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Looking at the discretionary categories that outperformed this holiday season, we may be on the cusp of a new trend heading into 2025: reinvention. Our data highlights that home furnishings, beauty, and apparel were among the top-performing discretionary retail categories in terms of year-over-year visits during November and December, as shown below.
The performance of these three categories is notable for different reasons. After significant declines earlier in the year, the home furnishings category rebounded strongly. As discussed in November, this recovery was supported by strength in the housewares category and mattress retailers. Housewares retail has generally outperformed home furnishings over the past few years – a trend partly attributed to increased out-of-home entertaining. While purchasing gifts for hosts likely drive visits for some home furnishing retailers, we may now be entering a replacement cycle for many home furnishing products purchased during the pandemic, which could further support the category’s recovery. In other words, many consumers may be looking to reinvent their personal spaces starting with their homes.
The strength in beauty and apparel may reflect a broader trend of personal reinvention. What fueled this movement? It could be as simple as buying a new outfit for a holiday party or experimenting with seasonal beauty products. However, several apparel retailers we spoke to over the past few months pointed to additional factors, including health and wellness trends. 2024 saw a rise in in-person workouts (one of the strongest retail categories in year-over-year visitation), greater adoption of technology-driven fitness and wellness routines, and increased use of wellness supplements and GLP-1 drugs like Ozempic and Mounjaro. Retailers noted that healthier lifestyles during 2024 drove increased demand for apparel this holiday season—a trend that could have substantial implications for the year ahead.
Overall food-away-from-home spending grew in 2024, driven by decelerating inflation and a robust economy that eased budgetary concerns. How did coffee chains, one of the largest discretionary food categories, perform?
We took a closer look at foot traffic to Starbucks and Dunkin’ to find out.
Despite the ongoing consumer uncertainty, 2024 visits to Starbucks and Dunkin’ remained close to 2023 levels. The traffic trends range from 2.9% down year-over-year (YoY) to 1.9% up YoY for Starbucks, and from 1.3% down to 1.9% up YoY for Dunkin’ – a testament to coffee’s enduring draw.
While the YoY visit patterns to Starbucks and Dunkin’ were relatively similar in 2024, the two chains experienced distinct visitation patterns throughout the day. During the early morning daypart (6:00 - 9:59 AM), Dunkin’ attracted 39.9% of its visitors, while Starbucks received only 29.9% of its customers before 10 AM. However, as the day transitioned into evening, Starbucks took the lead, capturing 23.7% of visitors during the 3:00 - 6:59 PM daypart, significantly higher than Dunkin’s 16.4%.
These visitation patterns highlight distinct opportunities for both chains to expand their appeal across different dayparts. Dunkin’ could offer afternoon specials to attract more visitors in the afternoon and evening daypart, and Starbucks could broaden its breakfast offerings to capture a larger share of the early morning crowd.
A closer look at Starbucks’ daily visitation patterns highlights the chain’s mastery in leveraging calendar events and special promotions to boost foot traffic. Events like Red Cup Day and buy-one-get-one-free (BOGO) deals, including on Mother’s Day, drove impressive visits bumps ranging from 28.1% to 40.4% higher than the 2024 daily visit average.
These promotions appear to have been so successful that Starbucks, under the leadership of new C.E.O. Brian Niccol, announced it would scale them back – in part to restore the chain’s “coffeehouse roots” and avoid over-crowded stores on promotion days. But even without special discounts in the last five weeks of the year, Starbucks still received major traffic spikes on key shopping days like Super Saturday and Black Friday, with visits surging 27.5% and 26.6% above the YTD daily average, respectively. This highlights the brand’s ability to drive strong performance even with fewer promotions during peak seasons.
As part of the effort to elevate the in-store experience, Starbucks has also announced plans to implement a code of conduct, with the goal of facilitating the creation of an “inviting and welcoming community coffeehouse.” One significant shift, coming into effect on January 27th, bars people from lingering in its facilities without making a purchase.
A closer look at dwell time for the chain reveals that the vast majority of visits to the chain are currently less than 10 minutes long, with mobile orders making up almost a third of total Starbucks orders. The predominance of short visits and the popularity of mobile orders indicates that many Starbucks customers likely prioritize convenience, and prefer to grab a drink to go without taking advantage of the coffeehouse amenities. But with new incentives – including a free refill policy for all customers, not just loyalty club members – dwell times may well go up over the coming months.
Starbucks and Dunkin’ continued serving coffee drinkers in 2024, despite the ongoing constraints on many consumers' discretionary spending budgets.
Will Starbucks and Dunkin’ continue to drive visits into 2025? Visit Placer.ai for the latest data-driven dining insights.
