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In recent years, Americans have gotten serious about fitness. Even as consumers tightened their purse strings, they found room in their budgets for the ultimate affordable indulgence: A (relatively) low-cost gym membership that, once paid, offers customers unlimited access to club facilities.
How did Planet Fitness, the nation’s largest value gym perform in Q3 2024? We dove into the data to find out.
Planet Fitness has been on a roll. In Q2 2024, the chain reported a 4.2% system-wide increase in same store sales and the addition of 18 new gyms to its fleet. (Though Planet Fitness operates clubs outside the U.S., the vast majority of its some 2600 locations are domestic).
Foot traffic data shows that the chain continued to thrive through Q3, with year-over-year (YoY) monthly visit upticks ranging from 4.1% to 11.6% – outperforming the wider industry. And while the value gym giant finally raised the price of its basic membership this summer for the first time in more than thirty years, the move does not seem to have dented Planet Fitness’ growth trajectory – though it’s still early days.
Planet Fitness takes pains to emphasize its commitment to being a “Judgement Free Zone” – and casual gym-goers make up a significant portion of its visitor base. In Q3 2024, 44.3% of visitors hit the club, on average, less than twice a month.
But Planet Fitness also has a significant – and growing – share of die-hard gym buffs who visit the club at least eight or ten times a month - i.e. at least twice a week. In Q3 2024, a full 16.8% of visitors to Planet Fitness came to the gym at least eight times a month on average – up from just 12.9% in 2019 and 15.3% in 2022. And 11.9% visited the chain ten or more times a month – up from 8.6% in 2019 and 10.6% in 2022.
Though casual visitors are also important for any fitness club’s bottom line, a strong and thriving community of highly committed members is an important foundation for future growth.
Gym visit frequency, however, varies throughout the United States. Analyzing the share of highly committed visitors to Planet Fitness reveals significant differences between states.
New Mexico led the pack in Q3 with 13.9% of visitors frequenting the gym, on average, at least ten times a month – followed by Rhode Island (13.1%) and California (12.7%). On the other end of the spectrum lay Montana, where just 6.0% of club goers were highly committed visitors in Q3, followed by Iowa (7.7%) and Vermont (8.0%).
This data highlights how gym engagement can be influenced by regional factors such as lifestyle, climate, and access to alternative fitness options – suggesting that Planet Fitness and similar chains may benefit from tailoring their marketing and membership strategies to local trends and preferences.
The holiday season isn’t a particularly busy one for gyms – which usually see traffic begin to slow down in September before picking up again in the new year. But if Planet Fitness’ solid September 2024 performance is any indication, the chain may be in for a busier fourth quarter this year than last. Will Planet Fitness continue to deliver as the year draws to a close?
Follow Placer.ai’s data-driven analyses to find out.
This blog includes data from Placer.ai Data Version 2.1, which introduces a new dynamic model that stabilizes daily fluctuations in the panel, improving accuracy and alignment with external ground truth sources.
In a market ruled by value and convenience, traditional full-service restaurants (FSRs) have faced an uphill slog. But even in 2024, some FSRs are flourishing. We dove into the data to explore factors driving success at three very different full-service chains: First Watch, Chili’s Grill & Bar, and Outback Steakhouse.
First Watch first burst onto the scene in 1983 with a single restaurant in California – and now boasts some 544 locations across 29 states. With offerings ranging from Superfood Kale Salads to more traditional pancakes and bacon and eggs, First Watch has emerged as a prime destination for diners seeking to enjoy a leisurely breakfast with family and friends.
And foot traffic data shows that First Watch, still firmly in expansion mode, is continuing to grow its audience. Between June and September 2024, First Watch saw consistent year-over-year (YoY) visit growth, outperforming both the full-service restaurant category and other diners & breakfast spots.
One factor that may be helping to propel First Watch’s success is the relative affluence of its customer base. Analyzing the income breakdown of First Watch’s trade area shows that in Q3 2024, nearly ten percent (9.7%) of households in the chain’s captured market earned $200K+ per year, compared with 6.5% for diners & breakfast chains and 6.9% for the wider FSR space. On the flip side, only 43.9% of households in First Watch’s captured market had annual incomes below $75K, compared to just over 50.0% for both analyzed segments.
Amidst concerns surrounding food inflation, rising labor costs, and discretionary spending cutbacks, First Watch’s wealthier customer base may be helping to shield it from some of the value pressures that have weighed on other restaurants – contributing to its resilience.
Another FSR that has been experiencing outsized visit growth this year – at least since April – is Chili’s Grill & Bar. Following a tepid start to the year, Chili’s launched its much-vaunted Big Smasher Burger on April 29th, 2024, and hasn’t looked back since.
