winners in June 2024, likely buoyed by consumers seeking to cut costs by making more of their food at home. 

Three grocery chains ranked among June 2024’s top YoY visit performers: Aldi (28.4%), Trader Joe’s (17.4%) and H-E-B (13.3%). These chains, as well as three others – Food Lion Grocery Store, ShopRite, and Walmart Neighborhood Market – were also among the top performing chains for YoY visits per location. 

Placer 100 Index for Retail & Dining 10 Top Chains

H-E-B: A June Grocery Winner 

Within the already-strong grocery segment, one chain – H-E-B – continues to prove its staying power. Despite being concentrated in Texas, the chain consistently ranks as one of the most popular grocery chains in the country, as evidenced by its consistently elevated foot traffic.

Since January 2024, YoY visits to H-E-B have increased substantially – outperforming the wider traditional grocery sector. Though very much a full-service supermarket, H-E-B’s foot traffic growth has been more akin to that seen by budget-oriented, limited assortment chains like Aldi and Trader Joe's.

Fan Favorite H-E-B Continues to See Positive Visit Growth

Short Visits Lead The Way

One factor that may be contributing to H-E-B’s ongoing success is its growing role as a purveyor of takeout and inexpensive prepared food options. Many of H-E-B’s grocery stores have in-store restaurants – and the chain also offers a variety of other ready meals and snacks

The focus on takeout and convenience food seems to be a solid move for H-E-B, as evidenced by the chain’s YoY increase in short visits – i.e., those lasting under ten minutes. In Q2 2024, short visits to H-E-B increased by 14.3% compared to Q2 2023, while over the same period, longer visits increased by a more modest 10.7%. Some of these quick-stop visitors may be dropping by to grab a snack or to-go meal.  

In recognition of the growing demand for quick-stop grocery and prepared food options, H-E-B has also been making inroads into the c-store space, with a chain of twelve convenience stores recently rebranded as H-E-B Fresh Bites. And as a grocer with its finger on the pulse of what shoppers want, H-E-B appears poised for further success. 

H-E-B YoY Visit Growth Driven in Part by Rise in Short Visits

Strong Positioning Ahead Of Back-To-School Season

As the summer gets underway, retail and dining visitation patterns remain strong – with value chains and grocery retailers leading the way. How will these trends continue to play out throughout the summer? 

Visit Placer.ai to find out. 

Article
Placer.ai Mall Index: June 2024 Recap
Year-over-year visits to Indoor malls, open-air shopping centers, and outlet malls have been on the rise in recent months. How are they faring heading into the summer season? We dove into the data to find out.
Maytal Cohen
Jul 9, 2024
3 minutes

How did indoor malls, open-air shopping centers, and outlet malls fare in June 2024? We dove into the data to find out. 

Weekly Mall Visits Peak with Summer Heat

Fresh on the heels of May’s strong showing, malls continued to impress in June 2024. Weekly year-over-year (YoY) visits to all three mall types (indoor malls, open-air shopping centers, and outlet malls) remained robust throughout the month, as shoppers took advantage of the warm weather to go shopping. 

YoY foot traffic to malls was especially high during the week of June 17th – when a record-breaking heat wave likely drove shoppers to seek refuge in air-conditioned spaces – including both malls and individual stores. During that week, indoor malls, open-air shopping centers, and outlet malls saw YoY visit increases of 9.4%, 9.9%, and 4.5%, respectively.

Malls See High Traffic in June, Surging During Heat Wave

Outlet Malls are on the Brink of Their Seasonal Peak

Malls’ positive June performance appears to herald a strong summer shopping season for the sector – which tends to draw larger crowds in summer months. 

Comparing monthly mall visits to a January 2019 baseline shows that all three mall types experience substantial summer foot traffic boosts. For indoor malls and open-air shopping centers, the summer foot traffic increases – though significant – pale in comparison to those of the holiday season. But for outlet malls, the July and August foot traffic spikes rival those seen in December. 