Placer.ai observes a panel of mobile devices in order to extrapolate and generate visitation insights for a variety of locations across the U.S. This panel covers only visitors from within the United States and does not represent or take into account international visitors.
The end of the year is a time of bustling activity as many Americans travel to visit family and friends, go on vacation, and enjoy recreational attractions. Using the latest location analytics for transportation hubs, hotels, museums, and aquariums, we uncover key trends in consumer behavior during the holiday season.
The end of the year was a busy travel period as consumers visited family and friends or headed out on vacation. Between December 18th and December 23rd, visits to major airports and ground transportation hubs (train and bus stations) were higher than the 2024 same-day average, with visits to both ground and air travel hubs peaking on Super Saturday (December 21st).
Visits to transportation hubs then fell on December 24th and 25th 2024 – although the drop was much more dramatic for airports than for train and bus stations – as many people stayed in place for the duration of the holiday.
Visits to transportation hubs remained slightly below the same-day yearly average on Boxing Day, December 26th, 2024 – although traffic to both airports and ground transportation hubs increased compared to the Christmas lull, as some travelers began to make their return trips. But starting on December 27th, traffic trends for the two types of transportation hubs began to diverge: visits to ground transportation hubs were above average same-day levels, whereas airport visit levels remained below average until the following day, December 28th, 2024. This could indicate that air travelers, who may spend more on transportation or travel greater distances, stay longer at their destination to make the journey worthwhile.
Although ground transportation hubs and airports experienced elevated traffic over the majority of the holiday period, the same did not appear to be the case in the hospitality space.
Between December 18th and December 29th, 2024, daily visits to almost all hotel categories – from economy to upper upscale – remained below the same-day average for 2024. The decrease in business travel during this time, coupled with the tendency for those visiting family and friends to stay with their hosts, likely accounted for this trend. Only the luxury hotel category – which doesn’t typically receive business guests – saw elevated daily visits beginning on December 22nd, 2024, likely driven by affluent holiday vacationers.
During the final days of 2024 – December 30th and 31st – all six hotel categories experienced their most robust foot traffic of the period, and most saw their visits surge above the yearly same-day average. This suggests that many consumers, traveling at various hospitality tiers, took hotel-based vacations after spending Christmas at home or at the home of a loved one.
As consumers leveraged time off in the second half of December, museums and aquariums appeared to be popular attractions.
December 23rd, 2024 saw the first visit surge of the period for museums (31.7% above the yearly same-day average) and aquariums (12.6% above the yearly same-day average), perhaps as consumers sought out activities to do with visiting guests.
Following a brief visitation lull on Christmas Eve and Christmas Day, foot traffic to museums and aquariums increased again and remained elevated between December 26th through the end of the year. And both museums and aquariums saw their largest visit peaks of the period on December 30th, 2024 (106.3% and 75.2% above average, respectively), suggesting that these attractions were popular with holiday visitors and end-of-year vacationers alike.
Analysis of transportation hubs, hotels, and leisure venues reveals shifting travel patterns and consumer behaviors during the final weeks of the year. The data suggests that while ground transportation users and air travelers alike typically travel before Christmas Eve, air travelers likely prefer to spend a little extra time at their holiday destination. And although travel is an integral part of the holiday season, most hotel categories don’t see elevated visits until the last few days of the year when family affairs have concluded and vacations are in full swing. Similarly, museums and aquariums sustain elevated traffic for several days after the holiday, as consumers leverage their time off for unique experiences.
For more data-driven insights, visit Placer.ai.
About the Convention Center Index: The Placer.ai Convention Center Index analyzes foot traffic to nearly 150 major convention and conference centers across the country. It excludes resorts and stadiums.
Convention centers serve as hubs for networking, trade shows, and corporate events. But the pandemic brought in-person gatherings to a halt, with businesses pivoting to online conferences – or eschewing them altogether.
And though social-distancing and other pandemic-era restrictions have lifted, the changes in the office and business world continue to linger. With that in mind, we took a closer look at the visitation data to these centers to see how convention center traffic trends and visitor demographics have shifted since pre-pandemic.
COVID-19 profoundly disrupted in-person networking. Now, nearly five years later, its impact on business travel and corporate events still lingers as virtual and hybrid events remain popular. However, similar to the return-to-office trends Placer.ai has tracked over the past few years, convention centers are also showing signs of slow but steady recovery.
While 2024 visits to convention centers nationwide were still 11.2% lower, on average, than in pre-pandemic 2019, traffic was also 3.3% higher than in 2023 and a significant 21.3% higher than in 2022. So – while the frequency and magnitude of in-person business events are not quite back to pre-pandemic levels yet, the visit trends indicate that the convention center recovery story is still being written.
