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As the 2025 holiday season approaches, America’s most iconic shopping corridors are preparing for some of their biggest weeks of the year. From Manhattan’s 5th Avenue to Beverly Hills’ Rodeo Drive and Chicago’s Magnificent Mile, holiday shoppers are expected to turn out in force. We analyzed last year’s holiday visitation patterns to uncover what lies ahead for these corridors this year – and who their visitors are likely to be.
Urban shopping corridors like 5th Avenue, Rodeo Drive, and the Magnificent Mile come alive each year with holiday energy, drawing shoppers in search of gifts, experiences, and festive cheer. But while all three districts see substantial surges in foot traffic during the season, the magnitude of those gains relative to the rest of the year varies widely from one corridor to the next.
On New York City’s 5th Avenue, December stands out as the busiest month of the year by far. Rodeo Drive, by contrast, sees multiple peaks across the calendar – though its December surge consistently surpasses ones earlier in the year. The Magnificent Mile, meanwhile, typically records its highest visitation in July, with a more modest boost each December.
Zooming in on last year’s holiday foot traffic further underscores each corridor’s distinct seasonal rhythm. All three districts enjoyed notable Black Friday upticks, but their strongest gains came on other key occasions – each following its own festive cadence.
On 5th Avenue, visits surged on the three Saturdays leading up to Christmas – peaking on December 14th – as eager crowds turned out in droves to admire elaborate window displays, skate at Rockefeller Center, and soak in the city’s holiday magic. Out-of-market traffic to the Magnificent Mile, by contrast, reached a 12-month high during the November 23rd Wintrust Lights Festival, which kicked off the season with floats, marching bands, and fireworks. After that, visits eased before gradually ticking up and hitting another high on December 28th. Rodeo Drive also recorded its busiest day of the season on December 28th, surpassed only by the Concours d'Elegance on June 15th. For both the Magnificent Mile and Rodeo Drive, these late-season peaks underscore their enduring appeal for post-Christmas shopping, leisure, and celebration over the extended holiday weekend.
High-street retail corridors’ mix of luxury brands and flagship stores tends to attract affluent shoppers with money to spend. The median household income (HHI) of 5th Avenue’s out-of-market trade area during an average weekend this year stood at $118.3K, while Rodeo Drive’s reached $123.1K and the Magnificent Mile’s $104.4K.
During the holiday season, however, all three corridors saw a drop in median HHI – though each remained well above the national baseline of $79.6K. At the same time, the share of families with children increased across all three destinations. These shifts, most pronounced on 5th Avenue given its dramatic influx of visitors, highlight a seasonal pivot toward a broader, more family-driven audience than is typical throughout the rest of the year.
Still, young single adults remain a core driver of holiday foot traffic across major retail corridors. Visitors aged 25 to 34 made up an outsized share of holiday shoppers last season, though each destination drew a somewhat different mix.
“Educated Urbanites” – affluent singles earning an estimated $150K to $200K per year – were most prevalent on Rodeo Drive but were also strongly represented along 5th Avenue and the Magnificent Mile. “Young Urban Singles,” early in their careers and earning between $35K and $50K, were most concentrated on 5th Avenue, while “Young Professionals” starting white-collar or technical careers with incomes of $50K to $75K were most common on the Mag Mile.
Together, these dynamics point to another vibrant holiday season across the country’s premier retail corridors. Each destination will draw its own mix of locals, travelers, and tourists – but all are poised to see more shoppers, more experiences, and more energy lighting up America’s high streets through the end of the year.
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Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.
Every year on Veterans Day, America’s restaurants find creative ways to honor the service of military members and their families. From free meals to fundraising efforts, many chains turn November 11th into a day of generosity and community.
And data from last year shows just how powerful that gesture can be – for both diners and the restaurants that serve them.
Eating out to honor those who served has become an American tradition. Leading chains from Applebee’s to Olive Garden and California Pizza Kitchen offer special deals to mark the occasion, drawing crowds nationwide. Last year, visits to these restaurants more than doubled compared to an average Monday, as Americans turned out to share a meal and show their appreciation.
For Applebee’s, November 11 wasn’t just a busy Monday – it was the busiest day of the entire year.