Outlet malls’ special summertime opportunity may be driven by a variety of factors. People may have more time to travel to outlet malls during summer vacations and may be more inclined to embrace the experience of a leisurely shopping day trip when the weather is warm. College students and parents eager to find back-to-school deals may also flock to outlet malls in July and August as they gear up for the academic year.   

And with such a strong June under their belts, outlet malls – as well as indoor malls and open-air shopping centers – appear poised for a successful summer indeed. 

Malls See Summertime Visit Boosts

Mall Visits Grow Longer as Shoppers Escape the Heat

The warm summer months not only bring more shoppers to malls, but also lead to longer visits. Analyzing monthly shifts in malls’ average visit durations since May 2023 shows that like foot traffic, mall dwell time also has a seasonal element – with people staying longer during holiday shopping seasons, as well as in the summer. Visit durations peak in July, and then again in November and December – with smaller jumps seen in March, likely a result of Easter and Spring Break. 

And looking more closely at dwell time trends over the past six months shows that since the beginning of 2024, mall visit length increased slightly each month for all three mall types. June 2024 average visit durations to indoor malls, open-air shopping centers, and outlet malls were 1.9, 1.3, and 3.1 minutes longer, respectively, than in January 2024. While these differences are subtle, the consistency of the shift is striking – and considering that the averages are derived from millions of visits to hundreds of malls, it reflects a significant trend. 

Mall Dwell Time is Also Seasonal - With Longer Visit Durations During Holidays and in Summer

Looking Ahead

As the temperatures warm up, shoppers are happy to hit the mall. All three mall types saw a strong June, indicating a promising summer ahead. 

Will July and August meet these high expectations for shopping malls across the country?

Visit our blog at placer.ai to find out.

Reports
INSIDER
Q4 2023 Quarterly Index
Find out how the Fitness, Beauty & Self Care, Discount & Dollar Stores, Superstores, Grocery Stores, and Dining categories fared during last year’s all-important holiday shopping season.
February 15, 2024
6 minutes

Overview of Categories: Q4 2023 and Yearly Review

Last year ended on a high note for many retailers, with cooling inflation and rebounding consumer confidence contributing to a robust holiday season. Still, 2023 was a year of headwinds for the sector, as consumers traded down and cut back on unnecessary indulgences. 

In the midst of these challenges, some segments thrived. Continued prioritization of health and wellness by consumers drove strong visit growth for the Fitness and Beauty & Self Care segments – which emerged as 2023 winners and enjoyed positive foot traffic growth in Q4. At the same time, price consciousness drove foot traffic to Discount & Dollar Stores and Superstores, both of which made inroads into the affordable grocery space during the year. 

The Grocery category, too, saw a 4.3% jump in visits last year compared to 2022, as well as a slight uptick in Q4 visits. And even the discretionary Dining sector held its own, with a 2.1% year-over-year (YoY) annual increase in foot traffic, and a Q4 quarterly visit gap of just 1.8%.

Fitness: Not Just for New Year’s Resolutions Anymore

Fitness had a particularly strong 2023, buoyed by consumers’ sustained interest in self-care and wellness. Since the pandemic, gym memberships have graduated from a discretionary expense to something of a necessity – an important investment in health and wellbeing. The category has also likely continued to benefit from the post-COVID craving for experiences

And quarterly data shows that the Fitness segment is positively flourishing. Throughout most of Q4 2023, Fitness venues experienced YoY weekly visit growth ranging from 8.8% to 12.2%. (The unusual visit spike and dip during the last two weeks of the quarter are due to calendar discrepancies: The week of December 18th, 2023 is being compared to the week of December 19th, 2022, which included Christmas Day – while the week of December 25th, 2023 is being compared to the week of December 26th, 2022, which did not). 