The pandemic’s impact extends beyond overall attendance numbers – diving deeper into the data also reveals shifts in when people visit convention centers. The share of weekend visits jumped from 44.5% in 2019 to 46.9% in 2022 and has remained relatively steady ever since. This suggests that convention centers may have pivoted to hosting concerts, sporting matches, and other leisure events to make up for the dip in business conferences and conventions.
Analyzing the trade areas from where convention centers draw their visits also reveals that the demographics of convention center visitors has shifted since the pandemic. The median household income (HHI) of visitors to convention centers has steadily increased each year analyzed, rising from $86.6K in 2019 to $88.4K in 2024. Similarly, visitors in 2024 were more likely to come from captured market trade areas with higher shares of the “Power Elite” segment than in 2019.
These two metrics indicate a shift in the profile of convention visitors. As virtual attendance becomes more normalized, many companies may be becoming more intentional about subsidising business travel and trade show attendance, reserving in-person events for higher-level executives, decision-makers, or industry leaders. This shift has significant implications for the industry, as convention centers may need to adapt their offerings and facilities to cater to the needs and preferences of this more specialized demographic.
The convention center space appears to be on a slow and steady recovery – and while visits may not return to their pre-pandemic highs, the share of weekend visit growth and increasing attendance of higher-profile professionals indicate that the segment is pivoting.
Will convention centers and office spaces continue to recover? Visit Placer.ai for the latest office and business foot traffic trends.
As we discussed before the 2024 holiday season began, timing was expected to play a crucial role in its success for retailers. With one less week between Thanksgiving and Christmas, retailers faced the challenge of consolidating promotions and focusing on attracting repeat visits and increasing conversion rates to match last year’s performance. But another factor influencing holiday timing is the elongation of seasonal offerings and promotions, which now extend well into October. While there’s no industry-wide standard for when the holiday season officially begins, it’s clear that many retailers recognize the value of starting their campaigns in October and early November to maximize engagement and sales.
When analyzing visitation trends throughout the holiday season, the narrative shifts depending on the time frame considered. From Black Friday through Christmas Eve, most categories experienced double-digit traffic declines compared to last year, partly due to the shorter holiday season. But focusing on the period between October and the Wednesday before Thanksgiving reveals that visitation to many categories increased by double digits compared to last year. While this time frame includes an additional week this year, it’s evident that some demand shifted into the earlier part of the holiday season.
And when looking at performance for the extended holiday season as a whole – from October 1 through Christmas Eve – year-over-year traffic performance improved across the board, with many categories actually showing growth compared to 2023.
There was particularly strong performance in discretionary categories during October and early November, including luxury department stores, beauty chains, and home furnishing retailers. These early gains provided the momentum many chains needed to help offset the impact of the shorter traditional holiday season.
The extended shopping season successfully contributed to overall traffic growth for many retail sectors and may signal that consumers are willing – and able – to start their holiday shopping earlier if the right products and promotions are available.
The beverage and alcohol (BevAlc) segment has enjoyed a strong showing over the past few years. Bar and other nightlife destinations were closed throughout the pandemic, driving foot traffic to the BevAlc retailers – a trend that has sustained itself since.
We take a closer look at the category to see how special calendar milestones drive visits to BevAlc retailers.
Visits to BevAlc retailers were up YoY during most months of 2024, showcasing the continued popularity of the category. And while December 2024 visits were slightly lower YoY – like due to the month having one fewer Saturday compared to December 2023 – diving deeper into the data reveals that the holidays remain the segment’s busiest time of the year.
Celebrations and holiday gatherings often call for a festive drink – and the data confirms that the holiday season drives massive visit spikes.
Of the eleven busiest days for BevAlc retailers in 2024, six fell in December, with New Year’s Eve leading the pack with a staggering 164.8% visit increase compared to the 2024 daily average. Other major drivers included Christmas Eve, Turkey Wednesday, and Christmas Eve-Eve (December 23rd, the day before Christmas), with visits growing between 131.9% and 145.2% relative to the 2024 daily visit average.
And given that some states restrict liquor sales on Sundays, the Fridays and Saturdays ahead of retail milestones were also significant drivers of liquor store visits. Six of the top eleven days for BevAlc retailers in 2024 fell on a Friday or Saturday, including the Saturday before Memorial Day and the Saturday before Father’s Day.
These patterns emphasize that while December remains the highlight of the year for BevAlc retailers, other celebratory periods throughout the year can also drive substantial visitation spikes.