The brand’s all-day Veterans Day special allowed veterans and active-duty service members to enjoy a free entrée, creating steady traffic throughout the day. Eligible guests also received a $5 “Bounce Back” card to use in the following weeks – a small but effective way to say thank you and drive repeat visits. And while the all-day offer kept tables full, veterans and families hoping to avoid the lunchtime rush could still take advantage of the offer later in the day.
Other chains, like Golden Corral, took a different approach. The brand’s evening-only Military Appreciation Night began after 4:00 PM, offering free meals for veterans alongside a fundraising effort for Disabled American Veterans.
That timing produced a concentrated traffic surge. Visits peaked between 5:00 and 6:00 PM – likely boosted by some websites listing that as the start time – and remained well above average through the dinner hours. The data shows how a more focused event window can create strong evening momentum and a clear sense of occasion.
As November 11 approaches, full-service restaurants have another opportunity to align purpose with performance – honoring service members while strengthening ties with the communities they serve. How will this year’s Veterans Day dining trends unfold?
Follow Placer.ai/anchor to find out.
Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.
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Digitally native brands have long been recognized for redefining retail through direct-to-consumer convenience and transparency. But as many of these once digital-only companies expand offline, physical stores prove to be key drivers of growth and engagement. Warby Parker stands out as an example of a brand translating digital roots into success in the brick-and-mortar space.
Warby Parker is entering the final quarter of 2025 on the tails of meaningful gains in foot traffic during the last twelve months (9.0% year-over-year (YoY)). With over 300 locations and being well on its way to 45 new stores this year, the chain’s continued expansion likely had an impact on YoY visits. But Warby Parker’s established footprint is also driving growth. Company management cited on-target revenue from both new stores and ones open for 12-months or more.
Unlike traditional retailers, digitally native brands built their businesses on a foundation of ecommerce fluency, so a well-oiled online shopping experience and the roll-out of fresh AI-tools is to be expected. However, where Warby Parker continues to excel is in its physical store experience, enhanced by digital infrastructure that drives efficiency and reflects its roots as a digitally native brand.
The graph below shows that through three quarters of 2025, Warby Parker maintained average visit length of 30.8 minutes, exceeding the beauty (26.8 minutes) and traditional apparel (28.7 minutes) categories. This means that, on average, Warby Parker shoppers spend more time choosing a frame than they do sampling makeup or trying on an outfit. Longer visits indicate that Warby Parker stores, with their in-house eye exams and inviting, library-like atmosphere, have become destinations for both vision care and thoughtful frame selection. If Warby Parker continues to capture more of the vision care journey – a key long-term goal – further increases in average visit length could be expected.
Yet Warby Parker also drove a larger share of visits under 10 minutes than the analyzed categories, underscoring its well-executed omnichannel capabilities that serve consumers looking for speed and convenience. The chain integrates online staples – such as virtual try-ons – in-store, and its “Point of Everything (POE)” sales tool quickly identifies which frames customers have “favorited” online to help streamline offline purchases. And while some of Warby Parker’s short visits may come from frame adjustments – typically a quick fix – POE helps to make that process more efficient as well.
This all points to why Warby Parker’s retail revenue growth outpaces its ecommerce growth – accounting for 73% of the business – and may also explain management’s decision to sunset its Home Try-On program. Noting that the majority of the program’s current users live within 30 minutes of a Warby Parker store, the brand likely hopes that users can be easily converted into offline customers.
Digitally native brands are reshaping the physical store into an extension of their digital DNA and creating spaces that deliver both engagement and convenience. Knowledgeable associates and in-store amenities elevate offline shopping, while digital infrastructure supports everyday efficiency.
Want more data-driven retail insights? Visit Placer.ai/anchor.
Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.
With food prices remaining elevated, value grocers like Grocery Outlet Bargain Market are continuing to gain ground. We analyzed the latest traffic data to uncover what’s driving their sustained momentum.
Although food prices have now been elevated for several years – with 2025 bringing yet another uptick at the grocery till – traffic data suggests that consumers are continuing to adjust to this new normal. Value grocers are still gaining ground, with both Grocery Outlet Bargain Market and WinCo Foods experiencing strong year-over-year traffic gains.
Grocery Outlet Bargain Market – which has been expanding beyond its West Coast core markets – saw its traffic increase 7.5% year over year (YoY) over the past 12 months.