The new offering, added to Chili’s 3 For Me value menu, presented a full-service value challenge to QSR favorites like the Big Mac. And in Q2 2023, the item helped drive a 14.8% increase in same-store sales.
Since the big launch, weekly YoY visits to Chili’s have been consistently elevated – kept aloft with the help of viral hype around Chili’s long standing Triple Dipper offering, as well as the new secret Nashville Hot Mozz offering that became so popular it spawned a halloween costume.
Unlike First Watch, Chili’s has found success by embracing its role as a value chain. The median household income (HHI) of Chili’s captured market in Q3 2024 was $73.1K – below the nationwide median of $76.1K, and on par with that of the wider FSR space ($73.7K – By way of comparison, the median HHI of First Watch’s captured market was $85.6K in Q3).
And a closer look at the demographic make-up of Chili’s captured market shows just how broad the appeal of the chain is. In Q3 2024, Chili’s visitor base was over-represented for a wide range of segments across age and income groups – from “Wealthy Suburban Families” to “Young Urban Singles”, “Suburban Boomers’, and residents of “Blue Collar Suburbs”. By delivering high-quality meals at affordable prices, Chili’s has solidified its place as an everyman’s chain, offering value comparable to that of quick-service restaurants.
Aussie-themed Outback Steakhouse – Bloomin’ Brands’ biggest chain – is another full-service restaurant that is successfully weathering the storm. Like other FSRs, Outback has faced its fair share of challenges over the past few years, with rising costs and spending cutbacks taking a toll on the chain’s performance. But in Q3 2024, the average number of visits to each Outback Steakhouse location increased 0.5% YoY, even as overall traffic to the chain fell 1.7% in the wake of strategic rightsizing moves that included the shuttering of a number of underperforming locations. By contrast, the average number of visits per location in the wider FSR space dropped 1.2%, while overall foot traffic to the segment fell 2.1%. Outback Steakhouse’s ability to sustain a YoY visit-per-location uptick in Q3, even if a minor one, shows that its rightsizing efforts are paying off.
And drilling down deeper into regional data for the chain shows that in some areas of the country, Outback Steakhouse is positively thriving. In California, Outback’s third-largest market in terms of store count, the chain saw a YoY visit increase of 5.3% – significantly higher than the statewide FSR average of 1.1%. In Washington and Oregon, Outback Steakhouse experienced even more substantial visit increases – 9.0% and 9.6%, respectively – even as full-service restaurants generally languished. And in all three states, the number of Outback Steakhouse locations has remained basically unchanged over the past year, meaning that these increases reflect the growing draw of the chain’s existing venues.
First Watch, Chili’s Grill & Bar, and Outback Steakhouse are very different full-service chains – but each of them is thriving in its own way. How will the three brands fare as the holiday season picks up steam?
Follow Placer.ai’s data-driven dining analyses to find out.
This blog includes data from Placer.ai Data Version 2.1, which introduces a new dynamic model that stabilizes daily fluctuations in the panel, improving accuracy and alignment with external ground truth sources.
Quick-service restaurants (QSRs) have faced headwinds in 2024, from higher costs to increased competition. But some brands are weathering the storm particularly well. We dove into the data to check in with two of the nation’s most prominent restaurant companies – Restaurant Brands International (RBI) and Yum! Brands – to see how their biggest chains, Burger King (RBI) and Taco Bell (Yum!), performed in Q3 2024.
Burger King, RBI’s largest restaurant chain, has been the focus of a major modernization effort, dubbed the “Royal Reset”, that includes a series of restaurant remodels and equipment and technology upgrades. Burger King has also been rightsizing – closing underperforming restaurants to shore up the chain’s overall strategic positioning.
And foot traffic data shows that these initiatives are paying off. In Q3 2024, overall visits to Burger King dipped 1.7% YoY – but the average number of visits to each Burger King location increased slightly (0.4%). This per-location uptick may have been fueled, in part, by the chain’s summer “$5 Your Way” value meal special, which kept YoY visits elevated through July. And some major markets – including Texas, Illinois, Washington, and Connecticut – performed even better, with average visit-per-location growth ranging from 1.5% - 5.1% YoY.
Taco Bell is Yum! Brands’ largest chain – accounting for over 70.0% of visits to the company’s U.S. restaurants in Q3 2024. And the Tex-Mex leader is another QSR that is standing strong in 2024. Throughout the summer, Taco Bell experienced YoY visit growth ranging from 1.2% to 2.2% – and though the chain saw a minor 1.9% YoY dip in September, this may be due to the month having one fewer Friday than the equivalent period of 2023. (Friday is Taco Bell’s busiest day of the week). Even accounting for this dip, visits to Taco Bell were up 0.6% YoY overall in Q3 2024.