A closer look at the data over the years highlights several important holiday season trends. New Year’s Eve consistently receives the largest daily spike in BevAlc retailers visits, with one notable exception. In 2023, Super Saturday – the last Saturday before Christmas – coincided with Christmas Eve Eve, driving a major retail and grocery boost across the board. Additionally, Christmas Eve, typically the second-largest day for BevAlc retailers visits in the year, fell on a Sunday in 2023, when liquor sales are restricted in some states and territories.
This combination of factors led to an unusually large spike in visits to liquor stores on December 23, 2023, or Super Saturday/Christmas Eve Eve – 198.5% higher than the 2023 daily visit average between January and October 2023. It was also the only year in our analysis where BevAlc retailers received more visits before Christmas than in the lead-up to New Year’s.
Another trend highlighted by the longer-term visit analysis is the consistent downward trajectory of visits. In 2019, visits to BevAlc retailers in the lead-up to New Year’s were 193.4% higher than the 2019 daily visit average – a figure that had declined to 164.8% by 2024. This decrease may reflect various factors, including the rising popularity of alcohol delivery services and growing interest in the sober-curious lifestyle.
Still, the holiday season remains the most critical period for the BevAlc segment – though BevAlc retailers may want to consider stocking up on low- or alcohol-free beverages to keep up with changing consumer trends.
Raising a glass to a special occasion is a time-honored tradition, whether it’s with a festive spiked eggnog, whiskey, or alcohol-free wine. With plenty of opportunities to gather throughout the holiday season, BevAlc retailers can raise a toast to their own foot traffic gains as well.
For more data-driven retail insights, visit Placer.ai.
Malls have long acted as a gleaming symbol of American retail. Following the opening of the first indoor mall in 1956, and as the American middle class increasingly moved from the city to the suburbs, malls continued to open at a rapid rate. By 1960, some 4,500 shopping centers had opened nationwide, filling the growing demand for “third places” – spaces that allowed the newly suburban populations to gather, socialize, and create community. And while that role evolved over the years, it’s safe to say that malls have played a major part in shaping the American shopping culture.
But malls’ rapid expansion led to an oversaturated market – some estimates suggest that there are approximately 24 square feet of retail space per U.S. citizen, as compared to 4.6 for the U.K. and 2.8 for China. Many began to predict the demise and downfall of malls, and that narrative intensified as online shopping grew in popularity. The rise of big-box stores, a focus on “services, not things,” and COVID-19 only accelerated these trends.
A lot of the doom and gloom predictions tend to de-emphasize the mall's role as a modern incarnation of a bustling downtown shopping area.
But a lot of these doom and gloom predictions focus on malls only as a place to shop, and tend to de-emphasize their other role as the third place – a modern incarnation of a bustling downtown shopping area, replete with shops, services, and places to meet. And after two years of isolation and a new, pandemic-induced wave of suburban relocation, malls’ potential to bring people together is more prized than ever.
So although malls were hit hard during COVID-19, many of them are finding ways to reinvent themselves and stay relevant. Today, more than halfway through 2022, the challenges that malls face continue to evolve and change – but malls are evolving too. This white paper covers a few specific ways that some malls have found to thrive in the new normal. Some shopping centers are turning to entertainment to draw crowds into their doors. Others are focusing on offering a full visitor experience that extends beyond simply grabbing a new shirt or a burger at the food court. Still, more are embracing omnichannel options, offering an integrated on and offline experience to their shoppers. In the face of significant retail challenges, top-tier malls are turning to innovative solutions to stay ahead of the game.
The pandemic posed significant challenges to malls. Although foot traffic to the category rose back up in the summer of 2021, the Delta and subsequent Omicron waves brought visits down once more. And as visit gaps post-Omicron began to narrow, inflation and gas prices put the brakes on any return to normalcy. April and May 2022 saw visits beginning to trend up, though the unrelenting rise of inflation, the highest it’s been in the past 40 years, has slowed that recovery slightly.
Foot traffic data shows that malls are continuing to attract visitors, despite the challenges that seem to crop up weekly.
Still, foot traffic data shows that malls are continuing to attract visitors, despite the challenges that seem to crop up weekly. And while they may no longer play the central role they once did in Americans’ shopping routines, malls still serve as indoor community hubs where friends and family can come together for diverse food, shops, and entertainment options. This could explain why top-tier malls keep on coming back despite the seemingly constant obstacles.
Comparing monthly visits from January 2022 through July 2022 to the same period in 2019 highlights the significant difficulties facing the sector. Indoor malls, open-air lifestyle centers, and outlet malls alike saw marked lags in foot traffic as compared to three years ago.