WinCo Foods – another value grocer rooted in the Western U.S. and growing in new regions – also experienced continued traffic growth.
Grocery Outlet Bargain Market and WinCo sustained momentum – even after years of high food prices – suggesting that grocery shopping habits change slowly. But while some shoppers may take longer to trade down from their traditional grocers, each additional month of high prices appears to draw more households toward value-focused chains. Value grocers' ongoing YoY visit gains point to a slow but steady realignment of consumer loyalties toward discount and private-label-driven formats that can keep prices low, even if it means a less familiar product mix.
At the same time, chains like Grocery Outlet and WinCo are meeting this demand head-on. Both are expanding into new markets and capturing shoppers who are now more willing to try new stores in search of savings. After several years of navigating higher grocery bills, consumers have become more intentional about where they shop and what they buy – and value grocers are benefiting from that sustained recalibration.
For the most up-to-date grocery insights, check out Placer.ai’s free tools.
Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.
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CAVA’s expansion in recent years has been largely focused on suburban markets. And analyzing the shift in its visitor base highlights that it is growing in ways that signal continued room for growth.
The median household income in CAVA’s trade area has dropped steadily over the years, from $122.7K in 2019 to $95.0K in 2025, reflecting its growing reach among middle-income, suburban households. At the same time, visits from the ultra-wealthy “Power Elite”, defined by Experian: Mosaic as “the wealthiest households in the U.S.”, have given way to growth among “Singles & Starters” – though a slight drop-off in 2025 may reflect pull-back from these households amidst economic uncertainty. Still, the data suggests that CAVA’s appeal is resonating with a much larger, more diverse group of consumers, positioning the chain for continued growth in the years ahead.
Looking deeper into the geographic segments that make up CAVA’s visitor base reveals another often-overlooked source of opportunity. As the company has expanded beyond its urban core, its share of visits from the “Urban Periphery” segment (defined by the Esri Analytics Bundle as residential communities just beyond major city centers) has climbed steadily. These neighborhoods present a significant opportunity for continued expansion in markets that bridge city and suburb – offering the chain further room for growth.
In expanding into suburban markets, CAVA has also evolved its operating model to emphasize speed and convenience. Visits have become noticeably faster as the brand expands its drive-thru lanes and digital ordering options, with average dwell time dropping from 42.3 minutes in Q3 2019 to 28 minutes in Q3 2025. This shift suggests that the chain’s approach is resonating with time-pressed consumers. At the same time, a still relatively leisurely dwell time (28 minutes in Q3 2025) indicates that many guests still choose to dine in-house – underscoring CAVA’s ability to serve both convenience-driven and sit-down customers.
Location analytics for CAVA reflects a brand that is maturing while still defining its core audience. The chain has democratized over the years, as seen by its widening customer base, while continuing to make operational changes that benefit its brand.
Will CAVA continue to thrive into Q4 2025 and beyond?
For the most up-to-date dining data, check out Placer.ai’s free tools.
Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.
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When First Watch (FWRG), Portillo’s (PTLO), and sweetgreen (SG) went public in 2021, each represented a different slice of the fast-casual boom – from breakfast to indulgent classics to health-forward dining.
Now, four years on, as tighter consumer budgets and a more competitive dining environment test the wider dining scene, we explore how these three restaurants are performing in 2025.
First Watch’s concept is simple: breakfast, served between 7 a.m. and 2:30 p.m. And recent visitation trends suggest that this straightforward formula continues to resonate – foot traffic grew steadily on a YoY basis, with visits over the past 12 months up 11.9% year over year (YoY).
The company set a goal of adding 60 new restaurants in 2025 and has already opened about half that number while eyeing an eventual 2,200-unit footprint nationwide. Comp sales reflect this steady, disciplined growth, increasing 3.5% in Q2 2025, driven primarily by higher guest counts rather than menu pricing.
With continued visit gains and a measured expansion plan, First Watch appears well positioned to sustain its momentum. Its customer base tends to be more affluent and possibly less price-sensitive than many fast-casual chains – an advantage that may help insulate the brand from inflationary pressures. Combined with its focused concept and disciplined execution, First Watch remains poised for steady growth even in a more cautious consumer climate.
Fast-casual chain Portillo’s, known for its Midwestern take on comfort food, saw a strong run of visit growth through 2024, primarily driven by continued expansion. Now, the chain appears to be entering a period of normalization.
