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Who Attended the 2025 Kentucky Derby?
In early May 2025, horse racing fans were treated to the 151st Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY, with thoroughbred Sovereignty coming out the winner. We took a closer look at the location analytics and psychographic characteristics of visitors to find out who attends the Kentucky Derby. 
Ezra Carmel
May 22, 2025
4 minutes

In early May 2025, horse racing fans were treated to the 151st Run for the Roses at Churchill Downs in Louisville, KY, with thoroughbred Sovereignty coming out the winner. And while all eyes were on the horses, (and maybe the hats,) we dove into the location analytics and psychographic characteristics of visitors to find out who attends the Kentucky Derby. 

Large Purse: An Upscale, Urban Event

Analysis of Churchill Downs’ captured trade area over the last twelve months reveals that the racetrack tends to drive traffic from an affluent visitor base. Between May 2024 and April 2025 the dominant trade area audience segment was “Ultra Wealthy Families” (13.2%) – the Spatial.ai: Personalive grouping for the nation’s wealthiest households. This share of this segment within the racetrack’s trade area was well above the nationwide benchmark, more so than any other leading segment.

But digging deeper reveals Churchill Downs’ trade area contained significant shares of several suburban and rural segments as well, highlighting the non-urban quality of the racetrack’s visitors. The presence of large shares of “Wealthy Suburban Families” (12.1%) and “Upper Suburban Diverse Families” (11.4%) segments reflects a significant affluent suburban audience, while above-average shares of the “Rural Average Income” (8.6%) and “Rural High Income” (7.4%) segments indicates robust visitation from rural households with a range of incomes. 

But on Kentucky Derby raceday in 2025, Churchill Downs’ audience changed significantly. The share of “Ultra Wealthy Families” within the venue’s trade area jumped to 20.1%, indicating that the race drove traffic from an even more affluent audience than usual, likely due to the many celebrities and other affluent guests descending on the event. Meanwhile, the share of the “Young Professionals” segment – singles still in school or starting their careers in white-collar and technical jobs – also increased (from 6.0% to 10.3%), perhaps indicating that the Kentucky Derby succeeded in attracting younger urban audiences looking for recreation and a cultural experience. 

Still, non-urbanized audience segments remained well-represented within the race’s trade area (only the share of “Rural Average Income” households slipped below the segment’s nationwide benchmark), indicating that the event maintained much of Churchill Down’s typical spectator base.

Post Positions: Guests From Near and Far

Analysis of the 2025 Kentucky Derby’s physical trade area, which reflects the regions from which Churchill Downs Racetrack received visitors on the day, provides further insight into the event’s attendees. 

The map below shows that the event drew spectators from the country’s major metro areas – and from some of the wealthiest – including New York City, Los Angeles, San Francisco, and Miami. And some of these visitors may have come to Louisville for an extended stay – taking advantage of multiple Derby Week events and parties – contributing to a significant economic boost for the region. 

Analyzing visitors’ area of origin also revealed robust visitation from Louisville and Lexington, KY, and both urban and non-urban areas in the East North Central region as a whole, as diverse local racing fans appeared to take advantage of their proximity to the most exciting two minutes in sports.

The Homestretch

The Kentucky Derby is just the first event of thoroughbred racing’s Triple Crown, which continues with the fast approaching Preakness Stakes and Belmont Stakes. 

What will audiences to these high-stakes races and other upcoming sporting events look like? 

Visit Placer.ai to find out. 

Article
Can Chili’s Repeat its 2024 Success in 2025? 
Chili's enjoyed unprecedented foot traffic success throughout 2024 - and early signs suggest that this momentum is continuing into 2025. We take a look at some of the location analytics for the chain to measure its performance thus far into the year.
R.J. Hottovy
May 21, 2025
3 minutes

Chili’s Strength is Continuing in 2025 

In a year marked by shifting consumer habits and mounting challenges across the restaurant industry, Chili’s emerged as one of the breakout success stories of 2024 – and early signs suggest the momentum could continue into 2025

Although many casual dining chains have struggled in recent years, Chili’s is standing out with strong year-over-year visitation growth, boosted by compelling value promotions, operational improvements, and a renewed focus on customer loyalty. The brand’s ability to balance affordability with innovation has resonated with price-conscious diners, helping it outperform both its casual dining peers and broader industry benchmarks. As economic uncertainty persists, Chili’s strategic approach may serve as a blueprint for how full-service restaurants can thrive in today’s competitive landscape.

Chili’s Success Leading to Increased Market Share 

According to our visitation data, Chili's share of the overall category has increased from approximately 6% to around 8%, a substantial jump. This growth is especially notable given that Chili’s U.S. restaurant count actually declined over the past year, from 1,230 locations in December 2023 to 1,209 as of December 2024.

Attracting Diners From QSR and FSR Competitors 

Who is Chili’s taking visit share from? Essentially, everyone. Our data indicates that in Q1 2025, a meaningfully larger percentage of visitors from most leading quick-service and full-service chains also visited Chili’s, compared to Q1 2024. Admittedly, this increase in cross-visitation is partly because there are more Chili’s visitors than ever before – but the data also highlights Chili’s growing momentum, as the chain has succeeded in pulling traffic from both casual and quick-service competitors.