One factor that has likely helped Taco Bell weather recent QSR storms has been its strength in executing special promotions. In July, the Tex-Mex leader attracted big crowds with a limited-time offer commemorating the 20th anniversary of the chain’s popular Baja Blast beverage. And in October 2024, the restaurant marked National Taco Day (Tuesday, October 1st) with ten hours of $1 tacos – fueling a substantial traffic spike: On the big day, visits rose 14.7% above the chain’s daily year-to-date (YTD) average, and 18.4% above the chain’s Tuesday YTD average.
Burger King and Taco Bell found success in Q3 2024 through limited-time promotions – and in the case of the former, a strategic focus on rightsizing while updating existing stores. How will RBI and Yum!’s biggest brands perform in Q4?
Follow Placer.ai’s data-driven restaurant analyses to find out.
This blog includes data from Placer.ai Data Version 2.1, which introduces a new dynamic model that stabilizes daily fluctuations in the panel, improving accuracy and alignment with external ground truth sources.
Starbucks’ preliminary fiscal Q4 2024 (July-September 2024) results--including a 10% decline in comparable transactions in its North America segment--reinforce that the company has "drifted from its core", as new Starbucks CEO Brian Niccol discussed following the release. The results also come at a time when other coffee and beverage chains are seeing year-over-year visit increases, reinforcing that new product innovations aren't connecting with consumers–management explained that “accelerated investments in an expanded range of product offerings coupled with more frequent in-app promotions and integrated marketing to entice frequency across the customer base did not improve customer behaviors.” (The difference between our visit per location figure and Starbucks’ reported number is likely due to lower coverage of urban stores in our platform).
As we wrote when Niccol assumed the CEO role in August, Starbucks’ transformation won’t happen overnight, but the data behind Niccol’s early strategies at Chipotle still hints at a successful turnaround. Niccol's plan to improve the Starbucks customer experience, remove bottlenecks and operational complexities (including a more streamlined menu), and refine Mobile Order and Pay is a sound strategy, but it will take time to implement. Positively, we believe that Starbucks has a strong foundation to work from. Below, we show the monthly visitor per location trend line since the beginning of 2022. While declines in visit frequency is something the company will work to address with its current initiatives, the number of visitors coming into each location generally remains strong (down only 2%-3% per month on average thus far in 2024). Assuming the company can execute Niccol’s plan to reduce bottlenecks and operation complexities, Starbucks’ wide visitor reach should drive improved engagement and visit frequency.
As we also pointed out a few months ago, we believe that Starbucks’ success in smaller underpenetrated markets have been somewhat overlooked. We analyzed Starbucks’ unit expansion opportunities in detail in September 2022, and we’ve seen progress on this initiative since then. Starbucks’ recent store development effects have been focused on “Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities where we see population growth and forecast both underserved demand and high incrementality.” We’ve revisited our visit per location data for Starbucks’ Top 25 designated market areas (DMAs) versus non-Top 25 DMAs over the last 12 full months below, and similar to our last update, Starbucks is seeing higher visits per location in its non-Top 25 markets. Many of these non-Top 25 DMA stores have been opened in the past 12-18 months, which suggests improved metrics as operational complexities are reduced and these locations enter the same-store sales base.
Photo Image Credit: Orange County Register
We know there’s appetite for Six Flags Fright Fest, Universal Studios Halloween Horror Nights, Knotts’ Scary Farm, and Halloween Screams at Walt Disney World, but one innovative car wash takes you to another level, inviting you to go on a “nightmarish journey that turns an ordinary car wash into a realm of terror.” Big Wave Car Wash in Anaheim is one of the locations, and it’s immediately clear that this spooky spectacular is a hit. Compared to another local car wash competitor, we see that the addition of the scary performers nearly triples Big Wave’s traffic, especially Thursday-Sunday with the October kickoff.
We compared the Spatial.ai PersonaLive segments for Big Wave and Drive Thru Express Car Wash from January-September 2024 vs from October 1-19, 2024. In the month of October alone, we saw over 4x more visits from Near-Urban Diverse families and from Melting Pot Families to the haunted carwash compared to the entire rest of the year. Among Young Urban Singles, there was a 2.5x multiplier for just the three weeks in October compared to January-September. And while Ultra Wealthy Families normally only make up 1% of the visits, during this spooky spectacular, they accounted for 5%. Now you know where to go when junior is bored–head for the haunted car wash!
No surprise, the trade area drawn during the month of October is significantly larger as people come from a total trade area of 53 sq miles during this event (October 1-19, 2024 in red), compared to 12 sq miles the rest of the year (January-September 2024 in blue).