Chain-wide foot traffic, which had grown at a double-digit pace the prior year, began to slow in early 2025, with visits over the past 12 months just 1.6% higher YoY – partly due to the lapping of a strong 2024.
The company has acknowledged these headwinds, lowering expectations amid a challenging macroeconomic environment. To address them, Portillo’s plans to renew its focus on value, streamline operations, and pace new unit growth – strengthening its foundation for measured expansion and increased foot traffic in 2026.
Salad chain sweetgreen was one of the standout success stories of the post-pandemic era and continued that momentum into recent years. The company’s expansion strategy and focus on digital engagement helped drive consistent visit growth, cementing its position as a leader in the premium fast-casual segment.
Visits over the past 12 months were up 10.9% year-over-year – an impressive increase, but still lower than the 22.5% YoY growth of the previous 12-months period.
Part of this moderation reflects tougher comparisons following a particularly strong 2024. And though “bowl fatigue” likely also plays a role, sweetgreen remains optimistic. The brand continues to invest in its suburban formats while building out its “Infinite Kitchen” technology and continuing to open new locations. If successful, these initiatives could help Sweetgreen translate its brand strength and digital reach into a more stable, scalable traffic base as it moves into 2026.
The three chains have found their stride, though each is on a different path. First Watch is thriving, capitalizing on a focused concept and loyal, higher-income guests. Portillo’s is in a reset phase, refocusing on value and efficiency, while sweetgreen remains in growth mode, leveraging technology and suburban expansion to reignite same-store growth.
For the most up-to-date dining data, check out Placer.ai’s free tools.
Placer.ai leverages a panel of tens of millions of devices and utilizes machine learning to make estimations for visits to locations across the US. The data is trusted by thousands of industry leaders who leverage Placer.ai for insights into foot traffic, demographic breakdowns, retail sale predictions, migration trends, site selection, and more.
Everybody loves coffee. And with some 75% of American adults indulging in a cup of joe at least once a week, it’s no wonder the industry is constantly on an upswing.
In early 2024, year-over-year (YoY) visits to coffee chains increased nationwide – with every state in the continental U.S. experiencing year-over-year (YoY) coffee visit growth.
The most substantial foot traffic boosts were seen in smaller markets like Oklahoma (19.4%), Wyoming (19.3%), and Arkansas (16.9%), where expansions may have a more substantial impact on statewide industry growth. But the nation’s largest coffee markets, including Texas (10.9%), California (4.2%), Florida (4.2%), and New York (3.5%), also experienced significant YoY upticks.
The nation’s coffee visit growth is being fueled, in large part, by chain expansions: Major coffee players are leaning into growing demand by steadily increasing their footprints. And a look at per-location foot traffic trends shows that by and large, they are doing so without significantly diluting visitation to existing stores.
On an industry-wide level, visits to coffee chains increased 5.1% YoY during the first five months of 2024. And over the same period, the average number of visits to each individual coffee location declined just slightly by 0.6% – meaning that individual stores drew just about the same amount of foot traffic as they did in 2023.
Drilling down into chain-level data shows some variation between brands. Dutch Bros., BIGGBY COFFEE and Dunkin’ all saw significant chain-wide visit boosts, accompanied by minor increases in their average number of visits per location.
Starbucks, for its part, which reported a YoY decline in U.S. sales for Q2 2024, maintained a small lag in visits per location. But given the coffee leader’s massive footprint – some 16,600 stores nationwide – its ability to expand while avoiding more significant dilution of individual store performance shows that Starbucks’ growth is meeting robust demand.
What is driving the coffee industry’s remarkable category-wide growth? And who are the customers behind it? This white paper dives into the data to explore key factors driving foot traffic to leading coffee chains in early 2024. The report explores the demographic and psychographic characteristics of visitors to major players in the coffee space and examines strategies brands can use to make the most of the opportunity presented by a thriving industry.
One factor shaping the surge in coffee visit growth is the slow-but-sure return-to-office (RTO). Hybrid work may be the post-COVID new normal – but RTO mandates and WFH fatigue have led to steady increases in office foot traffic over the past year. And in some major hubs – including New York and Miami – office visits are back to more than 80.0% of what they were pre-pandemic.