Budget and Premium Fitness on the Rise

Drilling down into the data for several leading fitness chains shows that there’s plenty of success to go around. Crunch Fitness – ranked by Entrepreneur as 2024’s top fitness franchise – led the pack with a remarkable 28.2% YoY annual increase in visits, partly fueled by the steady expansion of its fleet. And while other value gyms like Planet Fitness also saw robust visit growth, the boost wasn’t limited to budget options. Given the Fitness sector’s already-impressive 2022 performance, the category’s strong YoY showing is especially noteworthy.

Beauty & Self Care: Wellness-Driven Success

Beauty & Self Care was another category to benefit from 2023’s obsession with wellness – as well as the “lipstick effect”, which sees consumers treating themselves to fun, affordable luxuries when money’s tight. Driven in part by the evolving preferences of Gen Z consumers, cosmetics leaders have embraced wellness-focused approaches to cosmetics that prioritize self-care and self-expression. This strategy continues to prove successful: Throughout Q4 2023, Beauty & Self Care chains saw steady YoY weekly visit growth, especially in November and early December – perhaps highlighting Beauty’s growing role in the holiday shopping frenzy. 

Ulta Beauty Stays Ahead of the Pack

One brand leading the cosmetics pack in 2023 was Ulta Beauty – which drew growing crowds with its diverse product selection. Everybody loves makeup, and Ulta makes sure to have something for everyone – from discount fare to more upscale products. Buff City Soap, which now pairs its signature offerings with experiential vibes at some 270 locations across 33 states, also experienced YoY annual visit growth of 14.7%. And Bath & Body Works, which made the Wall Street Journal’s list of best-managed companies for 2023, also saw visit strength, with an overall increase in annual foot traffic, even as Q4 visits saw a slight decline. 

Discount & Dollar Stores: Entering the Mainstream

If wellness was a key retail buzzword in 2023, value was an equally discussed topic. And Discount & Dollar Stores – ideal destinations for cash-strapped consumers seeking bargain merchandise – made the most of this opportunity. Shoppers frequented these chains year-round for everything from groceries to home goods, propelling the category firmly into the mainstream

And in Q4 2023, shoppers flocked to discount chains in droves to snag food items, stocking stuffers, and other holiday fare – fueling near-uniform positive YoY foot traffic growth throughout the quarter. The week of October 30th seems to have kicked off the Discount & Dollar holiday shopping season, perhaps showcasing the segment’s growing role as a Halloween candy and costume hotspot.

Five Below Above the Rest

Every discount chain is somewhat different – and the success of the various Discount & Dollar chains can be attributed to a range of factors. Dollar Tree and Dollar General likely benefited from the broadening and diversification of their grocery selections – while Ollie’s (“Get Good Stuff Cheap!”) solidified its position as a place to find relatively upscale items at a bargain. All three chains – and particularly Dollar General and Ollie’s – also grew their footprints over the past year. Family Dollar (also owned by Dollar Tree) also came out ahead on an annual basis – despite the comparison to a strong 2022. 

Of all the Discount & Dollar chains, Five Below saw the biggest surge in foot traffic, partly as a result of its increasing store count. But the retailer’s offerings – affordable toys, party supplies, and other fun splurges – also appear to have been tailor-made for 2023’s retail vibe. 

Superstores: Capturing the Crowds

During the fourth quarter of the year, Superstores saw a slight YoY increase in visits – including during the all-important week of Black Friday, beginning on November 20th. (This week was compared with the week of November 21st, 2022, which also included Black Friday). Like Discount & Dollar chains, Superstores saw an appreciable YoY visit uptick during the week of Halloween. 

Members Only, Please

On an annual basis, Superstore mainstays Walmart and Target experienced visit increases of 2.8% and 4.7%, respectively. But while all the major category players enjoyed a successful year, membership warehouse chains’ YoY visit numbers were especially strong. As perfect venues for mission-driven shopping expeditions, Costco, Sam’s Club, and BJ’s likely drew shoppers eager to load up on both inexpensive gifts and essentials. 