Over the past two weeks, the home industry has been abuzz with news from the remnants of Bed Bath & Beyond. A retailer that stood as the leader among specialty players continues to try and find new life in physical retail despite the closure of the original chain and its subsidiaries. After a year back in business, buybuy BABY, under new management, announced that it would be closing its 10 reopened locations.
Over at Beyond Inc., the new holding company for Overstock.com and the newly reformed Bed Bath & Beyond brand, they announced new partnerships with both Kirkland’s and The Container Store. The former partnership is going to help bring the brand back to physical retail with the creation of five Bed Bath & Beyond “neighborhood” small format stores, with locations to be announced; stores will be scouted, developed and operated by Kirkland’s. In the partnership with The Container Store, Beyond Inc. made a financial investment in the retailer and will allow The Container Store to leverage the brand’s assets, name, assortment and data; shop-in-shops also appear to be a part of this new partnership.
The home industry has been incredibly challenged in the post-pandemic period (below). However, as the category became further consolidated over the past few years, these new partnerships could help to revitalize all three brands, all of which have a strong brand identity with consumers. These partnerships also allow the brands to harness their strengths to benefit multiple banners.
How closely aligned are these brands? Kirkland’s tends to focus on furniture and furnishings, The Container Store handles all things organization, and the Bed Bath & Beyond brand name still carries weight as the undisputed leader in all things home.
Looking at PersonaLive’s demographic and psychographic segmentation of visitors to all three brands in 2022, before Bed Bath & Beyond’s closure the next year, there are some clear alignments and also opportunities to reach new visitors through the partnerships. Kirkland outperformed Bed Bath & Beyond with suburban cohorts such as Wealthy Suburban Families, Upper Suburban Diverse Families and Blue Collar Suburbs.
Through the lens of The Container Store, it provides a lot more opportunity for Beyond Inc. to reach higher concentrations of visitors from segments such as Ultra Wealthy Families, Educated Urbanites and Young Professionals. Looking at the partnerships with both Kirkland’s and the Container Store as a collective strategy, Beyond Inc. can capitalize on the migration to suburban communities by consumers and higher income households with the new brand.
Another positive sign for the partnerships is the high levels of cross visitation between the retailers before the closing of Bed Bath & Beyond. In 2022, Bed Bath & Beyond’s final full year of operation, 20% of visitors to Kirkland’s and almost a quarter of visitors to The Container Store cross visited Bed Bath & Beyond.
In theory, both partnerships will allow Bed Bath & Beyond to return to physical retail in alignment with both consumers and the current retail landscape. Industry specific retailers and incredibly important to the health and long term success of the industry, and the idea of welcoming back a beloved brand is exciting. It should be interesting to see the new small format stores and installations as the debut and look at the impacts of the partnership on the broader home category.
Across segments, retail and dining expansions converge on a common set of priorities, including identifying markets with strong demand, ensuring alignment with target audiences, and leveraging local consumer behavior to drive synergy. Using AI-powered location intelligence, we analyzed five expanding brands and segments to uncover the core principles driving successful site selection.
Nationwide visits to coffee chains are up in 2026, with established brands and newcomers alike seeing their traffic increase as consumer headwinds lead some to shift their discretionary spend towards more affordable indulgences. But past visit growth does not necessarily indicate future opportunity – it may instead signal market saturation. Relying solely on overall visit trends to guide expansion could lead chains into highly competitive markets where existing supply already meets demand.
For example, analyzing traffic trends in 10 major metro areas where coffee visits increased year-over-year (YoY) in Q1 2026 reveals significant gaps between overall traffic trends and per-location demand. In some CBSAs, overall traffic growth significantly outpaced per-location traffic trends – suggesting that supply is already meeting (or exceeding) demand and limiting room for new coffee locations despite overall category growth. But in other metro areas, where overall visit growth appears smaller, per-location traffic is actually booming – indicating that the underlying demand is resilient enough to support additional coffee concepts.
These patterns highlight the importance of looking beyond topline growth to identify where true whitespace still exists.
Effective site selection matches both regional and local demographics to a brand’s target customer, supporting performance and reinforcing positioning. But even in well-aligned metros, results depend on site-level precision – locations where the trade area visitor profile most closely reflects the brand’s core audience are best positioned to drive incremental upside.
An analysis of Alo locations in the DC area suggests that the company is adopting this strategy. Within the already high-income metro area of Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, individual Alo Yoga stores are placed in centers that draw even more affluent visitors – maximizing the revenue potential of each location.
In fact, Alo's newest stores in the metro area – One Loudoun and Bethesda Row – drive traffic from households with higher median incomes than even the established area locations. This signals a clear focus on premium retail corridors and affluent consumer segments, which reinforces the brand’s positioning while capturing higher-spending customers at the site level.