A look at shifting Starbucks visitation patterns shows that customer journeys and behavior increasingly reflect those of office-goers. In April and May 2022, for example, 18.6% of Starbucks visitors proceeded to their workplace immediately following their coffee stop – but by 2024, this share shot up to 21.0%.
Over the same period, the percentage of early morning (7:00 to 10:00 AM) Starbucks visits lasting less than 10 minutes also increased significantly – from 64.3% in 2022 to 68.7% in 2024. More customers are picking up their coffee on the go – many of them on the way to work – rather than settling down to enjoy it on-site.
Dunkin’ is another chain that is benefiting from consumers on the go. Examining the coffee giant’s performance across major regional markets – those where the chain maintains a significant presence – reveals a strong correlation between the share of Dunkin’ visits in each state lasting less than five minutes and the chain’s local YoY trajectory.
In Wisconsin, for example, 50.9% of visits to Dunkin’ between January and May 2024 lasted less than five minutes. And Wisconsin also saw the most impressive YoY visit growth (5.9%). Illinois, Ohio, Maine, and Connecticut followed similar patterns, with high shares of very short visits and strong YoY showings.
On the other end of the spectrum lay Tennessee, Alabama, and Florida, where very short visits accounted for a low share of the chain’s statewide total – under 40.% – and where visits declined YoY.
Dunkin’s success with very short visits may be driven in part by its popular app, which makes it easy for harried customers to place their order online and save time in-store. And this is good news indeed for the coffee leader – since customers using the app also tend to generate bigger tickets.
Dutch Bros.’ meteoric rise has been fueled, in part, by its appeal to younger audiences. Recently ranked as Gen Z’s favorite quick-service restaurant, the rapidly-expanding coffee chain sets itself apart with a strong brand identity built on cultivating a positive, friendly customer experience.
And Dutch Bros.’ people-centered approach is resonating especially well with singles – including young adults living alone – who may particularly appreciate the chain’s community atmosphere.
Analyzing the relative performance of Dutch Bros.’ locations across metro areas – focusing on regions where the chain has a strong local presence – shows that it performs best in areas with plenty of singles. Indeed, the share of one-person households in Dutch Bros.’ local captured markets is very strongly correlated with the coffee brand’s CBSA-level YoY per-location visit performance. Areas with higher concentrations of one-person households saw significantly more YoY visit growth in the first part of 2024. (A chain’s captured market is obtained by weighting each Census Block Group (CBG) in its trade area according to the CBG’s share of visits to the chain – and so reflects the population that actually visits the chain in practice).
The share of one-person households in Dutch Bros.’ Tucson, AZ captured market, for example, stands at 33.4% – well above the nationwide baseline of 27.5%. And between January and May 2024, Tucson-area Dutch Bros. saw a 6.0% increase in the average number of visits per location. Tulsa, OK, Medford, OR, and Oklahoma City, OK – which also feature high shares of one-person households (over 30.0%) – similarly saw per-location visit increases ranging from 3.6% - 7.0%. On the flip side, Fresno, CA, Las Vegas-Henderson-Paradise, NV, and San Antonio-New Braunfels, TX, which feature lower-than-average shares of single-person households, saw YoY per-location visit declines ranging from 1.5%-9.5%.
As Dutch Bros. forges ahead with its planned expansions, it may benefit from doubling down on this trends and focusing its development efforts on markets with higher-than-average shares of one-person households – such as university towns or urban areas with lots of young professionals.
Michigan-based BIGGBY COFFEE is another java winner in expansion mode. With a growth strategy focused on emerging markets with less brand saturation, BIGGBY has been setting its sights on small towns and rural areas throughout the Midwest and South. Though the chain does have locations in bigger cities like Detroit and Cincinnati, some of its most significant markets are in smaller population centers.
And a look at the captured markets of BIGGBY’s 20 top-performing locations in early 2024 shows that they are significantly over-indexed for suburban consumers – both compared to BIGGBY as a whole and compared to nationwide baselines. (Top-performing locations are defined as those that experienced the greatest YoY visit growth between January and May 2024).