Grocery Stores: Holding Onto Gains

The traditional Grocery sector also held its own during Q4 2023. Notably, grocery stores saw positive visit growth for most weeks of November and December, a period encompassing the critical Turkey Wednesday milestone – no small feat given the disruptions experienced by the category. 

Value Grocers Lead the Way

Unsurprisingly, it was discount grocery chains that saw some of the greatest YoY visit growth, as shoppers – including higher-income segments – sought to counter inflation with lower-priced food-at-home alternatives. Whether through opportunistic buying models, private label merchandising, or no-frills customer experiences, value supermarkets proved once again that even quality specialty items don’t have to carry high price tags.

Dining: Staying the Course

Eating out can be expensive – and when money’s tight, restaurants and other discretionary categories are often first to feel the crunch. But the Dining category seems to have emerged from 2023 relatively unscathed, with overall yearly visits up 2.1% compared to 2022 despite the modest YoY weekly visit gaps in Q4 2023. And given the myriad challenges out-of-home eateries had to contend with in 2023 – from inflation to labor shortages – even the minor weekly gaps are quite an attainment. (As noted, the last two weeks of the quarter reflect calendar discrepancies).  

Success Across Dining Sub-Categories

Foot traffic data shows that dining success could be found across sub-categories. Wingstop, Shake Shack, and Jersey Mike’s Subs rocked Fast Casual and QSR, with annual YoY visit growth ranging from 11.8% to 20.3%, partly fueled by the chains’ growing footprints. Full-Service Restaurants also had their bright spots, including all-you-can-eat buffet star Golden Corral and two steak venues: Texas Roadhouse and LongHorn Steakhouse. 

And in the Coffee, Breakfast, and Bakeries space, Playa Bowls led the charge. The superfruit bowl chain’s affordable, wellness-oriented treats seem to have been created with 2023 in mind – and during the year Playa Bowls expanded its fleet while also seeing double-digit increases in comparable store sales. Steadily expanding Biggby Coffee and Dutch Bros. Coffee also saw significant YoY foot traffic growth. 

INSIDER
10 Top Brands to Watch in 2024
This report analyzes the latest location intelligence data to identify ten brands poised to succeed in 2024.
February 8, 2024

The State Of Retail 

New year, new retail opportunities. And though 2023 is firmly in the rearview mirror, the economic headwinds that characterized much of the year have yet to fully dissipate. But every challenge also brings with it new opportunities, and many retailers are adapting to meet their customers' changing wants and needs. 

This white paper analyzes location intelligence for 10 brands poised to succeed in 2024. Some, like low-cost apparel and home furnishing stores, are benefitting from consumer trade-down. Others are expanding into rural or suburban areas to meet customers where they are. Read on for some of 2024’s retail winners. 

1. New Balance: From Dad To Dapper

Until around four years ago, New Balance sneakers were commonly seen on the feet of suburban dads – not exactly a recipe for high fashion. But all that began to change in 2019 when the company began collaborating with Teddy Santis, who eventually became New Balance’s creative director. Since then, the brand’s popularity has surged among Gen Z and X and is now one of the fastest-growing sneaker companies in the industry, despite the increasing competition in sneaker space. In 2023, foot traffic to New Balance stores grew 3.3% year-over-year (YoY) and the brand has firmly established itself as ultimate retro cool. 

Diving into the demographics of New Balance stores’ captured market trade area reveals the success of the chain’s rebranding. In 2023, New Balance’s trade area included larger shares of “Ultra Wealthy Families,” “Young Professionals,” and “Educated Urbanites” than the average shoe store’s trade area – highlighting New Balance’s successful reinvention as a brand for the young and hip.  

2. Harbor Freight Tools: A Wide Reach 

The home improvement space is dominated by Lowe’s and Home Depot – but Harbor Freight Tools is quickly making a name for itself as a go-to destination for affordable tools and supplies. 