Beyond driving traffic potential and demographic alignment, site selection should also ensure that a brand’s identity and operating model are well matched to the visitation patterns of prospective locations. Barnes & Noble offers a clear example. The company’s ongoing resurgence has relied in part on repositioning itself as a local cultural and social hub, with a stronger emphasis on local curation and community-driven events.
And analyzing Barnes & Noble’s 2026 openings shows a clear tilt toward centers with a higher share of local traffic than the chain average – supporting its shift away from a purely transactional retail model toward a more community-centric experience built around local curation, events, and repeat visitation. By prioritizing locally driven centers, the company’s site selection strategy not only captures relevant traffic but also reinforces its broader repositioning as a neighborhood-oriented brand.
Effective site selection recognizes that proximity to competitors can function as a demand driver, amplifying traffic rather than diluting it.
In practice, this often takes the form of clustering – deliberately locating near similar or complementary concepts to capture shared demand. Shake Shack provides a clear example. Analyzing the chain's store fleet shows that many locations sit near other QSR and fast-casual concepts, creating opportunities to capture dining-based traffic. At the same time, strong cross-visitation patterns indicate that these co-located brands share a common customer base, positioning the brand closer to consumers who are already likely to visit. And, at least for Shake Shack, this strategy appears to be working – traffic to the chain increased 19.9% YoY in Q1 2026.
Incorporating trade area analysis into site selection can also help determine whether a new location will generate new traffic or risk cannibalizing existing demand. Aldi, a rapidly expanding grocery chain, offers a relevant example.
The company opened a fourth Las Vegas store on S Decatur Blvd in October 2025, positioned between existing locations on W Craig Rd and S Rainbow Blvd, approximately eight miles from each. And analyzing the core trade area of each of the four Las Vegas locations indicated limited visitor cannibalization over the last six months, despite the stores’ close proximity. Only 6.2% and 7.6% of the S Decatur Blvd store’s trade area overlapped with the W Craig Rd and S Rainbow Blvd stores’ trade areas, respectively.
These findings show that there is no one-size-fits-all approach to store spacing – it varies by brand, category, and market. Analyzing a company’s existing store network alongside competitor density and overall demand can help determine how closely locations can be placed without hurting performance. In many cases – especially in high-frequency categories like grocery – markets can support stores that are closer together than expected.
Physical retail is increasingly defined by a small group of dominant players – Walmart, Target, Costco Wholesale, and Dollar General – that span grocery, essentials, and discretionary categories at a scale no other retailers can match. These chains serve as bellwethers of consumer behavior, revealing where Americans are spending, how often they shop, and what drives their decisions. And understanding their visitation patterns sheds light on the key dynamics shaping both their performance and the broader blueprint for retail success in 2026.
Retail giants Walmart, Target, Costco Wholesale, and Dollar General continue to capture a growing share of brick-and-mortar visits nationwide.
• The share of physical retail traffic captured by these giants rose from 16.8% in 2019 to 17.5% in Q1 2026, signaling continued sector consolidation.
• The scale advantage enjoyed by retail giants is increasingly self-reinforcing: Larger players benefit from superior data, stronger vendor leverage, and operational efficiencies that in turn further widen the gap.
• As these advantages compound, direct competition becomes less viable. Instead, smaller retailers should focus on owning specific trip missions – such as convenience, fill-in, or discovery – where format, assortment curation, and in-store experience can more directly shape consumer choice.
• For CRE operators, the growing dominance of these retail giants increases reliance on top-tier anchors, potentially driving performance gaps between centers with strong national tenants and those without.
• For CPG companies, the consolidation in the offline retail space heightens channel concentration, making success with a handful of large retailers critical while increasing those retailers’ negotiating leverage.
Traffic trends across the four giants reveal meaningful divergence in performance.
• Costco and Dollar General are driving the strongest visit growth, supported by both substantial fleet expansions and rising visits per location. In 2025, visits per store exceeded pre-pandemic levels by 18.1% for Costco and 10.2% for Dollar General, with both brands also seeing steady increases in their share of total brick-and-mortar retail chain visits.
• Walmart remains the largest player by far, accounting for 9.7% of traffic to major brick-and-mortar chains in 2025. And though the behemoth’s share of visits declined slightly in the immediate aftermath of the pandemic, it has held steady over the past three years.
• Target’s visit share has remained relatively flat over the past three years, reflecting stalled momentum. Still, early 2026 trends point to emerging signs of recovery – with Q1 visits up 8.3% compared to Q1 2019.