“Suburban Boomers”, for example – a Spatial.ai: PersonaLive segment encompassing middle-class empty-nesters living in suburbs – comprised 10.6% of BIGGBY’s top captured markets in early 2024, compared to just 6.6% for BIGGBY’s overall. (The nationwide baseline for Suburban Boomers is even lower – 4.4%.) And Upper Diverse Suburban Families – a segment made up of upper-middle-class suburbanites – accounted for 9.6% of the captured markets of BIGGBY’s 20 top locations, compared to just 7.2% for BIGGBY’s as a whole, and 8.3% nationwide.
Coffee has long been one of America’s favorite beverages. And java chains that offer consumers an enjoyable, affordable way to splurge are expanding both their footprints and their audiences. By leaning into shifting work routines and catering to customers’ varying habits and preferences, major coffee players like Starbucks, Dunkin’, Dutch Bros., and BIGGBY COFFEE are continuing to thrive.
Note: This report is based on an analysis of visitation patterns for regional and nationwide grocery chains and does not include single-location stores.
Grocery stores, superstores, and dollar stores all carry food products – and American consumers buy groceries at all three. But even in today’s crowded food retail environment, traditional grocery chains have a special role to play. With their primary focus on stocking a wide variety of fresh foods, these chains serve a critical function in offering consumers access to healthy options.
But visualizing the footprints of major grocery chains across the continental U.S. – alongside those of discount & dollar stores – shows that the geographical distribution of grocery chains remains uneven.
In some areas, including parts of the Northeast, Midwest, South Atlantic, and Pacific regions, grocery chains are plentiful. But in others – some with population centers large enough to feature a robust dollar store presence – they remain in short supply.
And though many superstore locations also provide a full array of grocery offerings, they, too, are often sparsely represented in areas with low concentrations of grocery chains.
For grocery chain operators seeking to expand, these underserved grocery markets can present a significant opportunity. And for civic stakeholders looking to broaden access to healthy food across communities, these areas highlight a policy challenge. For both groups, identifying underserved markets with significant untapped demand can be a critical first step in deciding where to focus grocery development initiatives.
This white paper dives into the location analytics to examine grocery store availability across the United States – and harnesses these insights to explore potential demand in some underserved markets. The report focuses on locations belonging to regional or nationwide grocery chains, rather than single-location stores.
Last year, grocery chains accounted for 43.4% of nationwide visits to food retailers – including grocery chains, superstores, and discount & dollar stores. But drilling down into the data for different areas of the country reveals striking regional variation – offering a glimpse into the variability of grocery store access throughout the U.S. In some states, grocery stores attract the majority of visit share to food retailers, while in others, dollar stores or superstores dominate the scene.
The ten states where residents were most likely to visit grocery chains in early 2024 – Oregon, Vermont, Washington, Massachusetts, California, Maryland, New Hampshire, Connecticut, New Jersey, and Rhode Island – were all on the East or West Coasts. In these states, as well as in Nevada and New York, grocery chain visits accounted for 50.0% or more of food retail visits between January and April 2024.
Meanwhile, residents of many West North Central and South Central states were much less likely to do their food shopping at grocery chains. In North Dakota, for example, grocery chain visits accounted for just 11.7% of visits to food retailers over the analyzed period. And in Mississippi, Oklahoma, and Arkansas, too, grocery stores drew less than 20.0% of the overall food retail foot traffic.
But low grocery store visit share does not necessarily indicate a lack of consumer interest or ability to support such stores. And in some of these underserved regions, existing grocery chains are seeing outsize visit growth – indicating growing demand for their offerings.
North Dakota, the state with the smallest share of visits going to grocery chains in early 2024, experienced a 9.1% year-over-year (YoY) increase in grocery visits during the same period – nearly double the nationwide baseline of 5.7%. Other states with low grocery visit share, including Nebraska, Arkansas, Alabama, Mississippi, and New Mexico, also experienced higher-than-average YoY grocery chain visit growth. This suggests significant untapped potential for grocery stores and a market that is hungry for more.
Alabama is one state where grocery chains accounted for a relatively small share of overall food retail foot traffic in early 2024 (just 28.9%) – but where YoY visit growth outperformed the nationwide average. And digging down even further into local grocery store visitation trends provides further evidence that at least in some places, low grocery visit share may be due to inadequate supply, rather than insufficient demand.
In Central Alabama, for example, many residents drive at least 10 miles to reach a local grocery chain. And several parts of the state, both rural and urban, feature clusters of grocery stores that draw customers from relatively far away.