Over the past few years, Harbor Freight Tools has expanded rapidly, with many of its new stores opening in smaller towns and cities. And the expansion appears to be paying off, with visits up YoY during every month of 2023. And although the chain is now operating with a significantly larger store fleet, the average number of visits per venue has generally increased – indicating that the company is expanding into markets where it is meeting a ready demand.    

3. Winmark: Poppin’ Tags

Over a decade after Mackelmore dropped his smash hit “Thrift Shop” in 2012, second-hand stores are still enjoying their time in the limelight. Shoppers, driven by a desire to reduce waste, find unique styles, and to save a few dollars at the till, continue to flock to thrift stores. And Winmark Corporation, which operates five secondhand goods chains – including apparel brands Plato’s Closet (young adult clothes), Once Upon a Child (children's clothes and toys), and Style Encore (women's clothing) – has benefited from the strong demand. Visits to the three Winmark clothing banners increased an average of 5.3% YoY in 2023. 

The median household income (HHI) in the trade areas of Winmark’s apparel chains tends to be lower than the median HHI in the wider apparel category – so budget-conscious consumers are driving at least some of the company’s growth. With more consumers looking for ways to cut back on spending in 2024, the demand for second-hand clothes is expected to grow even further – and Winmark is likely to continue reaping the benefits. 

4. HomeGoods: Hunting For Deals

HomeGoods, a treasure hunter's dream, is the discount home furnishing retailer owned by off-price retail giant TJX Companies. The chain, which operates over 900 brick-and-mortar stores, recently closed its e-commerce platform to focus on its physical locations – where foot traffic grew 6.0% between 2023 and 2022.

HomeGoods carries kitchen and home decor items along with furniture, and may be benefiting from the relative strength of the houseware segment, driven in part by an increase in at-home entertainment. And in a surprising twist, this low-cost retailer attracts more affluent visitors than visitors to the home furnishing segment overall. The median household income (HHI) in HomeGoods’ trade area stood at $84.7K/year compared to a $78.5K median HHI in the trade area of the average home furnishing chain. As economic uncertainty and the resumption of student loan payments impact consumers, wealthier shoppers seeking a budget-friendly home refresh are likely to continue choosing HomeGoods over pricier alternatives.

5. Bealls: Rural Expansion

Florida-based Bealls, Inc., which got its start as a small town five-and-dime in 1915 in Bradenton, Florida, now operates over 600 stores across the country. The company, which saw an impressive 9.0% YoY increase in visits in 2023, recently consolidated its two largest banners – Burkes Outlet and Bealls Outlet – under the Bealls name. 

One reason for Bealls’ success could be its appeal to rural consumers. Over the past five years, the share of households falling into Spatial.ai: PersonaLive’s “Rural Average Income” segment has steadily increased, growing from 12.6% in 2019 to 15.1% in 2023. With rural shoppers continuing to command ever-more attention from retailers, the increase in visits from this segment bodes well for Bealls in 2024.

6. Ollie’s Bargain Outlet: Built To Last

Ollie’s Bargain Outlet was built for this economy. The chain saw a 13.0% YoY increase in visits in 2023, thanks in part to its popularity among a wide array of budget-conscious consumers. Ollie’s has found success with rural shoppers while maintaining its appeal among value-oriented suburban segments – and the chain’s diverse audience base seems to be setting it apart from other discount retailers. 

A closer look at the chain’s captured market data, layered with the Spatial.ai: Personalive dataset, reveals that Ollie’s trade area includes larger shares of the “Blue Collar Suburbs” and “Suburban Boomer” segments when compared to the wider Discount & Dollar Stores category. As the chain plots its expansion, focusing on suburban and rural areas may help Ollie’s meet its customers where they are. 