• Value retail is winning, but in more specialized forms: Dollar General (extreme value + convenience) and Costco (bulk value + loyalty) are driving the strongest traffic growth and rising visits per store, while Walmart’s broad “everyday value” remains steady with slower growth. Target, for its part, is lagging – likely a reflection of the broader bifurcation in retail which has left middle-market players caught between consumers trading down to value and those trading up to quality.
• For retailers and CPG companies, the broader lesson is that value perception is becoming more nuanced. It’s no longer just about offering low prices at scale, but about how value is delivered – whether through small packs vs. bulk, or quick trips vs. stock-up missions. Success increasingly depends on prioritizing these distinct value formats and investing in channels where store-level productivity is improving.
• For CRE operators, the outperformance of retailers with clearly defined value propositions underscores the importance of mission-driven tenant mix. As shoppers visit with increasingly specific missions in mind, retailers that cater to those missions are outperforming. Tenant strategies should reflect this shift, ensuring complementary offerings that reinforce a cohesive shopping mission.
Walmart remains the dominant brick-and-mortar retailer nationwide and across all fifty states. Still, the data suggests there is room for multiple runners-up to succeed across geographies and customer segments.
• Dollar General, Target, and Costco each attract distinct audience segments. Dollar General attracts a disproportionately high share of the “Mature and Retired Living” segment, while Costco leads among family households, with Target also over-indexing with this group. Among younger “Contemporary Households,” meanwhile – a segment encompassing singles, married couples without children, and non-family households – Target commands the highest share, slightly over-indexing compared to the nationwide baseline.
• Regional strengths vary significantly, with Dollar General concentrated in the South, Costco dominant in the Northwest, and Target showing more dispersed areas of strength.
• Despite similar overall visit share, Dollar General leads in more states (26 vs. 17 for Target), reflecting broader geographic dominance.
• For retailers, the data suggests that growth opportunities are increasingly shaped by localized demographic and geographic dynamics – meaning that targeted, market-specific strategies may be more effective than uniform national approaches.
• Younger “Contemporary Households” remain less locked-in than older demographics, representing a key battleground for future growth.
• For CPG companies, this data highlights that channel strategy is really about building the right mix of retailers, since even large national players reach different types of consumers.
• CRE operators should ask "which anchor is right for this trade area" rather than "which anchor is strongest," as mismatched tenants can underperform even if they’re nationally dominant.
After remaining essentially flat in 2025, average visits per location to Walmart grew 3.5% YoY in Q1 2026. And the retailer’s solid Q1 performance across the U.S. underscores its unique ability to resonate across income levels, geographies, and shopping missions.
• Walmart posted year-over-year visit growth across nearly all U.S. markets in Q1 2026, reinforcing its role as a universally relevant retailer.
• The giant’s comparative softness in small parts of the Northeast suggests an opportunity to double down on region-specific assortments, urban-friendly formats, or partnerships to better match local shopping behaviors.
• Walmart’s broad-based growth shows that even as consumers are increasingly willing to visit multiple retailers to get what they want, its Superstore model has solidified its role as a primary stop on the American shopping journey – making it a uniquely reliable anchor for CRE operators.
• For smaller retailers, this underscores the opportunity to win the “second stop” – capturing trips through curated assortments and more tailored in-store experiences that Walmart’s scale is less optimized to deliver.
• For CPG companies, Walmart stands out as a highly attractive partner for broad, efficient reach, given its consistent traffic across markets.
Target’s recent performance suggests early momentum in reversing prior softness.
• Q1 2026 visits to Target rose 5.1% year over year, marking the chain’s first positive visit growth in more than a year, and suggesting that the chain’s new turnaround strategy may be bearing fruit.
• Gains were driven primarily by visits lasting 30 to 45 minutes, which accounted for 19.6% of overall visits to Target in Q1 2026 – pointing to stronger in-store engagement rather than quick, mission-driven stops.
• Target’s return to traffic growth – driven by increases in mid-length trips – signals a sustainable recovery on the horizon, strengthening its reliability as a traffic-driving tenant for CRE operators.
• Target's turnaround shows retailers how increasing shopper engagement can generate growth by converting quick trips into higher-value, multi-category experiences.
• For CPG companies, the rise in mid-length visits indicates a more receptive in-store environment for discovery and trade-up, making Target an increasingly attractive channel for innovation, merchandising, and premium offerings.
Dollar General is becoming embedded in consumers’ daily routines.
• Visitor frequency to Dollar General is on the rise. In Q1 2026, nearly a quarter of visitors frequented the chain at least four times in an average month, up from 21.2% in Q1 2022.
• Dollar General is becoming increasingly local in nature: As its footprint expands, more visits originate nearby, with 28.0% coming from within one mile – reinforcing its role as a neighborhood store of choice.