Chili’s Positioned to Solidify its Status as the Restaurant Industry's Standout Performer 

Chili's undeniably carved out a remarkable success story in 2024, and the compelling early 2025 data suggests the brand is strongly positioned to continue its impressive trajectory. The ability to significantly grow its market share and draw customers from a wide array of competitors speaks volumes about the effectiveness of its value promotions, operational improvements, and customer loyalty strategies. 

Chili’s continues to demonstrate a potent combination of broad appeal and deepening customer engagement. While the full narrative of 2025 for the restaurant industry continues to unfold, Chili's appears to be on track to replicate its 2024 success and could very well solidify its status as the restaurant industry's standout performer for a second consecutive year.

For more data-driven dining insights, visit placer.ai/anchor

Article
Dollar Stores: Stability in The New Year
We take a closer look at the foot traffic to the two biggest players in the discount and dollar store space – Dollar General and Dollar Tree – to understand where the two brands stand. 
Bracha Arnold
May 20, 2025
3 minutes

Dollar Tree and Dollar General have been major foot traffic winners in recent years, attracting an ever-increasing customer base to their dramatically expanded store counts. And while this growth hasn’t been without its setbacks – like the sale of Family Dollar and recently announced store closures – the segment’s overall strength suggests that there is still room for these chains to continue growing.

We take a closer look at the foot traffic to the two biggest players in the space – Dollar General and Dollar Tree – to understand where the two brands stand. 

Dollar General Keeps Things Elevated

Dollar General, one of the largest retailers in the United States, demonstrated a robust start to the year. Overall visits were up by 1.9% YoY in Q1 2025, while average visits per location held steady.

Diving into the monthly visit data offers insight into the slight dips in per-location visits – and potential trends for the chain heading into the second quarter. Dollar General got a strong start to the year, with both overall visits and visits per location elevated in January 2025. However, February’s inclement weather along with the comparison to last year’s leap year drove YoY visits down in February – but by March, foot traffic to the chain had mostly recovered. 

By April 2025, YoY visits and visits per location were up 6.5% and 5.4%, respectively – perhaps due to pull-forward of demand ahead of tariffs, but also suggesting a strong start to Q2 2025. Indeed, the company has announced plans to open an additional 725 stores in 2025 – an ambitious goal for a company in a solid position.

pOpshelf Pops Back

Dollar General also operates pOpshelf, a smaller chain offering items at a slightly elevated price point compared to the company’s flagship Dollar General banner. And while pOpshelf will be rightsizing in 2025, with 45 store closures planned, Dollar General continues to build out this higher-priced brand concept, expanding its product offerings to reach a wider range of customers.

This investment in both the pOpshelf and Dollar General concepts suggests that the company is well-positioned to capture a wider customer base across a range of discount retail styles. 

Dollar Tree Growth

Dollar Tree, the second-largest discount retailer in the country, has experienced similar visitation patterns to Dollar General. The company, which recently announced the sale of its Family Dollar banner, saw Q1 2025 visits to the Dollar Tree banner increase by 4.8% YoY, while visits per location dipped slightly.

But, like Dollar General, Dollar Tree experienced strong monthly visit growth in April 2025, with visits and visits per location elevated year-over-year by a significant 21.2% and 16.1%, respectively, likely due in part to the pull-forward of demand but also highlighting Dollar Tree’s fundamental strength.

Dollar Tree is aiming to continue this momentum, with a goal of opening around 300 stores by the end of the year and actively expanding its “3.0 Model.” This new store format is designed to offer shoppers a more comfortable experience and includes the addition of extended freezer and refrigerator offerings – suggesting that Dollar Tree may be looking to more directly compete with Dollar General’s grocery offerings.

Final Thoughts 

Discount and dollar stores definitively proved their staying power over the past few years. The segment continues to adapt to a rapidly changing economic environment and the shifting needs of consumers – whether by building out extended grocery options or offering discount products across a wider price range. 

Will discount stores continue to hold onto their dominance in Q2 and beyond? 

Visit Placer.ai/anchor for the latest data-driven retail insights. 

Article
Broad Pickins’ for Big Chicken
Big Chicken's moment in the spotlight has been building for the past few years. The surge in chicken offerings has spurred considerable traffic in the fast-casual and quick-service dining sectors.With the year’s midpoint quickly approaching, we took a look at some of the most popular players in the game to see how visits are performing. 
Bracha Arnold
May 19, 2025
4 minutes

Big Chicken's moment in the spotlight has been building for the past few years. The surge in chicken offerings – from Chili’s popular sandwich to the expansion of local and international chicken chains and McDonald’s recently launched McCrispy strips – has spurred considerable traffic in the fast-casual and quick-service dining sectors.

With the year’s midpoint quickly approaching, we took a look at some of the most popular players in the game to see how visits are performing. 