7. Trader Joe’s: Young And Hungry

Trader Joe’s has managed to do what few stores can. The company does not invest in marketing, has no online shopping options, and loyalty programs? Forget about it. But despite this unusual approach to running a business, the California native has enjoyed consistent success over the years, with a 12.4% YoY increase in visits in 2023. 

Trader Joe’s is particularly popular among younger shoppers, perhaps thanks to the company’s focus on sustainability and social responsibility – as well as its famously low prices. Analyzing the chain’s trade area using the AGS: Panorama dataset reveals that Trader Joe’s attracts more “Emerging Leaders” and “Young Coastal Technocrats” (segments that describe highly educated young professionals) than the average grocery chain. With Gen Z particularly concerned about putting their money where their mouth is, Trader Joe’s is likely to sustain its momentum in 2024 and beyond.

8. Foxtrot Market: The C-Store Connoisseur

Convenience stores are growing up and evolving into bona-fide dining destinations. And Foxtrot, a Chicago-based chain with 29 stores across Texas, Illinois, Washington, Maryland, and Virginia, is one c-store redefining what a convenience store can be. The chain, which announced a merger with Dom’s Kitchen in November 2023, offers an upscale convenience store experience and is particularly known for including local brands in its product assortment as well as its excellent wine curation and dining options.

Visitors to the chain were significantly more likely to fall into AGS: Behavior & Attitudes dataset’s  “Wine Drinker” or “Nutritionally Aware” segments than visitors to nearby convenience stores. The company plans to ramp up store openings, particularly in the suburbs, where convenience and a good bottle of wine might just find the perfect home as a welcome distraction from the daily grind.

9. Jersey Mike’s: Suburban Style

Jersey Mike’s is one of the fastest-growing franchise dining chains in the country, operating over 2,500 locations in all 50 states. The sandwich chain has seen its popularity take off over the past few years, with 2023 visits up 14.1% YoY and plans to open 350 new stores in 2024. 

The company has long prioritized affluent class suburban customers – and visitation data layered with the Experian: Mosaic dataset reveals that Jersey Mike’s has indeed succeeded in attracting this audience. The percentage of “Booming with Confidence” and “Flourishing Families” (both affluent segments) in Jersey Mike’s trade area was larger than in the trade areas of the average sub sandwich chain. As Jersey Mike’s continues its expansion, focusing on suburban areas may continue to serve the chain well. 

10. Playa Bowl: Surf’s Up

The East Coast may not be the first region that pops to mind when thinking about tropical smoothies – but New Jersey-based Playa Bowls is making it work. The company was founded by avid surf enthusiasts determined to bring the flavors of their favorite surfing towns stateside. 

Playa Bowls has enjoyed strong visit numbers in 2023, with overall visits up 23.0% and average visits per venue up 17.1% YoY – and part of the chain’s success may be driven by its ability to draw wealthier customers to its stores. The Experian: Mosaic dataset reveals that the “Power Elite” segment is overrepresented in the company’s trade areas: The share of households falling into that segment from Playa Bowl’s captured market exceeded their share in the company’s potential market. As the chain continues expanding its domestic footprint, it seems to have found its niche among a wealthy customer base.

Starting The New Year Strong

The past year saw a wide range of challenges facing brick-and-mortar retailers as economic fears continued to shake consumer confidence. But there are plenty of bright spots as the new year gets underway. These ten brands prove that the retail world never stands still, and that the next opportunity is just around the corner.

INSIDER
The Retail Opportunity of Stadiums
Dive into the location intelligence to understand the significant retail and dining opportunities in and around major stadiums – both during games and in the off-season.
January 11, 2024
7 minutes

Play Ball

Sports leagues like the NBA, NFL, and MLB boast billion-dollar revenues – and the venues where these games unfold hold significant commercial potential in their own rights. Many stadiums host concerts and other shows in addition to regularly held sporting matches and can accommodate tens of thousands of spectators at once – creating massive retail, dining, and advertisement opportunities.