Monthly year-over-three-year (Yo3Y) foot traffic comparisons also highlight mall resilience.
The monthly year-over-three-year (Yo3Y) foot traffic comparisons also highlight mall resilience. Following an Omicron-plagued January, the visit gaps narrowed in February 2022 to less than 5% for all the segments. And although the increase in gas prices and inflation brought visits down in March, malls quickly bounced back in April 2022, with indoor malls seeing only 1.8% fewer visits than in 2019 and open-air shopping centers down only 4.8% Yo3Y. Foot traffic fell again in May and June as consumers tightened their budgets in the face of rising prices, but consumers appear to have quickly made peace with the new economic reality. By July 2022, visits to indoor malls and open-air lifestyle centers were only 3.5% and 2.7% lower than they had been in July 2019.
COVID didn’t just impact visit numbers – since 2020, mall visits have also gotten shorter, likely a result of pandemic restrictions and a general desire not to congregate any longer than necessary. And although 2021 and 2022 saw a slight uptick in time spent at malls and shopping centers – from 60 minutes in 2020 to 62 minutes in 2021 and 2022 – the median dwell time is still significantly lower than the 70 minutes median dwell time of pre-COVID 2018 and 2019.
Shorter visits are not necessarily a bad thing – intent-driven shoppers may simply be doing more research ahead of time and less in-mall browsing.
Shorter visits are not necessarily a bad thing in and of themselves – consumers today are highly informed, so many intent-driven shoppers may simply be doing more research ahead of time and less in-mall browsing. But shorter (and fewer) visits do mean that malls must focus on giving shoppers a reason to visit. We explore some successful strategies below.
Malls have long integrated entertainment into their overall experience in the form of arcades, movie theaters, and even coin-operated animal rides. Some malls, however, are taking their entertainment offerings to the next level.
In August 2021, CBL Properties, a Tennessee-based property developer, announced the opening of the Hollywood Casino by Penn National Gaming in the York Galleria Mall in York, Pennsylvania. The 80,000 square foot casino, which boasts 500 slots and 24 live-action table games, opened in the mall’s lower level. The space was occupied by a now-closed Sears department store, and the entertainment venue now functions as a new anchor to draw customers in.
The casino’s opening has had a dramatic impact on the mall’s foot traffic. In a year-over-three-year (Yo3Y) comparison, July 2021 saw 2.4% fewer visitors than July 2018. But when the casino opened in August 2021, visits to the location jumped to 31.4% Yo3Y. This increase is all the more impressive considering that the casino opened on August 19th, with only 12 days left in the month.
The mall, which had seen negative Yo3Y visit numbers until the casino’s opening, has sustained the positive visit trend through July 2022 – a testament to the appeal of in-mall entertainment.
Another mall betting on indoor entertainment is the Pierre Bossier Mall in Bossier City, Louisiana. In April 2022, Surge Entertainment opened a child-friendly space, which includes zip-lining, bowling, laser tag and arcade games. The Surge Entertainment chain is co-owned by Drew Brees, the former New Orleans Saints quarterback, and has 15 locations around the country. The Pierre Bossier Mall branch is filling the space vacated by Virginia College, which closed its doors in 2018.
Since Surge Entertainment opened its Bossier City location, the mall has seen a dramatic increase in average dwell time.
Since Surge Entertainment opened its Bossier City location, the mall has seen a dramatic increase in average dwell time. Between July 2021 and March 2022, median dwell time hovered between 51 and 58 minutes. But following the center’s opening, median dwell time jumped to 78 minutes. Since then, the median dwell time has remained consistently elevated: In the four months since the Surge Entertainment opening, median dwell times did not drop below 75 minutes.
Brick-and-mortar retailers once viewed online shopping as a threat – but now, mall owners and operators are increasingly turning to digital channels to complement existing approaches. COVID-19 and the surge of online shopping further fueled malls’ digital progress. Over the past two years, large malls and suburban shopping centers across the country have been rolling out various online and social shopping options and adopting omnichannel strategies.
In September 2020, Centennial, a real estate investment firm with many malls and mixed-use entertainment centers in its portfolio, launched a chain-wide omnichannel platform called Shop Now!. The app allows consumers to shop across all Centennial malls the way someone would shop on Amazon.
The first phase of the program, which launched in October 2020, allowed users to browse an AI-powered search engine connected to the inventory of all of the stores operating in their mall of interest. In February 2022, Centennial debuted phase two of the program at its Santa Ana, CA based MainPlace Mall. It allows customers to consolidate orders from several stores into a single cart, get the order fulfilled by personal shoppers, and have the orders ready for same-day delivery or on-site pickup.