Finger-Lickin’ Good Foot Traffic

Chicken is the most popular protein in America, so it’s no surprise that chicken-centric restaurants are thriving. Still, even within this favorable dining landscape, recent years have seen chains like Dave’s Hot Chicken and Raising Cane’s significantly outpace other dining concepts in terms of growth.

Visits to chicken restaurants Huey Magoo’s, Super Chix, Dave’s Hot Chicken, and Raising Cane’s showed impressive year-over-year (YoY) growth in Q1 2025. Dave’s Hot Chicken, recently acquired in a $1 billion deal, experienced the most significant YoY visit growth – 67.2% in Q4 2024 and 60.0% in Q1 2025, followed by Super Chix (26.9% and 19.7%, respectively), with Raising Cane’s and Huey Magoo’s following closely. In contrast, overall fast-casual restaurants saw much more muted growth – and quick-service visits declined slightly in both quarters.

Some of the visit growth is driven by expansions – all of the analyzed chicken chains are growing their footprint to meet growing demand. And most brands are either growing or seeing only minor declines in their average visits per location numbers – suggesting that demand is keeping up with supply. 

In terms of performance, Dave’s and Raising Cane’s also saw the most year-over-year growth in average visits per location in Q1 2025, up 11.6% and 3.6%, respectively. While Huey Magoo’s and Super Chix experienced a slight slowdown in visits per location, their numbers tracked closely with those of previous years and the wider fast-casual and quick-service dining segments.

Weekly Visits Take Wing

Overall, weekly visits in April generally maintained their upward trend. Although the week of April 14th saw a slight dip in visits for Huey Magoo’s and Raising Cane’s, both chains quickly returned to growth in subsequent weeks.

And once again, Dave’s Hot Chicken continued to drive the most significant visit increases, with weekly visits surging by 55.1% during the week of April 28th.

Strength in the Suburbs

Each of the analyzed chains has its own unique draw. Huey Magoo’s fans call the chain the “Filet Mignon of Chicken,” while Dave’s Hot Chicken is known for its meticulous, chef-driven approach to fried chicken. Still, diving into the geographic segmentation data for each chain highlights a common thread uniting them: their strength in the suburbs and mid-sized cities.

In Q1 2025, all four chains saw significant shares of visitors originating from the “Suburban Periphery” and “Metro Cities” – defined by the Esri: Tapestry Segmentation dataset as commuter-oriented suburbs and mid-sized cities. However, despite these similarities across major geographic segments, visitors to these chains had their own distinctions as well. Notably, Huey Magoo’s drew 15.4% of its visitors from “Rural” areas, while only 1.9% and 4.4% of Dave’s Hot Chicken and Raising Cane’s Chicken Fingers visitors, respectively, came from those areas.

This highlights that while a significant portion of visitors to these chicken chains come from relatively similar areas, enough distinctions remain within their customer bases to allow for individual brand differentiation.

The Chicken Rush Is On

Chicken chains continue to be one of the most exciting dining categories to watch. As the chains continue to spread their wings, will visits continue to fly with them? Or will the cluck stop?

Visit Placer.ai to keep up with the latest data-driven dining insights.

Article
How Did Consumers Celebrate Mother's Day 2025?
Find out which retail categories got the biggest visit boosts from Mother's Day 2025.
Shira Petrack
May 16, 2025
1 minute

Analyzing location intelligence for Saturday, May 10th (the day before Mother’s Day) and on Sunday, May 11th (Mother’s Day) can reveal how some consumers chose to celebrate the occasion. 

Full-service restaurants – including breakfast-first casual dining chains such as IHOP and Waffle House – saw significant visit spikes on Mother’s Day, with traffic also rising on Saturday (almost 10% up compared to the average Saturday to date). In fact, Mother’s Day and the day before Mother’s Day were the busiest Sunday and Saturday in 2025 so far, respectively. Coffee chains also received a boost – both before Mother’s day and an even larger spike on Mother’s Day itself. 

May 10th and 11th were also the most visited Saturdays and Sundays in 2025 so far at greeting card retailers – both specialized stores like Hallmark and chains with a large greeting card selection such as CVS and Walgreens. Finally, Ulta also received a boost – likely from shoppers looking for the perfect Mother’s Day gift. 

For more data-driven consumer insights, visit placer.ai/anchor

Article
Off-Price And On Point
Off-price apparel chains continue to resonate with inflation-conscious shoppers seeking their favorite brands without significant expense. We examined the visitation patterns for several major players in this sector – T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, Ross Dress for Less, and Burlington – to gain insight into their performance during the first half of the year.
Bracha Arnold
May 16, 2025
4 minutes

Off-price apparel chains continue to resonate with inflation-conscious shoppers seeking their favorite brands without significant expense. We examined the visitation patterns for several major players in this sector – T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, Ross Dress for Less, and Burlington – to gain insight into their performance during the first half of the year.