This white paper analyzes location intelligence metrics for some of the biggest stadiums across the country to reveal the commercial potential of these venues beyond simple ticketing revenue. Where do visitors of various stadiums like to shop? Do specific sporting and cultural events impact the nearby restaurant scene differently? How can stadium operators, local businesses, and advertisers tailor their offerings to a stadium’s particular audience and make the most of the stadium and the space throughout the year?  

We take a closer look below. 

Major League Visits

The three major sports leagues – the National Basketball League (NBA), Major League Baseball (MLB), and the National Football League (NFL) – play at different points of the year, and the number of games each league holds during the season also varies. 

MLB leads in game frequency, with each team playing 162 games during the regular season, which runs approximately from April through September. Basketball season is also around six months – roughly from mid-October to mid-April – but each NBA team plays only 82 games a season. And the NFL has both the shortest season – 18 weeks running from early September to early January (with the pre-season starting in August) – and the fewest number of matches per team. Understanding the monthly visitation patterns for the various types of stadiums can help advertisers, stadium operators, and other stakeholders ensure that they are leveraging the full potential of the venue throughout the year.

Different Visitation Patterns During the On- and Off-Season

Unsurprisingly, the sports arenas serving the different leagues see visit spikes during their leagues’ respective season. But comparing visit numbers throughout the year to the average monthly visit numbers for each category in 2023 reveals that the relative visit increases and decreases during the on- and off-season vary for each type of stadium. 

MLB stadiums display the steadiest visit strength during the on-season – perhaps due to MLB’s packed game schedule. MLB tickets also tend to be relatively affordable compared to tickets to pro football or basketball matches, which may also contribute to MLB’s consistently strong visit numbers throughout the season. During the MLB off-season, baseball fields – which tend to be uncovered – are relatively empty. 

The seasonal visit spike to NBA arenas is less steady. The beginning and end of the season see strong peaks, and visits slow down slightly during the mid-season months of January and February. Visits then drop during the off-season spring and summer, but the off-season visit dip is not as low as it is for MLB fields – perhaps because the NBA arenas’ indoor nature make them suitable locations for concerts and other non-basketball events. 

Meanwhile, NFL stadiums see the least dramatic drop in visits during the NFL off-season, as these venues’ enormous size also make them the ideal location for concerts and other cultural events that draw large crowds. These arenas’ strong almost year-round visitation numbers mean that sponsors and advertisers looking to expand beyond sports fans to reach a diverse audience may have the most success with these venues. 

Stealing Bases, Winning Retail 

A Higher-Income Visitor Base 

Although MLB offers the most budget-friendly outing, combining STI: Popstats demographic metrics with trade area data reveals that MLB stadium visitors reside in higher-income areas when compared with visitors to NBA or NFL stadiums. 

Baseball fans tend to be older than fans of the other sports, which could partially explain MLB stadium visitors’ higher household income (HHI). The combination of lower ticket prices, higher median HHI among fans, and many games per season offers baseball stadiums significant opportunities to engage effectively with their fan bases. 

But while NBA and NFL stadium attendees may not come from as high-income areas as do MLB stadium visitors, fans of live basketball and football still reside in trade areas with a higher HHI compared to the nationwide median. So by leveraging stadium space, advertisers and other stakeholders can reach tens of thousands of relatively high-income consumers easily and effectively.

An Advertising Slam Dunk

Sports fans are known to be passionate, engaged, and willing to spend money on their team – but stadium visitors also shop for non-sports related goods and services. Retailers and advertisers can draw on location analytics to uncover the consumer preferences of stadium visitors and tailor campaigns, sponsorships, and collaborations accordingly. 

Distinct Retail Choices by Team

Visitation data to the top five most visited MLB stadiums during 2023 showed differences between the apparel and sporting goods shopping preferences of the various stadiums’ attendees. While 39.4% of visitors to Truist Park also visited DICK’s in 2023, only 30.8% of Yankee Stadium visitors stopped by the sporting goods retailer in the same period. Similarly, while 29.9% of visitors to Yankee Stadium frequented Kohl’s, that percentage jumped to 47.3% for Busch Stadium visitors.  