But zooming in on YoY visitation data for local grocery chain locations shows that at least some of these areas likely harbor untapped demand. Take for example the Camden, Butler, Thomasville, and Gilbertown areas (circled in the map above). The Piggly Wiggly location in Butler, AL, drew 40.1% of visits from 10 or more miles away. The same store experienced a 23.3% YoY increase in visits in early 2024 – far above the statewide baseline of 6.6%. Meanwhile, the Super Foods location in Thomasville, AL, which drew 52.8% of visits from at least 10 miles away – experienced YoY visit growth of 12.3%. The Piggly Wiggly locations in Camden, AL and Gilbertown, AL saw similar trends.
At the same time, trade area analysis of the four locations reveals that the grocery stores had little to no trade area overlap during the analyzed period. Each store served specific areas, with minimal cannibalization among customer bases.
These metrics appear to highlight robust demand for grocery stores in the region – grocery visits are growing at a stronger rate than those in the overall state, people are willing to make the drive to these stores, and each one has little to no competition from the others.
While significant opportunity exists across the country, many communities still face considerable challenges in supporting large grocery stores. Though South Carolina has a significant number of grocery chain locations, for example, certain areas within the state have low access to food shopping opportunities. And one local government – Greenville County – is considering offering tax breaks to grocery stores that set up shop in the area, to improve local fresh food accessibility.
Placer.ai migration and visitation data shows that Greenville County is ripe for such initiatives: the county’s population grew by 4.8% over the past four years – with much of that increase a result of positive net migration. And YoY visits to Greenville County Grocery Stores have consistently outperformed state averages: In April 2024, grocery visits in the county grew by 6.1% YoY, while overall visits to grocery stores in South Carolina grew by 4.2%. This growth – both in terms of grocery visits and population – points to rising demand for grocery stores in Greenville County.
Analyzing the Greenville County grocery store trade areas with Spatial.ai’s FollowGraph dataset – which looks at the social media activity of a given audience – offers further insight into local grocery shoppers’ particular demand and preferences.
Consumers in Greenville-area grocery store trade areas, for example, are more likely to be interested in “Mid-Range Grocery Stores” (including brands like Aldi, Kroger, and Lidl) than residents of grocery store trade areas in the state as a whole. This metric provides further evidence of local demand for grocery chains – and offers a glimpse into the kinds of specific grocery offerings likely to succeed in the area.
Grocery stores remain essential services for many consumers, providing a place to pick up fresh produce, meat, and other healthy food options. And many areas in the country are ripe for expansion, with eager customer bases and growing demand. Identifying such areas with location analytics can help both grocery store operators and municipal stakeholders provide their communities and customer bases with an enhanced grocery shopping experience that caters to local preferences.
Following COVID-era highs, domestic migration levels have begun to taper off – with the number of Americans moving within the U.S. hitting an all-time low, according to some sources, in 2023.
To be sure, some popular COVID-era destinations – including Idaho, the Carolinas, and Utah – saw their net domestic migration continue to rise, albeit at a slower pace. But other states which had been relocation hotspots between February 2020 and February 2023, such as Wyoming and Texas, experienced negative net migration between February 2023 and February 2024.
Analyzing CBSA-level migration data reveals differences and similarities between last year’s migration patterns and COVID-era trends.
Between February 2020 and February 2023, seven out of the ten CBSAs posting the largest population increases due to inbound domestic migration were located in Florida. But between February 2023 and February 2024, the top 10 CBSAs with the largest net migrated percent of the population were significantly more diverse. Only four out of the ten CBSAs were located in Florida, and several new metro areas – including Provo-Orem, UT, Kingsport-Bristol, TN-VA, and Boulder, CO – joined the list.
This white paper leverages a variety of location intelligence tools – including Placer.ai’s Migration Report, Niche Neighborhood Grades, and ACS Census Data location intelligence – to analyze two migration hotspots. Specifically, the report focuses on Daytona Beach, FL, which already appeared on the February 2020 to February 2023 list and has continued to see steady growth, and Boulder, CO, which has emerged as a new top destination. The data highlights the potential of CBSAs with unique value propositions to continue to attract newcomers despite ongoing housing headwinds.