Visits Continue To Grow

Off-price leaders continued to enjoy elevated visits throughout Q1 2025, with all of the analyzed chains experiencing visit growth. Burlington led the visit growth charge with 6.5% more visits in Q1 2025 than in Q1 2024, followed by T.J. Maxx and Marshalls (both owned by parent company TJX Companies), at 3.8% and 3.3%, respectively. Ross experienced the most modest year-over-year (YoY) visit growth of 0.5% in Q1 2025 – but still outpaced the overall apparel segment, which saw visits dip by 3.2% YoY.

Average visits per location showed slightly more variance, however, with Ross and Burlington experiencing dips of 2.7% and 1.9% YoY. Still, both chains expanded their store fleets somewhat significantly in recent months, and these visit-per-location lags may diminish as customer traffic normalizes across their newer locations.

Diving into monthly visitation patterns – most months experienced growth, though YoY visits took a significant dive in February 2025, likely owing to inclement weather that kept many at home. And visits rebounded in March and April, while overall visits to the apparel segment remained below growth – highlighting off-price retailers’ continued ability to attract and retain consumers amid broader challenges facing retail.

Engagement: The Key to Off-Price Success

But what lies behind off-price’s continuous rise? This segment has thrived for the past few years, defying the overall trends facing the apparel sector. A significant part of this success may stem from the segment’s inherent “treasure-hunt” experience – off-price shopping cultivates a browsing mentality, encouraging visitors to linger and explore the constantly changing inventory.

A closer look at average dwell times over the past few years – from the pre-pandemic era through the inflationary surges of 2023 and 2024 – reveals that visitors to off-price retailers linger significantly longer than those at overall apparel chains. For example, in 2025, visitors to T.J. Maxx and Burlington spent 40.3 and 43.9 minutes shopping, respectively, while visitors to apparel chains averaged just 33.3 minutes. To be sure, dwell times have slightly decreased across the board since COVID, likely due to factors such as increased interest in online shopping. But the longer dwell times at off-price stores highlight the sustained appeal of brick-and-mortar retail – especially when it offers added value.

Evening Treasure Hunts

And further cementing the “treasure hunt” engagement shopping aspect of off-price retail, visitors to the analyzed chains were significantly more likely to shop in the evening – between 6:00 and 10:00 PM – than visitors to other apparel chains. 

This difference in visit timing suggests that off-price shoppers are indeed making a dedicated trip, reserving a good chunk of their evening – once their daily duties were taken care of – for extended browsing sessions. This strong engagement during evening hours may signify that shoppers are receptive to longer shopping hours. 

Value-Driven Visits

Off-price retail continues to thrive, fueled, in part, by the “treasure hunt” experience. Shoppers to these chains are increasingly staying longer, and coming later in the day to maximize their shopping times – proving that, even in an unclear economic climate, there’s plenty of ways for retail to thrive. 

Visit Placer.ai/anchor for the latest data-driven retail insights. 

Reports
INSIDER
Report
Q2 2024 – Retail & Restaurant Review
Discover how discount and dollar stores, grocery chains, fitness clubs, superstores, home improvement and furnishing chains, and restaurants fared in Q2 2024.
July 18, 2024
6 minutes

Q2 2024 Overview

The positive retail momentum observed in Q1 2024 continued into Q2 – as stabilizing prices and a strong job market fostered cautious optimism among consumers. Year-over-year (YoY) retail foot traffic remained elevated throughout the quarter, with June in particular seeing significant weekly visit boosts ranging from 4.7% to 8.5%.

The robustness of the retail sector in Q2 was also highlighted by positive visit growth during the quarter’s special calendar occasions, including Mother’s Day (the week of May 6th) and Memorial Day (the week of May 27th). And though consumer spending may moderate as the year wears on, retail’s strong Q2 showing offers plenty of room for optimism ahead of back-to-school sales and other summer milestones.

Consumers Double Down on Value and Essential Goods

On a quarterly basis, overall retail visits rose 4.2% in Q2. And diving into specific categories shows that value continued to reign supreme, with discount and dollar stores seeing the most robust YoY visit growth (11.2%) of any analyzed category. 

Other essential goods purveyors, such as grocery store chains (7.6%) and superstores (4.6%), also outperformed the overall retail baseline. And fitness – a category deemed essential by many health-conscious consumers – outpaced overall retail with a substantial 6.0% YoY foot traffic increase. 

The decidedly more discretionary home improvement industry performed less well than overall retail in Q2 – but in another sign of consumer resilience, it too experienced a YoY visit uptick. And overall restaurant foot traffic increased 2.6% YoY.

Discount & Dollar Stores 

Discount and dollar stores enjoyed a strong Q2 2024, maintaining YoY visit growth above 10.0% for six out of the quarter’s 13 weeks. Only during the week of April 1st did the category see a temporary decline, likely the result of an Easter calendar shift. (The week of April 1st 2024 is being compared to the week of April 3rd, 2023, which included the run-up to Easter) 

Some of this growth can be attributed to the continued expansion of segment leaders like Dollar General. But the category has also been bolstered by the emphasis consumers continue to place on value in the face of still-high prices and economic uncertainty. 