• Dollar General’s visitation patterns point to a growing ownership of the convenience mission. Its expanding store density is creating a self-reinforcing network effect, where proximity fuels frequency, and frequency strengthens long-term defensibility.
• For retailers, Dollar General’s rising share of nearby and high-frequency visits shows that proximity can drive habit, making convenience a powerful lever for building repeat behavior.
• For CRE operators, the data highlights the strength of hyper-local, necessity-driven traffic, positioning Dollar General as a stable tenant that anchors consistent, repeat visitation.
• For CPG professionals, the increase in frequent trips signals a high-velocity purchase environment, favoring smaller pack sizes and products that align with regular replenishment cycles.
Costco continues to grow and diversify its audience despite higher membership fees and stricter food court access policies, highlighting the strength of its value proposition and loyalty model.
• In September 2024, Costco raised its membership fees for the first time in seven years – and more recently tightened enforcement of member-only access to its food courts. Despite these changes, visitation has remained strong, highlighting the company’s pricing power and deep customer loyalty.
• At the same time, Costco’s shopper base is broadening, with median household income trending slightly downward while remaining relatively affluent.
• Offering strong value to a relatively affluent consumer base can be a winning formula in 2026. Retailers that combine quality, trust, and perceived savings – rather than competing solely on low prices – are well positioned to drive both loyalty and sustained traffic growth.
• For CRE operators, Costco’s sustained traffic growth and broadening shopper base reinforce its value as a standalone, high-demand traffic magnet that can anchor entire trade areas and drive surrounding retail development.
• For CPG companies, the combination of high traffic and declining median HHI signals that Costco is evolving into a scaled channel reaching beyond affluent shoppers, requiring more diversified assortment and pricing strategies.
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It’s been decades since the U.S. last hosted the World Cup, and anticipation continues to build. While the matches themselves will deliver thrilling moments for fans inside the stadium, a far broader audience is expected to engage from beyond the gates – gathering at bars, watch parties, and living rooms across the country.
Drawing on insights from recent sporting and cultural events, this analysis examines how the World Cup may impact consumer behavior and audiences across stadiums, host cities, and nationwide.
In 2025, MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ hosted a wide range of concerts and sporting events. And an examination of three – Kendrick Lamar & SZA’s tour stop, the FIFA Club World Cup Final, and a Week 17 New York Jets matchup against division rivals and the Super Bowl-bound New England Patriots – reveals clear differences in audience composition across event types.
Trade area analysis showed that the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup Final drew the largest share of single visitors and the highest median household income (HHI) of the three events – a pattern that could reflect the premium tickets and travel typically associated with a quadrennial championship match.
With the 2026 World Cup elevating the level of global competition, stadiums set to host matches this summer – including MetLife – may see even more dramatic shifts in their audience relative to other events.
While spectators attending World Cup matches are likely to differ from those drawn to other events throughout the year, audience shifts are likely to occur also within the tournament itself. As the competition progresses and the stakes rise, the visitor profile at host stadiums may trend progressively higher-income, as suggested by an analysis of Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, CA during the recent NFL season and Super Bowl.
During the Super Bowl, the stadium’s captured market median HHI surpassed that of every 49ers home game during the 2025-26 season – a pattern consistent with the event’s premium ticket pricing, national draw, and high levels of out-of-market travel.
And since the World Cup only takes place every four years, and necessitates international travel for die-hard fans, attendees are likely to be even more affluent than Super Bowl go-ers. Moreover, as the tournament reaches its later stages, each match becomes more significant and carries the potential to drive an even more affluent in-person audience.
Diving deeper into last year’s FIFA Club World Cup Final and Semifinal matches at MetLife Stadium provides further insight into the significance of the in-person audience that doesn’t make it into the stands. While FIFA generally places restrictions on tailgating, the behavior was still observed at MetLife and several other tournament venues in 2025. To put the phenomenon into perspective, location intelligence indicates that on the day of the Club World Cup final, combined visits to MetLife and its parking lots were 24.8% higher than visits to the stadium alone.
AI-powered trade area analysis further contextualizes the economic significance of this audience. During the semifinal matches, MetLife Stadium’s captured market median HHI remained nearly identical – just over $100K – with and without parking lot visitors. A similar pattern held for the Final, where median HHI for both the stadium-only and combined stadium-plus-parking visitors both rose above $115K, with the stadium-only figure only marginally higher.
This suggests that tailgaters represent a significant cohort with discretionary income to spend on the broader match-day experience, even if they opt out of spending big money on tickets.
With tailgating during the 2026 World Cup likely to remain limited due to FIFA regulations, the spending power of fans just outside the stadiums could create opportunities for alternative forms of engagement. Fan zones and other nearby hospitality events may offer effective ways to capture demand.