Harnessing location intelligence to see the consumer preferences of a stadium’s visitor base can help retailers, stadium operators, and even team managers choose partnerships and merchandising agreements that will yield the most effective results. 

Fan Tastes: Beyond the Bleachers

Sports and snacks go hand in hand – what would a baseball game be without a hot dog or peanuts? But while every stadium likely provides a similar core of traditional game day eats, each venue also offers a unique set of dining options, both on- and off-premise. And by leveraging location analytics to gain visibility into stadium-goers dining habits, stadium operators and local food businesses can understand how to best serve each arena’s audience.  

End Zone Eats

Mapping where stadium visitors dine before and after games can help stakeholders in the stadium industry reach more fans. 

The chart below shows the share of visitors coming to a stadium from a dining venue (on the x-axis) or going to a dining venue after visiting the stadium (on the y-axis). The data reveals a correlation between pre-stadium dining and post-stadium dining – stadiums where many guests visit dining venues before the stadium also tend to have a large share of guests going to dining venues after the event. For example, the AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, saw large shares of visitors grabbing a bite to eat on their journey to or from the stadium, while the M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Maryland saw low rates of pre- and post stadium dining engagement. 

These trends present opportunities for both local businesses and stadium stakeholders. For example, venues with high dining engagement can explore partnerships with local restaurants, while those with lower rates can build out their in-house dining options for hungry sports fans.

Different Events Drive Different Dining Patterns

Stadiums looking to enhance their food offerings – or local entrepreneurs thinking of opening a restaurant near a stadium – can also get inspired by stadium visitors’ dining preferences. For example, psychographic data taken from the Spatial.ai: FollowGraph dataset reveals that visitors to MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey have a much stronger preference for Asian cuisine compared to New Jersey residents overall. With that knowledge, the stadium can enhance the visitor experience by expanding its Asian food offerings. 

On the other hand, MetLife Stadium goers seem much less partial to Brewery fare than average New Jerseyans, so the stadium operators and restaurateurs may want to avoid offering too many Brewery-themed dining options. Stadium stakeholders can reserve the craft beers for Caesars Stadium, M&T Bank Stadium, and Soldier Field Stadiums, where visitors seem to enjoy artisanal brews more than the average resident in Louisiana, Maryland, and Illinois, respectively. 

All of the stadiums analyzed exhibited unique visitor dining tastes, a reminder that no customer or fan base is alike. Aligning on- or off-site dining options with offerings that align with a given customer base’s preferences can improve overall visitor satisfaction and boost revenues.

Pitches to Plates

Zooming in to look at consumer behavior around individual events reveals further variability in dining preferences even among visitors to the same stadium, with different types of events driving distinct dining behaviors.

State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona, is home to the Arizona Cardinals. The stadium hosted the 2023 Super Bowl, but the NFL stadium also acts as a concert venue for acts ranging from Taylor Swift to Metallica. And location intelligence reveals that the dining preferences of stadium visitors vary based on the events held at the venue. 

During the Super Bowl, sports bars such as Yard House and Buffalo Wild Wings saw the largest increase in visits compared to the chains’ daily average. A month later, attendees at Taylor Swift's concert gave fried-chicken leader Raising Cane’s a significant boost. 

Local restaurants can leverage location analytics to see what types of events are popular with their visitor base and craft collaborations and advertising campaigns that resonate effectively with their patrons.

Final Buzzer

Sports stadiums and arenas are not just spaces for sports and music enthusiasts to gather; they also offer significant commercial opportunities for the surrounding communities. Stadium operators and local businesses can fine-tune their offerings by utilizing location analytics to better connect with their visitor bases and uncover new retail opportunities. 

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