Expanding Store Counts – and Visits

Dollar General, which has been expanding both its store count and its grocery offerings, saw YoY visits increase between 9.1% and 15.9% throughout the quarter. Affordable-indulgence-oriented Five Below, which has also been adding locations at a brisk clip, saw YoY visits increase between 4.9% and 18.8%.

And though Dollar Tree has taken steps to rightsize its Family Dollar brand, the company’s eponymous banner – which caters to middle-income consumers in suburban areas – continued to grow both its store count and its visits in Q2.

Grocery Stores

Grocery store chains also performed well in Q2 2024 – experiencing strongly positive foot traffic growth throughout the quarter. Though the sector continues to face its share of challenges, stabilizing food-at-home prices and improvements in employee retention and supply chain management have helped propel the industry forward. 

Aldi Ahead of the Pack

Diving into the performance of specific chains shows that within the grocery segment, too, price was paramount in Q2 2024 – with limited-assortment value grocery stores like Aldi and Trader Joe’s leading the way. 

Traditional chains H-E-B and Food Lion (owned by Ahold Delhaize) – both of which are known for relatively low prices – outperformed the wider grocery sector with respective YoY foot traffic boosts of 11.4% and 8.7%. But ShopRite, Safeway (owned by Albertsons), Kroger, and Albertsons also drew more visits in Q2 2024 than in the equivalent period of last year. 

Fitness

Fitness has proven to be relatively inflation-proof in recent years – thriving even in the face of reduced discretionary spending and consumer cutbacks. Indeed, rising prices may have actually helped boost gym attendance, as people sought to squeeze the most value out of their monthly fees and replace pricy outings with already-paid-for gym excursions. 

And despite lapping a remarkably strong 2023, visits to gyms nationwide remained elevated YoY in Q2 2024. 

Value Fitness Holds Sway

Diving into the data for some of the nation’s leading gyms shows that today’s fitness market has plenty of room at the top. Planet Fitness, 24 Hour Fitness, Life Time Fitness, Orangetheory Fitness, and LA Fitness all experienced YoY visit growth in Q2 2024 – reflecting consumers’ enduring interest in all things wellness-related.

But it was EōS Fitness and Crunch Fitness – two value gyms that have been pursuing aggressive expansion strategies – that really hit it out of the park, with respective YoY foot traffic increases of 23.4% and 21.4%.

Superstores 

The week of April 1st saw a decline in YoY visits to superstores – likely attributable to the Easter calendar shift noted above. But the category quickly rallied, and with back-to-school shopping and major superstore sales events coming up this July, the category appears poised to enjoy continued success throughout the summer.  

Wholesale Clubs Maintain Their Lead

Within the superstore category, wholesale clubs continued to stand out – with Costco Wholesale, Sam’s Club and BJ’s Wholesale Club enjoying YoY foot traffic growth ranging from 12.0% to 7.4%. But Target and Walmart also impressed with 4.6% and 4.0% YoY visit increases. 

Home Improvement and Furnishings

Inflation, elevated interest rates, and a sluggish real estate market have created a perfect storm for the home improvement industry, with spending on renovations in decline. The accelerated return to office has likely also taken its toll on the category, as people spend more time outside the home and have less availability to immerse themselves in DIY projects. 

But despite these challenges, weekly YoY foot traffic to home improvement and furnishing chains remained elevated throughout much of the Q2 – with June and April seeing mostly positive YoY visit growth, and May hovering just below 2023 levels. This (modest) visit growth may be driven by consumers loading up on supplies for necessary home repairs, or by shoppers seeking materials for smaller projects. And given the importance of Q2 for the home improvement sector, this largely positive snapshot may offer some promise of good things to come. 

Value Fuels Growth at Harbor Freight Tools

Some chains within the home improvement category continued to perform especially well in Q2 2024 – with rapidly expanding, budget-oriented Harbor Freight Tools leading the pack. But Ace Hardware, Menards, The Home Depot, and Lowe’s also saw foot traffic increases in Q2, showcasing the category’s resilience in the face of headwinds. 

Restaurants

Restaurants – including full-service restaurants (FSR), quick-service restaurants (QSR), fast-casual chains, and coffee chains – lagged behind grocery stores and other essential goods retailers in Q2 2024, as price-sensitive consumers prioritized needs over wants and ate at home more often. 

Still, YoY restaurant foot traffic remained up throughout most of the quarter. And impressively, the sector saw a YoY visit uptick during the week of Mother’s Day (the week of May 6th, 2024, compared to the week of May 8th, 2023) – an important milestone for FSR.  

Chain Expansion Drives Restaurant Visit Growth 

The restaurant industry’s YoY visit growth was felt across segments – though fast-casual and coffee chains experienced the biggest visit boosts. Like in Q1 2024, fast-casual restaurants hit the sweet spot between indulgence and affordability, outpacing QSR in the wake of fast food price hikes. And building on the positive YoY trendline that began to emerge last quarter, full-service restaurants finished Q2 2024 with a 1.4% YoY visit uptick.  