The e-commerce app could have detracted shoppers from physically going to the mall – but instead, the program increased both monthly and loyal visitors.
The app allows consumers to browse and shop from the comfort of their phones. It could have detracted shoppers from physically going to the mall – but instead, the program has increased both monthly and loyal visitors. In the months following the launch of the second phase, MainPlace Mall saw its loyal visits increase by 5% (from 46.2% in February ‘22 to 51.3% in June ‘22), while overall monthly visits in April ‘22 increased by 5.5% when compared to 2019. The digital investment also helped the mall make sales that could have been lost to other e-commerce platforms. The mall’s brick-and-mortar success following the addition of a digital channel highlights how malls can rise to the top by embracing an omnichannel strategy.
Continuing its innovative streak, the MainPlace Mall recently added an experiential component with the opening the American Ninja Warrior Adventure Park in July 2022 in the place of four former retail stores. During its first month of operation, the park drove the mall’s share of loyal visits up by 13.4% compared to the previous month while boosting Yo3Y monthly visits by 18.0%.
The difference in impact between the online platform launch and the opening of the American Ninja Warrior Adventure Park indicates that malls can enjoy both gradual gains over time as well as jumps in foot traffic and loyalty, depending on the strategy they adopt.
Omnichannel strategies can also revitalize food courts hit hard by the pandemic. Arundel Mills Mall, part of the Simon Property Group, began offering online orders in February 2022 via a platform called Snackpass, allowing users to use the app at various eateries around the mall. Snackpass, launched in 2017 as a food ordering app on the Yale campus, facilitates group ordering and includes various social features. Its current iteration allows customers to pre-order food, skip lines, collect rewards, and engage with friends. It also offers discounts on group orders, in an effort to promote social dining.
Since the beginning of the Snackpass partnership, the shopping center itself is seeing more visitors – many of whom are coming from farther away.
Since the beginning of the Snackpass partnership, the shopping center itself is seeing more visitors – many of whom are coming from farther away. In the five months following the app’s launch, Arundel Mills saw an overall increase of 15 square miles to its True Trade Area (TTA), and an increase of 29.5% in visits per sq. ft. – The consistent increase in TTA and visits per sq. ft. are a testament to the power of innovative dining partnerships to draw traffic to top-tier malls.
With many retailers reducing their on-mall presence, empty brick-and-mortar stores have attracted plenty of negative attention. But now, malls are increasingly repurposing vacated spaces in new, innovative ways that resonate with local communities and can fill their evolving needs.
At the Ocean County Mall in Toms River, NJ, Simon Property Group repurposed the huge space left by a former Sears store and turned it into a lifestyle center, with stores opening throughout 2020. The space is now being used by a number of highly popular chains such as LA Fitness, Ulta Beauty, HomeSense, and P.F. Chang’s and also includes a children's play area.
This pivot seems to be working. Median dwell time to the mall has increased from 53 minutes to 56 minutes, a significant change when considering that a majority of malls have recently seen their dwell times drop.
The center has also seen the median age for its trade area decrease from 40.5 years old in the first half of 2021 to 37.2 in the first half of 2022, a dramatic shift in visitor demographics. Yo3Y visits are strong as well – July 2022 were up by 17.1%.
In a similar tale of a closed Sears turning into a lifestyle center, the Northshore Mall in Peabody, MA turned the space vacated by the department store into a mixed-use center. The most significant anchor is now the high-end Life Time Fitness Center that offers cardio, weights, and functional training rooms, and includes yoga, pilates, and cycling studios, indoor and outdoor pools, basketball and pickleball courts, saunas, and a bistro.
As soon as the health club opened its doors in July 2021, visits to the mall increased – significantly outpacing the levels seen when Sears was still open.
As soon as the health club opened its doors in July 2021, visits to the mall increased – significantly outpacing the levels seen when Sears was still open. Both Yo3Y and year-over-four-year (Yo4Y) foot traffic numbers were impressive, with July 2022 seeing 17.2% more visitors than three years prior.
As visits to malls become more focussed, selecting the right tenant has never been more important – and that may mean looking at unconventional occupants to draw in customers.
In one example of tapping into local needs, the Westfield Oakridge shopping center in San Jose, CA, opened a specialty grocery store on its premises. 99 Ranch Market, one of the largest Asian supermarket chains in the U.S., began operating its first mall location in March 2022. The location includes classic grocery store items such as produce, meat, and seafood sections, and also boasts a dining hall, tea bar, and bakery.