The Boulder, CO CBSA has emerged as a domestic migration hotspot: The net influx of population between February 2023 and February 2024 (i.e. the total number of people that moved to Boulder from elsewhere in the U.S., minus those that left) constituted 3.1% of the CBSA’s February 2024 population.
The strong migration is partially due to the University of Colorado, Boulder’s growing popularity. But the metro area has also emerged as a flourishing tech hub, with Google, Apple, and Amazon all setting up shop in town, along with a wealth of smaller start ups.
Most domestic relocators tend to remain within state lines – so unsurprisingly, many of the recent newcomers to Boulder moved from other CBSAs in Colorado. But perhaps due to Boulder’s robust tech ecosystem, many of the new residents also came from Los Angeles, CA (6.6%) and San Francisco, CA (3.4%) – other CBSAs known for their thriving tech scenes.
At the same time, looking at the other CBSAs feeding migration to the area indicates that tech is likely not the only draw attracting people to Boulder: A significant share of relocators came from the CBSAs of Chicago, IL (6.1%), Dallas , TX (4.9%), and New York, NY (3.9%). The move from these relatively urbanized CBSAs to scenic Boulder indicates that some of the domestic migration to the area is likely driven by people looking for better access to nature or a general lifestyle change.
According to the U.S. News & World Report, Boulder ranked in second place in terms of U.S. cities with the best quality of life. Using Niche Neighborhood Grades to compare quality of life attributes in the Boulder CBSA and in the areas of origin dataset highlights some of the draw factors attracting newcomers to Boulder beyond the thriving tech scene.
The Boulder CBSA ranked higher than the metro areas of origin for “Public Schools,” “Health & Fitness,” “Fit for Families,” and “Access to Outdoor Activities.” These migration draw factors are likely helping Boulder attract more senior executives alongside younger tech workers – and can also explain why relocators from more urban metro areas may be choosing to make Boulder their home.
Boulder’s strong inbound migration numbers over the past year – likely driven by its flourishing tech scene and beautiful natural surroundings – reveal the growth potential of certain CBSAs regardless of wider housing market headwinds.
Florida experienced a population boom during the pandemic, and several CBSAs in the state – including the Deltona-Daytona Beach-Ormond Beach, FL CBSA – have continued to welcome domestic relocators in high numbers. The CBSA’s anchor city, Daytona Beach – known for its Bike Week and NASCAR’s Daytona 500 – has also seen positive net migration between February 2023 and February 2024.
Americans planning for retirement or retirees operating on a fixed income are likely particularly interested in optimizing their living expenses. And given Daytona’s relative affordability, it’s no surprise that the median age in the areas of origin feeding migration to Daytona Beach tends to be on the older side.
According to the 2021 Census ACS 5-Year Projection data, the median age in Daytona Beach was 39.0. Meanwhile, the weighted median age in the areas of migration origin was 42.6, indicating that those moving to Daytona Beach may be older than the current residents of the city.
Zooming into the migration data on a zip code level also highlights Daytona Beach’s appeal to older Americans: The zip code welcoming the highest rates of domestic migration was 32124, home to both Jimmy Buffet’s Latitude Margaritaville’s 55+ community and the LPGA International Golf Club, host of the LPGA Tour. The median age in this zip code is also older than in Daytona Beach as a whole, and the weighted age in the zip codes of origin was even higher – suggesting that older Americans and retirees may be driving much of the migration to the area.
Looking at the migration draw factors for Daytona Beach also suggests that the city is particularly appealing to retirees, with the city scoring an A grade for its “Fit for Retirees.” But the city of Daytona Beach is also an attractive destination for anyone looking to elevate their leisure time, with the city scoring higher than Daytona Beach’s cities of migration origin for “Weather,” “Access to Restaurants,” or “Access to Nightlife.”
Like Boulder, Daytona’s scenery – including its famous beaches – is likely attracting newcomers looking to spend more time outdoors and improve their work-life balance. And like Boulder and its tech scene, Daytona Beach also has an extra pull factor – its affordability and fit for older Americans – that is likely helping the area continue to attract new residents, even as domestic migration slows down nationwide.
Although the overall pace of domestic migration has slowed, analyzing location intelligence data reveals several migration hotspots amidst the overall cooldown. Boulder and Daytona Beach each have a set of unique draw factors that seem to attract different populations – and the success of these regions highlights the many paths to migration growth in 2024.