Chain expansion was the name of the restaurant game in Q2 2024, with several chains that have been growing their footprints outperforming segment averages – including CAVA, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Ziggi’s Coffee, California-based Philz Coffee, Raising Cane’s, Whataburger, and First Watch. Chili’s Grill and Bar also outpaced the full-service category average, aided by the revamping of its “3 for Me” menu. 

Positive Momentum Heading Into Summer

Retailers and restaurants in Q2 2024 continued to face plenty of challenges, from inflation to rising labor costs and volatile consumer confidence. But foot traffic trends across industries – including both essential goods purveyors like grocery stores and more discretionary categories like home improvement and restaurants – suggest plenty of room for cautious optimism as 2024 wears on.

INSIDER
Los Angeles Office Trends in 2024
Discover the state of office recovery in the Los Angeles metro area – and explore key trends shaping the return to office in some of LA's major business districts.
July 7, 2024
6 minutes

A Return-to-Office Overview 

Return-to-office (RTO) trends have been closely watched over the past few years, with relevant stakeholders trying to puzzle out the impact remote and hybrid work have had on business operations and worker performance. And while visits to office buildings, overall, remain below pre-pandemic levels, office recovery varies from city to city – reflecting the complex and nuanced nature of regional economic trends, workforce preferences, and industry-specific needs.

This white paper harnesses location analytics to explore office recovery in the country’s second-largest economy – Los Angeles. The first part of the report is based on an analysis of foot traffic data from Placer.ai’s Los Angeles Office Index – an index comprising 100 office buildings in LA (including several in the greater metro area). The second part of the report broadens the lens to analyze visits by local employees to points of interest (POIs) corresponding to four major LA-area office districts: Century City, Downtown LA, Santa Monica, and Culver City. The white paper examines the impact that return-to-work mandates have had on visits to office buildings, discovers which demographic groups are driving the RTO, and explores the connection between commute time and return-to-office rates.

LA’s Cubicle Comeback 

Slow But Steady Wins The Race

The return to office in Los Angeles has consistently lagged behind other major cities, underperforming nationwide recovery levels since the pandemic ground in-office work to a virtual halt. Still, the city’s office buildings are seeing a steady increase in visits, with foot traffic tending to spike at the beginning of each year. This indicates that even though office visits in LA are still below national averages, they are on a steady growth trajectory – a promising sign for stakeholders in the city.

A closer examination of Los Angeles office buildings also shows that despite the overall lag, some top-performing buildings in the LA metro area are defying the odds. Visits to the 20 local office buildings with the narrowest Q2 2024 post-COVID visit gaps were down just 8.7% in June 2024 compared to January 2019 – significantly outperforming the nationwide average.

So while overall office recovery in the city is still behind nationwide trends, these top-performing buildings indicate an optimistic outlook for the city’s office spaces.

From Zooms To Office Rooms

Diving into the demographics of visitors to LA’s top-performing office buildings reveals an important insight: these buildings are attracting younger workers. This cohort has shown a stronger preference for in-person work compared to their older colleagues.

Analyzing the buildings’ captured markets with psychographics from AGS: Panorama reveals that these buildings are attracting visitors from areas with larger shares of "Emerging Leaders" and "Young Coastal Technocrats" than the broader metro area.

"Emerging Leaders'' – upper-middle-class professionals in early stages of their careers – make up 20.3% of households in the trade areas feeding visits to these top-performing buildings, compared to 14.9% in the broader LA CBSA. Similarly, "Young Coastal Technocrats," young and highly educated professionals in tech and professional services, account for 14.7% of households driving visits to the top-performing buildings, compared to only 12.1% in the broader area.

The trend suggests that companies in these high-performing office buildings employ many early-career professionals eager to accelerate their careers and work in-person with colleagues and mentors. This is a positive sign for the future of the office market in the LA metro area, indicating that it is attractive to key demographic groups that are likely to drive future growth and innovation.

Mandates in Action

Over the past few years, the debate regarding return-to-office mandates has been a heated one. Will employees follow return-to-office requirements? Can companies enforce the return to office after offering remote and hybrid work options? Recent location analytics data suggests that, at least in the Los Angeles metro area, some return-to-office mandates have been effective. 

Three major tech companies – Activision Blizzard, TikTok, and SNAP Inc. – recently made their return-to-office policies stricter. Activision mandated a full return to the office in January 2024. TikTok has also intensified its return-to-office policy while seeking to expand its office presence in the greater Los Angeles area. And SNAP Inc. required employees to return to the office earlier this year as a condition of continued employment. 

Visitation patterns at each of these companies' respective headquarters suggest that their policies have directly impacted visit frequency. Since the beginning of the year, the share of repeat office visits (defined as two or more visits per week) has increased for all three locations. Activision saw its share of repeat office visits grow from 52.1% in H1 2023 to 61.4% in the same period of 2024. TikTok’s repeat visits grew from 49.5% to 61.0%, and SNAP’s repeat visits increased from 36.6% to 42.8%.