Its opening day saw lines snaking out the door, as excited locals queued to sample the store’s delicacies. And the crowd-drawing hype seems to be more than a flash in the pan – the months following the opening were the mall’s strongest in the past year and a half. Yo3Y visits were up by 10.1% in July 2022 , with some shoppers reporting that the addition of the grocery store had turned Westfield Oakridge into their all-in-one stop shop.
Although the area was not lacking in grocery options, retail foot traffic data indicates that the new 99 Ranch Market at Westfield Oakridge Mall still filled a void.
Although the area was not lacking in grocery options, retail foot traffic data indicates that the new 99 Ranch Market at Westfield Oakridge Mall still filled a void – the new grocery store’s trade area has only minimal overlaps with the other trade areas of the nearby 99 Ranch Markets locations. This means that most of the new 99 Ranch Market’s customers were not being well-served by the existing locations of the chain.
Westfield Oakridge is not the only San Jose mall turning to food to attract the crowds. On June 16th 2022, following much hype and a pandemic-related delay, Eataly, the all-in-one Italian market, restaurant, and cooking school opened its first Northern California location at the Westfield Valley Fair in Santa Clara, CA.
Prior to the launch, the Westfield Valley Fair mall was already one of the more successful malls in the country – but the opening of Eataly seems to be driving even more foot traffic. Yo3Y visits to malls during Eataly’s opening week exceeded 20% for the first time in months and have since remained consistently elevated, with visits for the week of July 25th up 27.7% relative to the equivalent week in 2019.
In March 2022, regional department store Von Maur opened its doors at The Village of Rochester Hills, an open-air lifestyle center in Michigan. The retailer, which has 36 locations throughout the Midwest, took over the space left vacant by Carson’s, another Midwest-based department store.
What may be the first new department store in the Detroit metropolitan area in over a decade is driving visits to the shopping center.
What may be the first new department store in the Detroit metropolitan area in over a decade is driving visits to the shopping center. Von Maur’s March 2022 opening pushed Yo3Y visits up by 16.9% compared to the mere 4.3% Yo3Y increase the month before.
Part of the secret to Von Maur’s success lies in the psychographic characteristics of residents within the mall’s trade area. Using Spatial.ai’s GeoWeb data, a tool which tracks online engagement with various trends and topics by neighborhood, we found that the TTA surrounding The Village had an index of 131 for department store shoppers. In other words, people in the mall’s trade area exhibited heightened interest in department stores – they engaged with department-store-related content at a rate that was 1.3 times higher than the national average – which helps explain why Von Maur is thriving in this specific location. And in another testament to the strength of immersive retail experiences, Von Maur, which focuses on curating a unique shopper journey and features a pianist at all of its locations, has been ranked the top department store in America.
The addition of Von Maur is not the only change that The Village is implementing – the mall has continued adding new stores and will be opening more throughout the year. These, too, will likely boost foot traffic to the lifestyle center.
The mall’s ability to select tenants that cater to, and reflect the needs and behaviors of its consumers is likely to continue driving success. By drilling down into the nitty-gritty details of who comes to shop, where they come from, and what shops they enjoy frequenting, mall management can tailor the shopping center to meet the needs of its base.
The “death of the American mall” has been predicted for years. The reality, however, is much more nuanced than that – like many other sectors, malls are undergoing a shift to help them better serve evolving customer needs and survive and thrive in an ever-shifting retail landscape.
The malls featured in this white paper have found ways to consistently attract visitors despite the various obstacles faced by the category over the past two years. By understanding that the American mall must evolve along with the consumers, mall owners can successfully revitalize their retail spaces.
This report leverages location intelligence data to analyze the auto dealership market in the United States. By looking at visit trends to branded showrooms, used car lots, and mixed inventory dealerships – and analyzing the types of visitors that visit each category – this white paper sheds light on the state of car dealership space in 2023.
Prior to the pandemic and throughout most of 2020, visits to both car brand and used-only dealerships followed relatively similar trends. But the two categories began to diverge in early 2021.
Visits to car brand dealerships briefly returned to pre-pandemic levels in mid-2021, but traffic fell consistently in the second half of the year as supply-chain issues drove consistent price increases. So despite the brief mid-year bump, 2021 ended with overall new car sales – as well as overall foot traffic to car brand dealerships – below 2019 levels. Visits continued falling in 2022 as low inventory and high prices hampered growth.
Meanwhile, although the price for used cars rose even more (the average price for a new and used car was up 12.1% and 27.1% YoY, respectively, in September 2021), used cars still remained, on average, more affordable than new ones. So with rising demand for alternatives to public transportation – and with new cars now beyond the reach of many consumers – the used car market took off and visits to used car dealerships skyrocketed for much of 2021 and into 2022. But in the second half of last year, as gas prices remained elevated – tacking an additional cost onto operating a vehicle – visits to used car dealerships began falling dramatically.