Nearby dining and entertainment venues are among the most accessible experiences for fans in the stadium area, and these stand to benefit significantly from elevated game-day foot traffic.
Analysis of recent FIFA Club World Cup matches reveals the impact of match-day activity on local businesses. Visitor journey data from the June 25th, 2025 matchup between Inter Milan and River Plate at Seattle’s Lumen Field, and the June 28th, 2025 meeting between Palmeiras and Botafogo at Lincoln Financial Field in Philadelphia reveals that a significant share of stadium visitors also stopped at nearby dining and recreation venues on the day. Location intelligence also shows that, on the day of the match, each stadium-adjacent venue received a significant visit boost compared to its 2025 daily average.
This pattern underscores the potential impact of the World Cup on the surrounding commercial ecosystem. The stadium may anchor the experience, but fan engagement will likely spill into adjacent areas – creating opportunities for both organizers and local businesses. To take full advantage, restaurants and bars can position themselves as fan-friendly destinations through watch parties, extended hours, and even mobile or outdoor offerings in stadium corridors.
Previous major sporting events – including the Super Bowl – demonstrate that the impact of large-scale sporting moments often extends beyond the immediate stadium vicinity into the broader regional economy.
In the weeks leading up to the latest Super Bowl in Santa Clara, CA on February 8th, 2026, both the San Francisco-Oakland-Berkley and San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara CBSAs saw a notable uptick in year-over-year dining traffic – outperforming the nationwide average. The timing suggests that early-arriving travellers combined with locals enjoying pre-event concerts and events helped fuel demand. In contrast, nationwide dining traffic saw a more pronounced lift the following week – likely tied to Valentine’s Day on February 14.
This pattern indicates that regions hosting – or located near – World Cup 2026 matches could experience similar pre-event dining tailwinds. As out-of-town visitors arrive and local engagement builds in the days and weeks leading up to key matches, restaurants and hospitality may benefit from elevated demand – particularly when supported by ancillary events and fan experiences.
Other recent examples suggest that cities hosting major events like the World Cup stand to benefit from an influx of out-of-town visitors – particularly those with higher spending power.
Since the beginning of 2025, New Orleans has hosted a series of popular events that drove significant non-local traffic. AI-powered trade area data indicates that during these periods, out-of-market visitors consistently exhibited a higher median HHI than both local residents and typical commuters into the city.
As expected, the 2025 Super Bowl generated the most pronounced spike in out-of-market visitor median HHI among the events analyzed, but the pattern extends beyond one-time spectacles. Recurring events like Mardi Gras and major music festivals also attracted high-income visitors to the city – likely benefitting the local hospitality, dining, and retail industries.
Looking ahead to the 2026 World Cup, host cities are likely to experience a similar dynamic. The tournament’s global draw will likely bring affluent travelers with discretionary dollars to the host regions – visitors that will spend not only on match tickets, but also on accommodation, dining, and shopping. By sponsoring tournament-related festivals, concerts, and experiences in or near retail corridors, cities can amplify the economic impact of the World Cup beyond the stadium.
The impact of the 2026 World Cup is unlikely to be confined to the select cities hosting matches. Major sporting events drive large-scale at-home viewership, generating ripple effects nationwide.
The Super Bowl offers a useful benchmark. In the days leading up to February 8th, 2026, visits to grocery stores and pizza chains rose above day-of-week averages for 2025, ultimately peaking on the day of the big game day as households appeared to pick up last-minute fixings and takeout for their watch parties.
This pattern indicates that the World Cup – with its extended schedule and multiple high-stakes matchups – could drive repeated waves of elevated grocery and take-out demand as fans gather together throughout the tournament.
Of course, at-home viewing is just one piece of the match-day equation. Many fans opt for a more communal experience – gathering at sports bars across the country to watch the game alongside fellow supporters.
Recent highly-anticipated soccer matches offer a clear signal of this behavior. During the recent Allstate Continental Clásico, MLS Cup Final, and SheBelieves Cup Final, top sports bars in key markets like Los Angeles and Miami recorded visit spikes above day-of-week averages.
Not every World Cup fan will be able to attend in-person or travel to a host city, but previous match-day lifts in sports bar traffic demonstrate that fans nationwide will participate in the tournament experience.
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is set to engage a wide spectrum of fans – from casual viewers at home to dedicated supporters traveling to stadiums – shaping how and where demand emerges.
As a result, the tournament’s impact will be felt across multiple layers of retail, dining, and tourism. Stadium-centered spending, activity in surrounding corridors, host-city consumer demand, and gatherings of spectators nationwide all point to a broad and interconnected World Cup effect that is likely to shape both audience composition and behavior at scale.