These numbers highlight how return-to-office policies can lead to noticeable changes in office visit patterns and offer a blueprint to other businesses looking to foster a stronger in-office workforce.

A Regional Office Revival 

Business Districts Bounce Back

Los Angeles is the second-largest metro area in the country, with several distinct business districts across its sprawling landscape. And a closer look at four major office hubs in the greater LA area – Century City, Downtown LA, Santa Monica, and Culver City – highlights how the office recovery can vary, not just by city or demographic, but on a neighborhood level. 

Weekday visits by local employees to all four analyzed business districts have rebounded significantly since 2020 – though each area has followed its own particular trajectory.

Culver City, home to major businesses including Sony Pictures and Disney Digital Network, saw the least pronounced drop in employee visits during the early days of the pandemic. And in Q2 2024, weekday visits by local workers were down just 18.4% compared to Q1 2019.

Century City, on the other hand, saw the most marked drop in local employee foot traffic as the pandemic set in. But the district’s recovery trajectory has also been the most dramatic – with a Q2 2024 visit gap of just 28.5%, smaller than Downtown LA’s 29.7% visit gap. Perhaps capitalizing on this momentum, Century City is expanding its business district with the addition of a major new office building, set to be completed in 2026 and serve as the headquarters for Creative Artists Agency. Santa Monica, for its part, finished off Q2 2024 with a 23.3% visit gap. 

Commuter Chronicles in Century City

Century City stands out within the Los Angeles metropolitan area for its dramatic decline and subsequent resurgence in local employee foot traffic. And looking at another metric of office recovery – employee commute distance – further underscores the district’s remarkable comeback.

The share of employees commuting to Century City from three to seven miles away has nearly returned to pre-COVID levels – suggesting a normalization of commuting patterns by local workers living in the area. In H1 2019, 33.5% of workers in Century City commuted between 3 and 7 miles to work; in 2022, that number had dropped to 29.8%. But by 2024, the share of visitors making that commute had grown to 32.5% – much closer to pre-COVID numbers. 

Similarly, the region’s trade area size, which had contracted significantly in the wake of the pandemic, bounced back significantly in 2024. This serves as another indication of Century City’s rebound, cementing Century City’s status as a key business hub within the Los Angeles metropolitan area.

Back In Business

Five years after the upheaval caused by the pandemic, office spaces are still changing. Although the Los Angeles area has taken longer to recover than other major cities, analyzing local visitation data shows significant potential for the city’s business areas. With young employees leading the return-to-office charge, the city is poised to keep driving its strong economy and adjust to an evolving office environment. 

INSIDER
Advantages of New Players in the Retail Media Space
Discover the unique brick-and-mortar advertising potential of Costco's and Wawa's new retail media networks - and how advertisers can best leverage this opportunity.
June 27, 2024

Retail Media: The Wave of the Present

Retail media networks (RMNs) have cemented their roles as the future – and present – of advertising. These networks enable advertisers to promote products and services through a retailer’s online properties and physical stores, when consumers are close to the point-of-purchase and primed to buy.  

Today, we take a closer look at two newcomers to the retail media space: Costco Wholesale and Wawa. Both chains have an online presence – but both also excel at in-store experiences, offering unique opportunities for consumer engagement and exposure to new products.

This white paper dives into the data to explore some of the key advantages Costco and Wawa bring to the retail media table –  and examine how the retailers’ physical reach can best be leveraged to help advertising partners find new audiences. 

The Costco and Wawa Brick-and-Mortar Opportunity

Wawa and Costco, the latest additions to the growing number of companies with retail media networks, exhibit significant advertising potential. Both brands boast a wide reach and diverse customer base, and both have access to troves of customer data through membership and loyalty programs. 

Foot traffic data confirms the robust offline positioning of the two retailers. In Q1 2024, year-over-year (YoY) visits to Costco and Wawa increased 9.5% and 7.5% respectively – showing that their in-store engagement is on a growth trajectory. 

And since consumers tend to spend a lot more time in-store than they do on retailers’ websites, Costco’s and Wawa’s strong brick-and-mortar growth positions them especially well to help advertisers reach new customers. In Q1 2024, the average visits to Costco’s and Wawa’s physical stores lasted 37.4 and 11.4 minutes respectively – compared to just 6.7 and 4.6 minutes for the chains’ websites. These longer in-store dwell times can be harnessed to maximize ad exposure and offer partners more extended opportunities for meaningful interactions with customers. Partners can also analyze the behavior and preferences of the two chains’ growing visitor bases to craft targeted online campaigns.  

Costco Enters the Wholesale Club RMN Space

RMN Potential Nationwide 

Costco’s retail media network will tap into the on- and offline shopping habits of its staggering 74.5 million members to inform targeted advertising by partners. And the retailer’s tremendous reach offers a significant opportunity to engage customers in-store. 

But while Costco is dominant in some areas of the country, other markets are led by competitors like Sam’s Club and BJ’s Wholesale Club. And advertisers looking to choose between competing RMNs or hone in on the areas where Costco is strongest can analyze Costco's performance and visit share – on a local or national level – to determine where to focus their efforts.