Now, the price of both used and new cars has finally begun falling slightly. Foot traffic data indicates that the price drops appear to be impacting the two markets differently. So far this year, sales and visits to dealerships of pre-owned vehicles have slowed, while new car sales grew – perhaps due to the more significant pent-up demand in the new car market. The ongoing inflation, which has had a stronger impact on lower-income households, may also be somewhat inhibiting used-car dealership visit growth. At the same time, foot traffic to used car dealerships did remain close to or slightly above 2019 levels for most of 2023, while visits to branded dealerships were significantly lower year-over-four-years.
The situation remains dynamic – with some reports of prices creeping back up – so the auto dealership landscape may well continue to shift going into 2024.
With car prices soaring, the demand for pre-owned vehicles has grown substantially. Analyzing the trade area composition of leading dealerships that sell used cars reveals the wide spectrum of consumers in this market.
Dealerships carrying a mixed inventory of both new and used vehicles seem to attract relatively high-income consumers. Using the STI: Popstats 2022 data set to analyze the trade areas of Penske Automotive, AutoNation, and Lithia Auto Stores – which all sell used and new cars – reveals that the HHI in the three dealerships’ trade areas is higher than the nationwide median. Differences did emerge within the trade areas of the mixed inventory car dealerships, but the range was relatively narrow – between $77.5K to $84.5K trade area median HHI.
Meanwhile, the dealerships selling exclusively used cars – DriveTime, Carvana, and CarMax – exhibited a much wider range of trade area median HHIs. CarMax, the largest used-only car dealership in the United States, had a yearly median HHI of $75.9K in its trade area – just slightly below the median HHI for mixed inventory dealerships Lithia Auto Stores and AutoNation and above the nationwide median of $69.5K. Carvana, a used car dealership that operates according to a Buy Online, Pick Up in Store (BOPIS) model, served an audience with a median HHI of $69.1K – more or less in-line with the nationwide median. And DriveTime’s trade areas have a median HHI of $57.6K – significantly below the nationwide median.
The variance in HHI among the audiences of the different used-only car dealerships may reflect the wide variety of offerings within the used-car market – from virtually new luxury vehicles to basic sedans with 150k+ miles on the odometer.
Visits to car brands nationwide between January and September 2023 dipped 0.9% YoY, although several outliers reveal the potential for success in the space even during times of economic headwinds.
Visits to Tesla’s dealerships have skyrocketed recently, perhaps thanks to the company’s frequent price cuts over the past year – between September 2022 and 2023, the average price for a new Tesla fell by 24.7%. And with the company’s network of Superchargers gearing up to serve non-Tesla Electric Vehicles (EVs), Tesla is finding room for growth beyond its already successful core EV manufacturing business and positioning itself for a strong 2024.
Japan-based Mazda used the pandemic as an opportunity to strengthen its standing among U.S. consumers, and the company is now reaping the fruits of its labor as visits rise YoY. Porsche, the winner of U.S New & World Report Best Luxury Car Brand for 2023, also outperformed the wider car dealership sector. Kia – owned in part by Hyundai – and Hyundai both saw their foot traffic increase YoY as well, thanks in part to the popularity of their SUV models.
Analyzing dealerships on a national level can help car manufacturers make macro-level decisions on marketing, product design, and brick-and-mortar fleet configurations. But diving deeper into the unique characteristics of each dealership’s trade area on a state level reveals differences that can serve brands looking to optimize their offerings for their local audience.
For example, analyzing the share of households with children in the trade areas of four car brand dealership chains in four different states reveals significant variation across the regional markets.
Nationwide, Tesla served a larger share of households with children than Kia, Ford, or Land Rover. But focusing on California shows that in the Golden State, Kia’s trade area population included the largest share of this segment than the other three brands, while Land Rover led this segment in Illinois. Meanwhile, Ford served the smallest share of households with children on a nationwide basis – but although the trend held in Illinois and Pennsylvania, California Ford dealerships served more households with children than either Tesla or Land Rover.
Leveraging location intelligence to analyze car dealerships adds a layer of consumer insights to industry provided sales numbers. Visit patterns and audience demographics reveal how foot traffic to used-car lots, mixed inventory dealerships, and manufacturers’ showrooms change over time and who visits these businesses on a national or regional level. These insights allow auto industry stakeholders to assess current demand, predict future trends, and keep a finger on the pulse of car-purchasing habits in the United States.