An analysis of the share of visits to wholesalers across the country reveals that Costco is the dominant wholesale membership club in much of the Western United States. But Costco also captures the largest share of wholesale club visits in many other major population centers, including important markets like New York, Chicago, Phoenix, and San Antonio. Costco’s widespread brick-and-mortar dominance offers prospective advertising partners a significant opportunity to connect with regional audiences in a wide array of key markets.  

Longer, More Frequent Visits

Another one of Costco’s key advantages as a retail media provider lies in its highly loyal and engaged audience. In May 2024, a whopping 41.4% of Costco’s visitors frequented the club at least twice during the month – compared to 36.6% for Sam’s Club and 36.0% for BJ’s Wholesale. 

Moreover, Costco led in average visit duration compared to its competitors. In May 2024, customers spent an average of 37.1 minutes at Costco – surpassing even the impressive dwell times at Sam’s Club and BJ’s Wholesale Club.

YoY visits per location to Costco, too, were the highest of the analyzed wholesalers, all three of which saw YoY increases. These metrics further establish the wholesaler’s position as an effective retail media provider. 

Unique Audience Preferences and Characteristics 

Even when foot traffic doesn't show a brand’s clear regional dominance, location analytics can reveal other metrics that signal its unique potential. Take the Richmond-Petersburg, VA, designated market area (DMA), for example. In May 2024, BJ’s Wholesale Club led the DMA with 41.2% of wholesale club visits, while Costco was a close second with 37.3% of visits.

But despite BJ’s lead in visit share, Costco's Richmond audience was more affluent. Costco's visitors came from trade areas with a median household income (HHI) of $93.2K/year, compared to $73.1K/year for Sam’s Club and $89.5K/year for BJ’s. Additionally, Costco drew a higher share of weekday visits than its counterparts. 

Analyzing shopper habits and preferences across chains on a local level can provide crucial context for strategists working on media campaigns. Advertisers can partner with the brands most likely to attract consumers interested in their offerings, and identify where – and when – to focus their advertising efforts. 

Wawa Debuts Retail Media

Convenience stores, or c-stores, are emerging as destinations in and of themselves – and their rising popularity among a wider-than-ever swath of consumers opens up significant opportunities in the retail advertising space. 

A C-Store RMN Advantage

Wawa is a relative newcomer to the world of retail media, after other c-stores like 7-Eleven and Casey’s launched their networks in 2022 and 2023. But despite coming a bit late to the party, the potential for Wawa’s Goose Media Network is significant – thanks to a cadre of highly loyal visitors who enjoy the physical shopping experience the c-store chain offers.

In May 2024, Wawa’s share of loyal visitors (defined as those who visited the chain at least twice in a month) was 60.1%. In contrast, other leading c-store chains operating in Wawa’s market area – QuickTrip and 7-Eleven, for example – saw loyalty rates of 56.0% and 47.9%, respectively, for the same period. 

Additionally, Wawa visitors browsed the aisles longer than those at other convenience retailers. In May 2024, 39.9% of Wawa visitors stayed in-store for 10 minutes or longer, compared to 29.6% at QuickTrip and 25.7% at 7-Eleven.

Wawa's loyal customer base and longer visit durations make it a strong contender in the retail media space. By harnessing this high level of customer engagement, Wawa can draw in advertisers and develop targeted marketing strategies that resonate with its dedicated shoppers.

Doubling Down on Miami

Wawa has been on an expansion roll over the past few years, with plans to open at least 280 stores over the next decade in North Carolina, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, Ohio, Indiana, and Kentucky. The chain has also been steadily increasing its footprint in Florida – between January 2019 and April 2024, Wawa grew from 167 Sunshine State locations to 280, with more to come.

And analyzing changes in Wawa’s visit share in one of Florida’s biggest markets – the Miami-Ft. Lauderdale DMA – shows how successful the chain’s local expansion has been. Between January 2019 and April 2024, Wawa more than doubled its category-wide visit share in the Miami area (i.e. the portion of total c-store visits in the DMA going to Wawa) – from 19.0% to nearly 40.0%. 

A Growing and Evolving Audience

A look at changes in Wawa’s Miami-Ft. Lauderdale trade area shows that the chain’s growing visit share has been driven by an expanding market and an increasingly diverse audience. 

In April 2019, there were some 55 zip code tabulation areas (ZCTAs) in the Miami-Ft. Lauderdale DMA from which Wawa drew at least 3,000 visits per month. By April 2021, this figure grew to 96 – and by April 2024, it reached 129. 

Over the same period, the share of “Family Union” households in Wawa’s local captured market – defined by the Experian: Mosaic dataset as families comprised of middle-income, blue collar workers – nearly doubled, growing from 7.4% in April 2019 to 14.4% in April 2024.  

Final Thoughts

Retail media networks that make it easier to introduce shoppers to products and brands that are closely aligned with their preferences and habits offer a win-win-win for retailers, advertisers, and consumers alike. And Costco and Wawa are extremely well-positioned to make the most of this opportunity. 

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